RutgersScarlet Knights
0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Rutgers's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?
Rutgers has a 0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Rutgers's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/03 | Win prob:89% | ||
| 9/11 | Win prob:50% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:19% | ||
| 9/25 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:11% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:41% | ||
| 10/24 | Win prob:41% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:21% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:33% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:35% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:17% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:55% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 8-1 | 0.0% | 88.9% |
| 7-2 | 0.3% | 27.0% |
| 6-3 | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| 5-4 | 7.2% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 18.0% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 28.2% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 26.9% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 14.4% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 3.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 1 loss
83.3%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
83.3%
<0.1%
66.7%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
21.2%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%41.7%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
17.6%
0.2%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%2.9%
<0.1%1.5%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
2.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%2.0%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26