N Illinois

Northern IllinoisHuskies

0-2 T3rd (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Northern Illinois's probability of making the Mountain West Conference Championship Game?

Northern Illinois has a <0.1% chance to reach the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Northern Illinois's Mountain West Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

N IllinoisSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
@IowaIOWA
L0-40
29/12
vsIllinois StateILST
L24-28
39/19
@ArizonaARIZ
Win prob:1%
49/26
@Georgia StGAST
Win prob:17%
610/10
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:21%
710/17
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:40%
810/24
vsHawaiiHAW
Win prob:28%
910/31
@UNLVUNLV
Win prob:10%
1011/07
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:22%
1111/14
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:19%
1211/21
@North Dakota StNDSU
Win prob:4%
1311/28
vsUTEPUTEP
Win prob:56%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.0%
90.7%
6-2
0.2%
32.2%
5-3
1.6%
1.2%
4-4
7.8%
0%
3-5
21.5%
0%
2-6
33.6%
0%
1-7
27.1%
0%
0-8
8.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible N Illinois CCG Opponents

if N Illinois makes the CCG

UNMNew Mexico
62.5%
NDSUNorth Dakota St
37.5%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisThis Week's Impact

Game
N IllinoisCCG OddsAway Wins
N IllinoisCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
WyomingWYO@C MichiganCMU
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@MichiganMICH
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MTSUMTSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@OklahomaOU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@ArizonaARIZ
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
North Dakota StNDSU@Sacramento StSAC
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Fresno StFRES@San Jose StSJSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
N Illinois CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizona
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaii
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota St
81.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com