N Illinois

Northern IllinoisHuskies

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Northern Illinois's probability of making the Mountain West Conference Championship Game?

Northern Illinois has a 3.3% chance to reach the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Northern Illinois's Mountain West Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

N IllinoisSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:5%
9/12
vsIllinois StateILST
Win prob:90%
9/19
@ArizonaARIZ
Win prob:8%
9/26
@Georgia StGAST
Win prob:46%
10/10
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:38%
10/17
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:41%
10/24
vsHawaiiHAW
Win prob:29%
10/31
@UNLVUNLV
Win prob:13%
11/07
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:44%
11/14
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:50%
11/21
@North Dakota StNDSU
Win prob:30%
11/28
vsUTEPUTEP
Win prob:61%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.4%
99.1%
6-2
2.8%
66.7%
5-3
10.2%
9.0%
4-4
22.5%
0.0%
3-5
29.3%
0%
2-6
23.3%
0%
1-7
9.7%
0%
0-8
1.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely N Illinois CCG Opponents

if N Illinois makes the CCG

UNLVUNLV
46.9%
Hawai'iHawaii
21.3%
New MexicoNew Mexico
18.4%
Air ForceAir Force
8.2%
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota St
5.2%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisThis Week's Impact

Game
N IllinoisCCG OddsAway
N IllinoisCCG OddsHome
Jacksonville StJXST@North Dakota StNDSU
3.2%
(-0.0%)		3.3%
(+0.0%)
MemphisMEM@UNLVUNLV
3.4%
(+0.1%)		3.2%
(-0.1%)
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
3.2%
(-0.0%)		3.3%
(+0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@StanfordSTAN
3.3%
(+0.1%)		3.2%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

N IllinoisLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
N Illinois CCG Probability
Likelihood
Air Force
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizona
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaii
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
88.8%
0.2%
ArizonaGeorgia StNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNevadaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNevadaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois StateIowaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois StateIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StHawaii
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSan Jose StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois StateNorth Dakota StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNevadaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUTEPWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNevadaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaGeorgia St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIllinois State
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaNorth Dakota StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaUNLV
93.6%
<0.1%
IowaSan Jose StUNLV
85.7%
<0.1%
IowaUNLVUTEP
83.3%
<0.1%
IowaUNLVWyoming
83.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaUNLV
80.0%
<0.1%
IowaNevadaUNLV
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiIowa
75.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StUNLV
71.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaHawaii
66.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaUNLV
64.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiUNLV
57.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaNevada
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSan Jose StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StUNLV
37.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaUNLVUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaUNLV
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
63.5%
1.6%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaNevadaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaGeorgia StNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIllinois StateIowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StHawaiiIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateIowaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGeorgia StUNLVUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNevadaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIllinois StateIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNevadaNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StSan Jose StUNLVWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIowaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaGeorgia StHawaii
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateIowaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIllinois StateWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIllinois StateUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNevadaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StHawaiiSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaSan Jose StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIllinois StateSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaUTEPWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNevadaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIllinois StateIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNevadaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNevadaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIllinois StateIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNorth Dakota StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois StateIowaSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGeorgia StIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIllinois StateIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateIowaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StHawaiiIllinois State
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNorth Dakota StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIllinois StateNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateNorth Dakota StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateIowaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNorth Dakota StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNevadaUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGeorgia StIowaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateNevadaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNevadaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StIllinois StateUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois StateIowaUNLVUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIllinois StateIowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StSan Jose StUNLVUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StSan Jose StUTEP
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIllinois StateSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateIowaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiNevadaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaGeorgia StIowa
94.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaSan Jose StWyoming
94.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNorth Dakota StUTEP
92.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNorth Dakota StWyoming
92.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaSan Jose StUNLV
88.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaUTEPWyoming
88.9%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaUNLVWyoming
87.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
86.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNorth Dakota StUNLV
84.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaUNLVUTEP
83.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaSan Jose StUNLV
80.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowaSan Jose St
79.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNevadaUNLV
78.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowaNorth Dakota St
76.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowaSan Jose St
75.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StSan Jose StUNLV
75.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StUNLVWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowaUTEP
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaSan Jose StWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowaWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGeorgia StIowaWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNorth Dakota StUNLV
72.1%
0.1%
ArizonaIowaUNLVUTEP
71.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceGeorgia StHawaiiIowa
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowaNorth Dakota St
69.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StNorth Dakota StUNLV
69.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaUNLVWyoming
69.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaHawaiiIowa
68.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowaWyoming
68.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNevadaNorth Dakota St
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaSan Jose StUTEP
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaGeorgia StNorth Dakota St
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowaUTEP
65.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowaUNLV
64.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowaNevada
64.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowaNevadaSan Jose St
60.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaGeorgia StUNLV
57.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowaNevada
52.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowaWyoming
52.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaIowaUNLV
51.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowaUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaNevadaSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaNevadaUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StHawaiiIowaNevada
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StHawaiiNorth Dakota St
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaUTEPWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiNorth Dakota StUTEP
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StIowaNevadaUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiIowaUNLV
45.3%
0.1%
Air ForceArizonaSan Jose StUNLV
42.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaGeorgia StHawaiiUNLV
42.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StSan Jose StWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaUNLVUTEP
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaIllinois StateSan Jose StUNLV
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiUTEPWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiNevadaNorth Dakota St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSan Jose StUNLVUTEP
25.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaUNLVUTEP
25.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaSan Jose StUNLV
22.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceGeorgia StIowaUNLV
22.2%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StUNLVUTEP
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StSan Jose StUNLV
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaNevadaNorth Dakota St
20.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaNorth Dakota StSan Jose St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorth Dakota StUNLVWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaNevadaUNLVWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaUNLVUTEPWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaNevadaUNLVWyoming
12.5%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StSan Jose StUNLV
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiNorth Dakota StUNLV
10.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowaUNLVWyoming
10.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceArizonaNevadaUNLV
9.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiIowaNorth Dakota St
9.1%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota StUNLVWyoming
8.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaHawaiiUNLVWyoming
7.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiIowaNorth Dakota StUNLV
7.1%
<0.1%
IowaNevadaNorth Dakota StUNLV
5.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com