San Jose St

San José StateSpartans

4-5 7th (2-3) in MWC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is San José State's probability of making the Mountain West Conference Championship Game?

San José State has a 0.7% chance to reach the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. San José State's Mountain West Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What is the biggest game this week for San José State's Mountain West Conference Championship Game odds?

San José State's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Northern Illinois would put its Mountain West Conference Championship Game odds at 0.9%, while a loss would drop them to -.

San Jose StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
08/29
@USCUSC
L26-42
19/04
@E MichiganEMU
W27-21
29/12
vsCal PolyCP
W30-20
39/19
vsFresno StFRES
L10-26
510/03
@HawaiiHAW
W20-16
610/09
vsWyomingWYO
L13-16
710/17
@UTEPUTEP
W24-11
810/24
@NevadaNEV
L13-28
910/31
vsNew MexicoUNM
L16-21
1011/07
vsN IllinoisNIU
Win prob:84%
1111/14
@Air ForceAF
Win prob:19%
1211/21
vsUNLVUNLV
Win prob:31%
1311/27
vsNorth Dakota StNDSU
Win prob:21%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

San Jose StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
6-3
1.0%
72.2%
5-4
10.8%
0.0%
4-5
37.2%
0%
3-6
44.0%
0%
2-7
7.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible San Jose St CCG Opponents

if San Jose St makes the CCG

UNMNew Mexico
100%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

San Jose StThis Week's Impact

Game
San Jose StCCG OddsAway Wins
San Jose StCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6
New MexicoUNM@NevadaNEV
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(-0.1%)
Sat, Nov 7
N IllinoisNIU@San Jose StSJSU
0.0%
(-0.7%)		0.9%
(+0.1%)
Air ForceAF@ArmyARMY
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@UTEPUTEP
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
WyomingWYO@UNLVUNLV
0.2%
(-0.5%)		0.8%
(+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for San Jose St

UTEPUTEPNew MexicoNew MexicoSan Jose StSan José StateUNLVUNLV

CCG: 1.1% • Scenario: 8.7%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for San Jose St

San Jose StSan José StateUNLVUNLV

CCG: 1.1% • Scenario: 71.3%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

San Jose StCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com