Hawai'iRainbow Warriors
2-6 8th (1-4) in MWC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Hawai'i's probability of making the Mountain West Conference Championship Game?
Hawai'i has a - chance to reach the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Hawai'i has been eliminated from Mountain West Conference Championship Game contention.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/29 | L27-37 | |
| 1 | 9/05 | L6-21 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W29-19 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L10-27 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L16-20 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L12-30 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L10-21 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | W56-21 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:85% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:28% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:38% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:97% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | 8.8% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 39.4% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 45.2% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 6.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02