Iowa

IowaHawkeyes

6-2 T5th (3-2) in B1G

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.4%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Iowa's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Iowa has a 1.4% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Iowa's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Iowa need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Iowa's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 9.6%.

What is the biggest game this week for Iowa's Big Ten Championship Game odds?

Iowa's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Northwestern would put its Big Ten Championship Game odds at 3.2%, while a loss would drop them to <0.1%.

IowaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsN IllinoisNIU
W40-0
29/12
vsIowa StISU
W16-13
39/19
vsNorthern IowaUNI
W55-0
49/26
@MichiganMICH
W20-19
510/03
vsOhio StOSU
L14-31
610/09
@WashingtonWASH
W41-24
810/24
@MinnesotaMINN
L10-13
910/31
vsWisconsinWIS
W30-0
1011/07
@NorthwesternNU
Win prob:43%
1111/14
vsPurduePUR
Win prob:88%
1211/21
@IllinoisILL
Win prob:68%
1311/27
vsNebraskaNEB
Win prob:56%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-2
14.2%
9.6%
6-3
39.0%
0.1%
5-4
34.6%
0%
4-5
11.2%
0%
3-6
1.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Iowa CCG Opponents

if Iowa makes the CCG

IUIndiana
44.9%
OSUOhio St
42.0%
UCLAUCLA
7.2%
USCUSC
2.9%
OREOregon
2.9%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaThis Week's Impact

Game
IowaCCG OddsAway Wins
IowaCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6
NebraskaNEB@IllinoisILL
1.4%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7
UCLAUCLA@MinnesotaMINN
1.0%
(-0.4%)		2.3%
(+0.9%)
MarylandMD@PurduePUR
1.2%
(-0.2%)		1.4%
(+0.1%)
OregonORE@Ohio StOSU
2.5%
(+1.1%)		1.2%
(-0.2%)
Penn StPSU@WashingtonWASH
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.5%
(+0.1%)
RutgersRUTG@WisconsinWIS
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@NorthwesternNU
3.2%
(+1.8%)		0.0%
(-1.4%)
Michigan StMSU@MichiganMICH
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Iowa

WashingtonWashingtonMichiganMichiganWisconsinWisconsinPurduePurdueIowaIowaMinnesotaMinnesotaIllinoisIllinoisOregonOregon

CCG: 11.5% • Scenario: 0.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Iowa

IowaIowa

CCG: 3.3% • Scenario: 42.7%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Iowa CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
9.6%
14.2%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

IowaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com