UTEP

UTEPMiners

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is UTEP's probability of making the Mountain West Conference Championship Game?

UTEP has a 1.8% chance to reach the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UTEP's Mountain West Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

UTEPSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/04
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:2%
9/12
vsTexas SouthernTXSO
Win prob:90%
9/19
@MichiganMICH
Win prob:2%
9/26
vsOregon StORST
Win prob:36%
10/03
@New MexicoUNM
Win prob:18%
10/10
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:45%
10/17
vsSan Jose StSJSU
Win prob:50%
10/31
@North Dakota StNDSU
Win prob:26%
11/07
vsHawaiiHAW
Win prob:25%
11/14
vsWyomingWYO
Win prob:48%
11/20
@Air ForceAF
Win prob:24%
11/28
@N IllinoisNIU
Win prob:39%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

UTEPRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
97.5%
6-2
1.7%
62.0%
5-3
7.2%
7.6%
4-4
18.4%
0.0%
3-5
28.9%
0%
2-6
26.9%
0%
1-7
13.8%
0%
0-8
3.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UTEP CCG Opponents

if UTEP makes the CCG

UNLVUNLV
50.9%
Hawai'iHawaii
18.9%
New MexicoNew Mexico
16.6%
Air ForceAir Force
7.7%
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota St
5.9%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

UTEPThis Week's Impact

Game
UTEPCCG OddsAway
UTEPCCG OddsHome
Jacksonville StJXST@North Dakota StNDSU
1.7%
(-0.1%)		1.9%
(+0.1%)
MemphisMEM@UNLVUNLV
1.9%
(+0.1%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
2.1%
(+0.3%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@StanfordSTAN
1.8%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

UTEPLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UTEP CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
North Dakota StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichigan
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
92.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNew MexicoOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNorth Dakota StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew MexicoOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNew MexicoOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaOregon StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOklahomaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNorth Dakota StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaNew MexicoOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiN IllinoisOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganOklahoma
85.7%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisOklahoma
80.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNew MexicoOklahoma
75.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
69.6%
0.7%
MichiganNorth Dakota StOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNew MexicoOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganOregon StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaOregon StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahomaOregon StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StOklahomaOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaNorth Dakota StOklahomaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNew MexicoOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNew MexicoOklahomaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNevadaNew Mexico
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiMichiganOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StOklahomaOregon StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganOklahomaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNevadaNorth Dakota St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaOklahomaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaOregon StTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNevadaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNevadaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganN IllinoisOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNew MexicoOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceNevadaOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNew MexicoOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganN IllinoisOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisNevadaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNorth Dakota StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaNorth Dakota StOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisNorth Dakota StOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaNew MexicoOklahomaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoOklahomaTexas SouthernWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiMichiganSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
New MexicoOklahomaOregon StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisOklahomaSan Jose St
85.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganOklahomaSan Jose St
81.3%
<0.1%
MichiganOklahomaSan Jose StWyoming
80.0%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisNorth Dakota StOklahoma
79.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaNew MexicoOklahoma
79.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNorth Dakota StOklahomaWyoming
78.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganN IllinoisOklahoma
76.2%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaOklahomaWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNew MexicoNorth Dakota StOklahoma
73.3%
<0.1%
MichiganNew MexicoOklahomaWyoming
70.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaNorth Dakota StOklahoma
66.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNorth Dakota StOregon St
66.7%
<0.1%
New MexicoNorth Dakota StOklahomaOregon St
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNorth Dakota StOklahoma
65.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNevadaOklahoma
63.6%
<0.1%
MichiganNew MexicoOklahomaSan Jose St
63.2%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisNew MexicoOklahoma
62.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNevadaOklahoma
62.5%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisOklahomaWyoming
60.0%
<0.1%
MichiganN IllinoisNevadaOklahoma
57.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiMichiganOklahoma
56.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganNew MexicoOklahoma
54.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceMichiganOklahomaWyoming
53.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNorth Dakota StOklahoma
53.1%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganOklahomaWyoming
52.2%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNew MexicoOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganN IllinoisOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganN IllinoisNorth Dakota St
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganNew MexicoOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNorth Dakota StOklahomaSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNew MexicoNorth Dakota StOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHawaiiMichiganN Illinois
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMichiganOklahomaSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com