MichiganWolverines

5-3 T11th (2-3) in B1G

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Michigan's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Michigan has a - chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Michigan's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Michigan need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Michigan's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 0.5%.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/05	vsWestern MichiganWMU	W13-12
2	9/12	vsOklahomaOU	W17-10
3	9/19	vsUTEPUTEP	W52-17
4	9/26	vsIowaIOWA	L19-20
5	10/03	@MinnesotaMINN	L14-20
7	10/17	vsPenn StatePSU	W21-18
8	10/24	vsIndianaIU	L6-13
9	10/31	@RutgersRUTG	W28-21
10	11/07	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:85%
11	11/14	@OregonORE	Win prob:22%
12	11/21	vsUCLAUCLA	Win prob:53%
13	11/28	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:7%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-3	0.7%	0.5%
5-4	12.5%	0%
4-5	45.5%	0%
3-6	36.4%	0%
2-7	5.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	NebraskaNEB@IllinoisILL	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	UCLAUCLA@MinnesotaMINN	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	MarylandMD@PurduePUR	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	OregonORE@Ohio StateOSU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Penn StatePSU@WashingtonWASH	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	RutgersRUTG@WisconsinWIS	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	IowaIOWA@NorthwesternNU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Michigan StateMSU@MichiganMICH	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)