Oklahoma

OklahomaSooners

4-4 11th (2-3) in SEC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Oklahoma's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Oklahoma has a 0.3% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Oklahoma's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Oklahoma need to do to reach the SEC Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Oklahoma's SEC Championship Game odds at 17.4%.

What is the biggest game this week for Oklahoma's SEC Championship Game odds?

Oklahoma's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Florida would put its SEC Championship Game odds at 0.9%, while a loss would drop them to -.

OklahomaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/04
vsUTEPUTEP
W51-0
29/12
@MichiganMICH
L10-17
39/19
vsNew MexicoUNM
W14-6
49/26
@GeorgiaUGA
L13-41
610/10
vsTexasTEX(N)
W27-24
710/17
vsKentuckyUK
L13-21
810/24
@Mississippi StMSST
W23-15
910/31
vsSouth CarolinaSC
L25-42
1011/07
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:36%
1111/14
vsMississippiMISS
Win prob:28%
1211/21
vsTexas A&MTA&M
Win prob:53%
1311/28
@MissouriMIZ
Win prob:35%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OklahomaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
6-3
1.9%
17.4%
5-4
13.3%
0%
4-5
34.0%
0%
3-6
36.8%
0%
2-7
14.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Oklahoma CCG Opponents

if Oklahoma makes the CCG

UGAGeorgia
51.5%
UKKentucky
12.1%
LSULSU
12.1%
ALAAlabama
9.1%
TEXTexas
6.1%
MISSMississippi
3.0%
TENNTennessee
3.0%
SCSouth Carolina
3.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OklahomaThis Week's Impact

Game
OklahomaCCG OddsAway Wins
OklahomaCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Nov 7
TexasTEX@MissouriMIZ
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.1%)
ArkansasARK@AuburnAUB
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Texas A&MTA&M@South CarolinaSC
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@LSULSU
0.2%
(-0.2%)		0.4%
(+0.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@Mississippi StMSST
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@TennesseeTENN
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@MississippiMISS
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.2%)
OklahomaOU@FloridaFLA
0.9%
(+0.6%)		0.0%
(-0.3%)

Best Winner Combination for Oklahoma

Mississippi StMississippi StateMississippiOle MissTennesseeTennesseeOklahomaOklahomaArkansasArkansasLSULSUMissouriMissouri

CCG: 2.6% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Oklahoma

OklahomaOklahoma

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 36.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OklahomaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Oklahoma CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
17.4%
1.9%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OklahomaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com