NavyMidshipmen
2-6 13th (1-4) in AAC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Navy's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?
Navy has a - chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Navy has been eliminated from American Athletic Conference Championship Game contention.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | W42-15 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | L30-38 | |
| 4 | 9/25 | L20-24 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L9-14 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W34-26 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L34-38 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | L39-49 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | L13-35 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:72% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:29% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:85% | |
| 15 | 12/12 | Win prob:40% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | 7.3% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 32.2% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 42.3% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 16.6% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 1.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 5Thursday, November 5 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02