Temple

TempleOwls

0-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

4.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Temple's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?

Temple has a 4.7% chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Temple's American Athletic Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

TempleSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsRhode IslandURI
Win prob:90%
9/12
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:12%
9/19
@ToledoTOL
Win prob:32%
9/25
vsArmyARMY
Win prob:49%
10/03
@South FloridaUSF
Win prob:28%
10/10
vsUConnCONN
Win prob:62%
10/17
vsCharlotteCLT
Win prob:69%
10/31
@East CarolinaECU
Win prob:27%
11/07
@NavyNAVY
Win prob:27%
11/14
vsUABUAB
Win prob:71%
11/19
vsRiceRICE
Win prob:67%
11/27
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:29%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

TempleRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.2%
96.5%
6-2
6.4%
48.4%
5-3
18.0%
1.7%
4-4
28.7%
0%
3-5
26.8%
0%
2-6
14.3%
0%
1-7
4.0%
0%
0-8
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Temple CCG Opponents

if Temple makes the CCG

TulaneTulane
29.6%
NavyNavy
23.6%
East CarolinaEast Carolina
19.4%
South FloridaSouth Florida
15.7%
MemphisMemphis
11.8%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

TempleThis Week's Impact

Game
TempleCCG OddsAway
TempleCCG OddsHome
MemphisMEM@UNLVUNLV
4.8%
(+0.1%)		4.6%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

TempleLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Temple CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
78.8%
0.5%
ArmyPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRice
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRice
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
Rhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth Florida
97.4%
<0.1%
NavyPenn St
92.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn St
90.3%
<0.1%
NavyToledo
88.2%
<0.1%
South FloridaToledo
85.7%
<0.1%
MemphisUAB
83.3%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
80.0%
<0.1%
MemphisToledo
75.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaUAB
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast Carolina
75.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
NavySouth Florida
54.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaSouth Florida
52.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNavy
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRice
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaRice
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
42.9%
<0.1%
ArmyNavy
37.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphis
36.8%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphis
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavy
23.5%
<0.1%
NavyRice
20.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
60.9%
2.0%
ArmyPenn StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRhode IslandSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Rhode IslandUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandRice
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Rhode IslandSouth FloridaToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
ToledoUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRhode IslandUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Rhode IslandRiceToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StToledo
98.6%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StToledo
97.5%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StToledo
96.9%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth FloridaToledo
96.6%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth FloridaUConn
96.3%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StToledo
95.2%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StUConn
95.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StToledo
94.4%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StUConn
93.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaRiceToledo
80.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StUAB
78.6%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StSouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaToledo
71.4%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlottePenn St
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyToledoUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisToledoUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StRice
66.7%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth FloridaUAB
64.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StUAB
64.3%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisToledo
63.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisPenn St
63.2%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRice
61.9%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisToledo
60.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaToledo
60.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyToledo
57.1%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaPenn St
55.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPenn St
54.5%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisPenn St
54.0%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRice
53.8%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyPenn St
52.9%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRice
52.9%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyPenn St
51.7%
0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn St
50.5%
0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaPenn St
50.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyRhode Island
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth FloridaToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StSouth Florida
48.7%
0.1%
East CarolinaNavyToledo
47.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StSouth Florida
47.1%
<0.1%
East CarolinaSouth FloridaToledo
46.2%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StSouth Florida
46.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyToledo
44.4%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaToledo
42.9%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRice
42.9%
<0.1%
East CarolinaToledoUAB
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaToledo
42.4%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StUAB
41.2%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaToledo
40.5%
<0.1%
NavyToledoUAB
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPenn St
39.5%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyToledo
37.5%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaUABUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaToledo
29.4%
<0.1%
East CarolinaSouth FloridaUConn
27.8%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceSouth Florida
12.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyRice
8.3%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNavy
6.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisNavy
2.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNavySouth Florida
2.9%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
32.8%
5.7%
MemphisPenn StToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandSouth FloridaToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandRiceToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRhode IslandUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteToledoUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlottePenn StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRhode IslandUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StRhode IslandUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyRhode IslandRiceToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlottePenn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRhode IslandUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRhode IslandSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteRiceToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StRiceUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StToledoUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandSouth FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Rhode IslandToledoUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRhode IslandUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaToledoUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StRhode IslandUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandRiceUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRhode IslandUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaRhode IslandToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlottePenn StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRhode IslandSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Rhode IslandRiceToledoUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaPenn StRhode Island
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaRhode IslandRiceToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth FloridaToledoUConn
95.7%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StToledoUConn
94.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StToledoUConn
92.9%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StToledoUConn
92.9%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StToledoUConn
88.2%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StRiceToledo
87.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPenn StUConn
85.7%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRhode IslandSouth Florida
83.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaRiceToledoUConn
80.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceToledoUAB
80.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaToledoUABUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
NavyRhode IslandSouth FloridaToledo
75.0%
<0.1%
MemphisRiceToledoUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StUABUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRhode IslandSouth FloridaToledo
75.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRhode IslandRiceSouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StToledoUAB
73.3%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisToledoUConn
72.7%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceSouth FloridaUConn
72.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRiceUConn
70.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRiceSouth FloridaToledo
68.9%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaToledoUConn
68.8%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRiceToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRhode IslandRice
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisPenn StRhode Island
66.7%
<0.1%
RiceToledoUABUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyPenn StUConn
64.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRhode IslandSouth Florida
63.6%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRiceToledo
61.8%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StToledoUAB
61.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaPenn StToledo
60.9%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StSouth FloridaUConn
60.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisPenn StToledo
60.0%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRiceUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StSouth FloridaUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRhode IslandUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth FloridaUABUConn
58.8%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaToledoUConn
57.1%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRhode IslandSouth Florida
57.1%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StToledoUAB
55.6%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StRiceToledo
55.6%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StUABUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
CharlottePenn StSouth FloridaToledo
54.8%
<0.1%
Penn StSouth FloridaToledoUAB
54.5%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisPenn StToledo
51.4%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StToledoUAB
51.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn StUConn
51.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisPenn StUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPenn StRhode Island
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaToledoUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyToledoUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyToledoUABUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaPenn StRhode Island
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyPenn StToledo
48.8%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyToledoUConn
47.4%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StSouth FloridaToledo
47.3%
0.2%
East CarolinaPenn StSouth FloridaUConn
47.1%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaPenn StToledo
46.5%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRiceToledo
46.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPenn StToledo
46.3%
0.2%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn StToledo
46.2%
0.2%
CharlotteNavyPenn StToledo
45.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StSouth FloridaToledo
44.7%
0.3%
East CarolinaNavyPenn StToledo
44.5%
0.2%
ArmyMemphisPenn StUConn
44.4%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StSouth FloridaToledo
42.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaSouth FloridaToledoUConn
41.9%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRiceUConn
41.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StSouth FloridaUConn
41.2%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyToledoUConn
41.2%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisToledoUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaPenn StUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyPenn StRhode Island
40.0%
<0.1%
RiceSouth FloridaToledoUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyToledoUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyPenn StUConn
39.6%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPenn StUConn
39.3%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StSouth FloridaUConn
39.2%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StSouth FloridaToledo
38.0%
0.2%
East CarolinaNavyPenn StRhode Island
35.7%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaPenn StUConn
34.4%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRiceUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRhode IslandRice
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StUABUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPenn StRhode Island
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyRhode IslandToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRhode IslandSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyPenn StUABUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaNavyUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyRhode IslandToledo
25.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn StRhode Island
25.0%
<0.1%
NavyRiceToledoUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteEast CarolinaToledo
25.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaToledoUConn
23.8%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNavyToledo
20.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaMemphisToledo
18.2%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPenn StRice
16.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaSouth FloridaUABUConn
14.3%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StRiceUAB
12.5%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaToledoUAB
11.1%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyPenn StUAB
9.8%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaToledoUAB
8.3%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StRiceUAB
7.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaPenn StSouth Florida
7.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaNavyToledo
6.7%
<0.1%
NavyPenn StSouth FloridaUAB
6.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyPenn StUAB
6.4%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavySouth FloridaToledo
6.1%
0.1%
ArmyNavyPenn StRice
6.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyPenn StSouth Florida
5.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisPenn StRice
5.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaMemphisPenn St
5.0%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaPenn StUAB
4.8%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn StRice
4.2%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNavyToledo
4.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn StUAB
3.9%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaPenn StRice
3.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNavySouth FloridaUConn
3.7%
<0.1%
MemphisPenn StSouth FloridaUAB
3.1%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaMemphisToledo
2.8%
<0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaSouth FloridaToledo
2.8%
<0.1%
CharlotteEast CarolinaNavyPenn St
2.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaPenn StRiceSouth Florida
2.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNavyPenn StRice
1.8%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisSouth FloridaToledo
1.6%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisPenn StSouth Florida
1.5%
0.3%
MemphisNavySouth FloridaToledo
1.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisNavyPenn St
1.5%
0.3%
East CarolinaNavyPenn StSouth Florida
1.5%
0.3%
ArmyEast CarolinaMemphisPenn St
1.0%
0.1%
ArmyMemphisNavyPenn St
1.0%
0.1%
ArmyEast CarolinaNavyPenn St
0.9%
0.1%
ArmyMemphisPenn StSouth Florida
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com