UABBlazers

4-4 T5th (2-2) in AAC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is UAB's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?

UAB has a 0.1% chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UAB's American Athletic Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does UAB need to do to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts UAB's American Athletic Conference Championship Game odds at 60.5%.

What is the biggest game this week for UAB's American Athletic Conference Championship Game odds?

UAB's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Charlotte would put its American Athletic Conference Championship Game odds at 0.2%, while a loss would drop them to -.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/03	@IllinoisILL	L23-42
2	9/12	vsUL MonroeULM	W26-20
3	9/19	@LouisianaUL	L14-21
4	9/25	vsNavyNAVY	W24-20
5	10/03	vsSamfordSAM	W33-14
6	10/10	@MemphisMEM	L13-38
7	10/15	vsEast CarolinaECU	W30-17
9	10/31	@South FloridaUSF	L10-30
10	11/07	vsCharlotteCLT	Win prob:77%
11	11/14	@TempleTEM	Win prob:28%
12	11/21	vsUTSAUTSA	Win prob:16%
13	11/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:6%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	0.2%	60.5%
5-3	4.8%	0.5%
4-4	29.5%	0%
3-5	52.3%	0%
2-6	13.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

33.3%

33.3%

26.7%

6.7%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Thu, Nov 5Thursday, November 5
	UTSAUTSA@Florida AtlanticFAU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	South FloridaUSF@East CarolinaECU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	TulsaTLSA@TulaneTULN	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
	CharlotteCLT@UABUAB	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
	TempleTEM@NavyNAVY	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	RiceRICE@North TexasUNT	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	Air ForceAF@ArmyARMY	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)