Charlotte49ers

Q: What is Charlotte's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?

Charlotte has a <0.1% chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Charlotte's American Athletic Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

0-2 T3rd (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Charlotte's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?

Charlotte has a <0.1% chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Charlotte's American Athletic Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/05	vsThe CitadelCIT	L41-43
2	9/12	@Ole MissMISS	L9-41
3	9/19	@App StateAPP	Win prob:10%
4	9/26	vsLouisianaUL	Win prob:27%
5	10/03	vsMemphisMEM	Win prob:12%
6	10/10	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:5%
7	10/17	@TempleTEM	Win prob:14%
9	10/30	vsTulaneTULN	Win prob:13%
10	11/07	@UABUAB	Win prob:38%
11	11/14	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:21%
12	11/21	@TulsaTLSA	Win prob:10%
13	11/28	vsNavyNAVY	Win prob:23%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0%	100.0%
6-2	0.0%	57.3%
5-3	0.3%	3.3%
4-4	2.4%	0%
3-5	10.6%	0%
2-6	27.6%	0%
1-7	37.9%	0%
0-8	21.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

South FloridaUSF

50.0%

North TexasUNT

50.0%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19Saturday, September 19
	North TexasUNT@Texas StateTXST	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	TulaneTULN@Kansas StateKSU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	TempleTEM@ToledoTOL	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	CharlotteCLT@App StateAPP	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Florida InternationalFIU@Florida AtlanticFAU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Delaware StateDSU@South FloridaUSF	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	UT MartinUTM@MemphisMEM	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Western MichiganWMU@RiceRICE	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	East Texas A&METAM@TulsaTLSA	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	UABUAB@LouisianaUL	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	UTSAUTSA@TexasTEX	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)