Charlotte

Charlotte49ers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Charlotte's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?

Charlotte has a 0.9% chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Charlotte's American Athletic Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

CharlotteSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsThe CitadelCIT
Win prob:90%
9/12
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:3%
9/19
@Appalachian StAPP
Win prob:33%
9/26
vsLouisianaUL
Win prob:41%
10/03
vsMemphisMEM
Win prob:27%
10/10
@North TexasUNT
Win prob:26%
10/17
@TempleTEM
Win prob:31%
10/30
vsTulaneTULN
Win prob:20%
11/07
@UABUAB
Win prob:46%
11/14
vsEast CarolinaECU
Win prob:25%
11/21
@TulsaTLSA
Win prob:32%
11/28
vsNavyNAVY
Win prob:25%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CharlotteRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
98.7%
6-2
0.8%
68.7%
5-3
4.0%
6.1%
4-4
12.6%
0%
3-5
25.1%
0%
2-6
30.5%
0%
1-7
20.8%
0%
0-8
6.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Charlotte CCG Opponents

if Charlotte makes the CCG

TulaneTulane
32.4%
NavyNavy
19.7%
East CarolinaEast Carolina
19.7%
South FloridaSouth Florida
14.1%
MemphisMemphis
14.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CharlotteThis Week's Impact

Game
CharlotteCCG OddsAway
CharlotteCCG OddsHome
MemphisMEM@UNLVUNLV
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

CharlotteLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Charlotte CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Mississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Navy
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
69.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasThe Citadel
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StTempleTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaTempleTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTempleTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTulaneUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneTulsaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTempleUAB
75.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasTulane
75.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTulane
75.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiNorth Texas
66.7%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyTulsa
66.7%
<0.1%
MississippiTulaneTulsa
60.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTempleTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyTemple
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasTemple
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisMississippi
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNorth Texas
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiTulsa
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
54.8%
0.6%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaLouisianaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNavyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippiNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippiTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTulaneUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTempleUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTempleUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippiTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNorth TexasTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNavyTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippiTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTulsaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMemphisMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippiNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTempleTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTulaneUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippiUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippiTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNorth TexasUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiThe CitadelTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiThe CitadelTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippiUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiNorth TexasThe Citadel
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMemphisTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiThe Citadel
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippiNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTulaneTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippiTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StNavyThe CitadelTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNavyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippiThe Citadel
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaLouisianaNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaLouisianaTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMemphisThe Citadel
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiThe Citadel
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaLouisianaNorth Texas
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTempleTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiTulsa
85.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippiNorth Texas
85.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiTemple
83.3%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTulaneTulsa
83.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNavyNorth Texas
83.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNavyUAB
80.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNorth TexasTemple
80.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTempleTulane
80.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiNorth Texas
80.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiNorth Texas
77.8%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNavyTemple
75.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisMississippiThe Citadel
75.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNorth TexasTulsa
75.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippiTemple
75.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNavyTulane
71.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNorth TexasTemple
71.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippiNavy
70.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisNavyTemple
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiTulsa
66.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippiTulane
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiTempleTulsa
66.7%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippiTulsa
62.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNavyTemple
62.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMemphisMississippi
61.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiNavy
61.1%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMississippiNavy
60.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiTulane
58.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNavyTulsa
57.1%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisianaMemphisMississippi
55.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippiNorth TexasTulane
54.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiTulsaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StEast CarolinaMississippiUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaNorth TexasTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiTemple
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNavyNorth Texas
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippiNorth TexasTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisTulaneUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaNavyTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyTempleUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNorth TexasUAB
40.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiTulane
36.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMemphisMississippiTulane
36.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaMemphisMississippiNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasTempleTulsa
25.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiTulaneUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTempleTulaneTulsa
16.7%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNavyUAB
16.7%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasTulaneUAB
14.3%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyNorth TexasTulsa
14.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiNorth TexasTemple
12.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMemphisMississippiTemple
12.5%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNorth TexasTemple
12.5%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiNorth TexasTulsa
11.1%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiTempleTulane
9.1%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyNorth TexasTulane
9.1%
<0.1%
MississippiNorth TexasTulaneTulsa
8.3%
<0.1%
MississippiNavyNorth TexasTemple
7.1%
<0.1%
East CarolinaMississippiTulaneTulsa
5.9%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNorth TexasTulane
5.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com