Stanford

StanfordCardinal

1-1 T5th (0-1) in ACC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Stanford's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Stanford has a - chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Stanford's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

StanfordSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
08/29
vsHawaiiHAW
W37-27
19/04
vsMiami FLMIA
L6-45
39/19
@DukeDUKE
Win prob:12%
49/26
vsGeorgia TechGT
Win prob:37%
510/03
@Wake ForestWAKE
Win prob:17%
610/10
@Notre DameND
Win prob:1%
710/17
vsElonELON
Win prob:90%
810/23
vsNC StateNCSU
Win prob:34%
910/31
@LouisvilleLOU
Win prob:5%
1111/14
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:7%
1211/21
@CaliforniaCAL
Win prob:31%
1311/28
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:9%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-1
0%
0%
7-2
0%
33.3%
6-3
0.0%
1.5%
5-4
0.5%
0%
4-5
3.3%
0%
3-6
13.3%
0%
2-7
30.4%
0%
1-8
35.7%
0%
0-9
16.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordThis Week's Impact

Game
StanfordCCG OddsAway Wins
StanfordCCG OddsHome Wins
Thu, Sep 17
SyracuseSYR@PittsburghPITT
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Fri, Sep 18
Miami FLMIA@Wake ForestWAKE
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Sep 19
MercerMER@Georgia TechGT
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@ClemsonCLEM
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@VanderbiltVAN
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
MaineME@Boston CollegeBC
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@AlabamaALA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
SMUSMU@LouisvilleLOU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
WagnerWAG@CaliforniaCAL
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@DukeDUKE
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@VirginiaUVA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Stanford

StanfordStanford

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 12.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Stanford

StanfordStanford

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 12.0%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Stanford CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameVirginia Tech
14.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
ElonNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleNotre Dame
25.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameSMU
25.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNotre Dame
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
8.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com