Stanford

StanfordCardinal

0-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Stanford's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Stanford has a 0.2% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Stanford's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

StanfordSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
8/29
vsHawaiiHAW
Win prob:54%
9/04
vsMiami FLMIA
Win prob:9%
9/19
@DukeDUKE
Win prob:29%
9/26
vsGeorgia TechGT
Win prob:38%
10/03
@Wake ForestWAKE
Win prob:29%
10/10
@Notre DameND
Win prob:3%
10/17
vsElonELON
Win prob:90%
10/23
vsNC StateNCSU
Win prob:39%
10/31
@LouisvilleLOU
Win prob:18%
11/14
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:22%
11/21
@CaliforniaCAL
Win prob:35%
11/28
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:24%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
100.0%
7-2
0.2%
68.9%
6-3
1.1%
8.8%
5-4
4.9%
0.0%
4-5
14.0%
0%
3-6
25.8%
0%
2-7
29.5%
0%
1-8
19.0%
0%
0-9
5.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Stanford CCG Opponents

if Stanford makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
66.7%
ClemsonClemson
14.3%
SMUSMU
9.5%
LouisvilleLouisville
4.8%
VirginiaVirginia
4.8%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordThis Week's Impact

Game
StanfordCCG OddsAway
StanfordCCG OddsHome
NC StateNCSU@VirginiaUVA
0.3%
(+0.1%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Florida StFSU
0.3%
(+0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@TCUTCU
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@StanfordSTAN
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

StanfordLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Stanford CCG Probability
Likelihood
Notre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
62.9%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechHawaiiNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaHawaiiNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMiami FLVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ElonMiami FLNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMiami FLNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DameWake Forest
77.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameVirginia Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Notre DameVirginia TechWake Forest
66.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeNotre DameVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DameSMU
20.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
18.5%
0.3%
Georgia TechHawaiiMiami FLNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaHawaiiNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNC StateNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiLouisvilleNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNotre DameVirginia TechWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeHawaiiNC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ElonHawaiiNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaHawaiiNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiLouisvilleNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMiami FLNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeElonNC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaHawaiiLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNC StateNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeHawaiiNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeHawaiiLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechHawaiiLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaHawaiiNC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMiami FLNC StateNotre Dame
75.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechHawaiiNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
HawaiiMiami FLNotre DameVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNotre DameSMUWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaHawaiiMiami FLNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiNotre DameSMUVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechLouisvilleNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleNotre DameWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiLouisvilleMiami FLNotre Dame
45.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeNotre DameWake Forest
33.3%
<0.1%
DukeHawaiiMiami FLNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLNotre DameVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
HawaiiMiami FLNotre DameSMU
33.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNC StateNotre DameSMU
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateNotre DameWake Forest
28.6%
<0.1%
DukeNotre DameSMUVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameVirginia TechWake Forest
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLNotre DameWake Forest
21.1%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameSMUVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleMiami FLNotre Dame
16.7%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLNotre DameVirginia Tech
14.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameSMUWake Forest
14.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLNC StateNotre Dame
13.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DameSMUVirginia Tech
13.3%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechMiami FLNotre Dame
12.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateNotre DameVirginia Tech
9.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLNotre DameVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMiami FLNotre Dame
8.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMiami FLNotre Dame
7.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLNotre DameVirginia Tech
7.1%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLNotre DameSMU
5.9%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DameVirginia TechWake Forest
5.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com