Virginia TechHokies

6-2 T5th (3-2) in ACC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Virginia Tech's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Virginia Tech has a 0.4% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Virginia Tech's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Virginia Tech need to do to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Virginia Tech's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds at 25.7%; even one more loss drops that to 1.4%.

What is the biggest game this week for Virginia Tech's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds?

Virginia Tech's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating SMU would put its Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds at 1.3%, while a loss would drop them to -.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/05	vsVMIVMI	W73-3
2	9/12	vsOld DominionODU	W44-21
3	9/19	@MarylandMD	W35-26
4	9/26	@Boston CollegeBC	W21-14
5	10/02	vsPittsburghPITT	L33-35
6	10/10	@CaliforniaCAL	L20-25
7	10/17	vsGeorgia TechGT	W34-24
8	10/24	@ClemsonCLEM	W20-16
10	11/06	@SMUSMU	Win prob:28%
11	11/14	vsStanfordSTAN	Win prob:94%
12	11/21	@MiamiMIA	Win prob:3%
13	11/28	vsVirginiaUVA	Win prob:66%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	0.5%	25.7%
6-3	18.5%	1.3%
5-4	53.9%	0%
4-5	25.7%	0%
3-6	1.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

MiamiMIA

94.6%

Wake ForestWAKE

5.4%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	Virginia TechVT@SMUSMU	1.3% (+0.9%)	0.0% (-0.4%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	ClemsonCLEM@SyracuseSYR	0.4% (+0.1%)	0.3% (-0.1%)
	Florida StateFSU@Boston CollegeBC	0.3% (-0.0%)	0.5% (+0.1%)
	North CarolinaUNC@UConnCONN	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
	DukeDUKE@NC StateNCSU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
	MerrimackMRMK@Wake ForestWAKE	0.9% (+0.6%)	0.3% (-0.1%)
	LouisvilleLOU@Georgia TechGT	0.3% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.3%)
	MiamiMIA@Notre DameND	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)