ClemsonTigers
5-3 T5th (3-2) in ACC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.6%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Clemson's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
Clemson has a 0.6% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Clemson's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What does Clemson need to do to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
A perfect run to the end of the season puts Clemson's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds at 8.6%; even one more loss drops that to 0.9%.
What is the biggest game this week for Clemson's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds?
Clemson's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Syracuse would put its Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds at 1.0%, while a loss would drop them to <0.1%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | L10-51 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W22-7 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W28-20 | |
| 4 | 9/25 | W24-10 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L13-41 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | W37-0 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | L16-20 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W36-24 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:57% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:87% | |
| 12 | 11/20 | Win prob:32% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:37% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 15.7% | 3.8% |
| 5-3 | 48.2% | 0.0% |
| 4-4 | 32.2% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 3.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.7% (+0.1%) | 0.5% (-0.1%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 1.0% (+0.4%) | 0.0% (-0.6%) | ||
| 0.6% (+0.0%) | 0.5% (-0.1%) | ||
| 0.6% (+0.0%) | 0.6% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.6% (+0.0%) | 0.5% (-0.1%) | ||
| 1.3% (+0.7%) | 0.5% (-0.1%) | ||
| 0.6% (+0.0%) | 0.6% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.6% (+0.0%) | 0.6% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 1.7% • Scenario: 2.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 57.3%
Data from 2026-11-02
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02