ClemsonTigers
0-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
21.2%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Clemson's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
Clemson has a 21.2% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Clemson's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:30% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:93% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:74% | ||
| 9/25 | Win prob:72% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:36% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 10/24 | Win prob:69% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:54% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:75% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:76% | ||
| 11/20 | Win prob:67% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:60% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 2.8% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 13.7% | 85.7% |
| 6-2 | 27.3% | 24.4% |
| 5-3 | 28.7% | 0.2% |
| 4-4 | 18.3% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 7.3% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 1.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 0.2% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% (+0.4%) | 21.0% (-0.2%) | |
| 20.7% (-0.5%) | 21.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 21.2% (-0.1%) | 21.2% (+0.0%) | |
| 21.0% (-0.2%) | 21.3% (+0.1%) |
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.4%Any 1 loss
91.5%
3.3%100.0%
1.0%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
0.3%100.0%
<0.1%91.7%
0.4%90.7%
0.1%90.2%
0.1%89.4%
0.1%88.3%
0.2%88.0%
0.2%87.9%
0.1%78.6%
0.7%Any 2 losses
65.9%
11.4%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%99.9%
0.7%93.6%
0.3%92.6%
0.1%92.3%
<0.1%91.6%
0.1%91.6%
0.3%90.9%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.5%
<0.1%90.2%
0.4%89.6%
0.5%88.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.4%
<0.1%88.3%
0.5%88.2%
0.8%87.8%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.2%
0.3%87.1%
<0.1%86.2%
0.3%85.7%
<0.1%85.2%
<0.1%85.0%
0.1%84.4%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.3%
0.5%79.1%
1.7%45.9%
<0.1%42.2%
<0.1%41.7%
<0.1%40.3%
<0.1%35.1%
<0.1%34.2%
<0.1%32.0%
0.1%29.8%
<0.1%29.5%
0.1%29.4%
<0.1%29.0%
<0.1%27.6%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%26.7%
0.3%25.8%
0.2%25.7%
0.3%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%24.6%
0.2%24.4%
0.2%23.1%
<0.1%22.9%
<0.1%21.6%
0.2%20.4%
0.1%20.4%
0.7%20.4%
0.3%19.8%
0.1%19.6%
0.2%Any 3 losses
38.8%
18.4%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%95.0%
<0.1%93.3%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%91.2%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.5%
<0.1%90.2%
<0.1%90.2%
0.3%90.1%
0.3%90.0%
0.2%89.7%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.7%
0.1%88.2%
<0.1%88.1%
0.6%87.8%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.2%
<0.1%87.2%
<0.1%87.1%
0.3%85.7%
<0.1%85.4%
0.2%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.9%
<0.1%81.4%
0.2%80.4%
1.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.7%
0.2%79.0%
0.1%78.4%
<0.1%77.4%
<0.1%76.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%45.5%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.4%
<0.1%41.9%
0.2%41.9%
0.1%41.7%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%38.2%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%35.7%
<0.1%35.5%
<0.1%35.3%
<0.1%34.2%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.1%
0.2%31.8%
<0.1%30.3%
0.2%30.3%
0.2%30.2%
0.2%29.6%
<0.1%29.6%
0.1%29.0%
0.1%28.7%
0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%27.4%
0.1%26.8%
0.7%26.8%
0.1%26.7%
0.1%25.9%
0.5%25.8%
<0.1%25.7%
0.3%25.1%
0.5%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%24.8%
0.3%24.7%
<0.1%24.7%
0.2%24.6%
0.1%24.5%
0.2%24.4%
0.5%24.2%
<0.1%24.1%
<0.1%24.0%
0.8%23.8%
0.2%23.6%
0.1%23.6%
0.3%23.4%
0.1%23.3%
<0.1%23.3%
0.9%23.1%
<0.1%22.9%
0.4%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.0%
0.2%21.9%
0.1%21.8%
0.3%21.7%
0.6%21.6%
0.3%21.1%
<0.1%20.7%
<0.1%20.7%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.3%
0.1%19.1%
<0.1%18.8%
<0.1%18.6%
1.5%18.5%
<0.1%18.3%
0.1%17.9%
<0.1%17.7%
0.4%17.6%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.6%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.1%
<0.1%13.6%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%11.5%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%1.9%
0.1%1.9%
0.1%1.1%
<0.1%1.1%
<0.1%0.9%
0.1%0.7%
0.1%Any 4 losses
23.3%
11.7%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%96.0%
<0.1%95.3%
<0.1%92.6%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.6%
<0.1%90.4%
<0.1%90.3%
<0.1%89.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.1%
<0.1%87.0%
<0.1%86.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%77.3%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.4%
0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%46.2%
<0.1%45.0%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%41.7%
<0.1%41.7%
<0.1%41.2%
<0.1%40.9%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%38.9%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%35.7%
<0.1%34.9%
<0.1%33.8%
<0.1%33.3%
0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%32.5%
0.1%32.0%
<0.1%30.4%
0.1%30.2%
<0.1%30.0%
0.4%29.4%
<0.1%29.4%
<0.1%29.4%
<0.1%29.4%
0.6%29.2%
<0.1%28.9%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.5%
0.1%28.3%
0.2%27.8%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%26.7%
0.1%26.3%
<0.1%26.3%
<0.1%26.2%
0.2%26.0%
<0.1%25.4%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%24.8%
0.4%24.5%
<0.1%24.5%
0.1%24.3%
0.3%24.2%
0.1%24.1%
<0.1%24.0%
0.2%23.8%
<0.1%23.7%
0.4%23.5%
<0.1%23.4%
0.1%23.3%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%23.0%
0.1%22.7%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.0%
0.5%21.9%
0.3%21.9%
<0.1%21.6%
0.1%21.5%
<0.1%21.5%
<0.1%21.5%
0.2%21.1%
<0.1%20.7%
<0.1%20.0%
0.4%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.2%
<0.1%18.8%
<0.1%18.6%
<0.1%18.6%
<0.1%18.5%
<0.1%18.5%
0.1%18.3%
<0.1%17.9%
0.1%17.7%
<0.1%17.1%
0.9%17.0%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.6%
<0.1%12.9%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%5.6%
<0.1%4.2%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%2.9%
<0.1%1.6%
<0.1%1.5%
<0.1%1.4%
<0.1%1.4%
<0.1%1.2%
<0.1%0.9%
0.1%0.9%
0.1%0.7%
0.3%0.7%
0.1%0.6%
0.2%0.6%
0.5%0.6%
0.2%0.6%
0.2%0.6%
0.2%Data from 2026-08-26