Georgia TechYellow Jackets
0-2 T5th (0-0) in ACC
Data from 2026-09-17
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.2%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Georgia Tech's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
Georgia Tech has a 0.2% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia Tech's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/03 | L13-14 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | L24-45 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | Win prob:90% | |
| 4 | 9/26 | Win prob:63% | |
| 6 | 10/10 | Win prob:42% | |
| 7 | 10/17 | Win prob:18% | |
| 8 | 10/24 | Win prob:75% | |
| 9 | 10/31 | Win prob:15% | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:26% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:30% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:50% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:1% |
Data from 2026-09-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.0% | 98.5% |
| 7-1 | 0.4% | 38.8% |
| 6-2 | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| 5-3 | 11.3% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 24.8% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 30.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 21.3% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 7.3% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 1.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-09-17
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 17Thursday, September 17 | |||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| Fri, Sep 18Friday, September 18 | |||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.1%) | ||
| Sat, Sep 19Saturday, September 19 | |||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.1%) | 0.3% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-09-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
98.3%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
98.3%
<0.1%
62.5%
<0.1%
50.0%
<0.1%
35.3%
<0.1%
33.3%
<0.1%
33.3%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
39.0%
0.4%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
49.1%
<0.1%42.8%
<0.1%42.2%
<0.1%40.5%
<0.1%40.4%
<0.1%40.2%
<0.1%37.5%
0.1%33.3%
<0.1%32.1%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%5.7%
<0.1%3.6%
<0.1%Data from 2026-09-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-09-17