Georgia TechYellow Jackets
0-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
4.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Georgia Tech's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
Georgia Tech has a 4.0% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia Tech's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/03 | Win prob:55% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:31% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:62% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:57% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:37% | ||
| 10/24 | Win prob:71% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:39% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:44% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:25% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:58% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:9% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.3% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 2.3% | 82.8% |
| 6-2 | 9.5% | 19.5% |
| 5-3 | 21.4% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 28.6% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 23.2% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 11.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 3.0% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4.2% (+0.2%) | 3.9% (-0.1%) | |
| 4.2% (+0.2%) | 4.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 4.0% (-0.0%) | 4.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 4.0% (+0.0%) | 4.0% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
76.7%
0.6%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%95.2%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%91.7%
<0.1%91.7%
<0.1%91.3%
<0.1%87.0%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%84.8%
<0.1%84.2%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.1%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.1%
<0.1%77.9%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
46.0%
2.8%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%93.8%
<0.1%93.3%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%87.9%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%86.7%
<0.1%86.4%
0.1%86.4%
0.1%86.3%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.3%
<0.1%79.6%
0.2%79.5%
<0.1%79.4%
<0.1%76.8%
<0.1%76.5%
<0.1%70.6%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%56.5%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%35.9%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%31.8%
<0.1%31.7%
<0.1%31.3%
<0.1%29.4%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%26.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%23.8%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%22.9%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.1%
<0.1%18.8%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.4%
0.2%17.0%
<0.1%16.9%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.3%
<0.1%15.4%
0.2%15.4%
<0.1%14.5%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%11.7%
<0.1%11.5%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%6.9%
0.1%6.8%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
28.3%
5.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.6%
<0.1%86.5%
<0.1%85.5%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%81.7%
<0.1%81.7%
0.2%81.4%
<0.1%81.1%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.9%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%41.7%
<0.1%40.5%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%34.5%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%32.0%
<0.1%31.6%
<0.1%31.3%
<0.1%30.6%
<0.1%30.0%
<0.1%30.0%
<0.1%28.8%
<0.1%28.8%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.3%
<0.1%28.1%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%27.0%
<0.1%26.9%
<0.1%25.8%
<0.1%25.3%
0.2%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%23.9%
<0.1%23.2%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%22.9%
<0.1%22.4%
<0.1%22.1%
0.1%21.9%
<0.1%21.7%
<0.1%21.6%
<0.1%21.4%
<0.1%20.7%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%18.4%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.1%
0.1%17.6%
<0.1%17.4%
0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.3%
0.1%16.2%
0.1%16.0%
0.1%16.0%
<0.1%15.7%
0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.9%
<0.1%14.6%
0.4%14.3%
<0.1%13.8%
<0.1%13.3%
0.1%13.2%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.0%
0.4%11.7%
<0.1%11.4%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%9.7%
0.3%8.3%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26