Syracuse

SyracuseOrange

0-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Syracuse's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Syracuse has a 0.8% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Syracuse's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

SyracuseSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsNew HampshireUNH
Win prob:90%
9/12
vsCaliforniaCAL
Win prob:52%
9/17
@PittsburghPITT
Win prob:28%
10/03
@UConnCONN
Win prob:68%
10/10
@VirginiaUVA
Win prob:25%
10/17
vsLouisvilleLOU
Win prob:32%
10/24
@North CarolinaUNC
Win prob:31%
10/31
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:29%
11/07
vsClemsonCLEM
Win prob:25%
11/14
@NC StateNCSU
Win prob:34%
11/21
@Boston CollegeBC
Win prob:49%
11/28
vsNotre DameND
Win prob:8%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

SyracuseRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
97.3%
7-2
0.7%
66.2%
6-3
3.5%
7.9%
5-4
10.5%
0%
4-5
21.2%
0%
3-6
27.9%
0%
2-7
23.0%
0%
1-8
10.8%
0%
0-9
2.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Syracuse CCG Opponents

if Syracuse makes the CCG

MiamiMiami FL
72.6%
SMUSMU
9.6%
ClemsonClemson
9.6%
LouisvilleLouisville
5.5%
VirginiaVirginia
2.7%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

SyracuseThis Week's Impact

Game
SyracuseCCG OddsAway
SyracuseCCG OddsHome
NC StateNCSU@VirginiaUVA
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Florida StFSU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@TCUTCU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.9%
(+0.0%)
HawaiiHAW@StanfordSTAN
0.9%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

SyracuseLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Syracuse CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
SMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisville
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
95.8%
<0.1%
Notre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemson
100.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameVirginia
91.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonPittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
North CarolinaVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvillePittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisville
50.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
62.7%
0.4%
North CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaPittsburghUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburghUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonSMUUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
88.9%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
85.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DamePittsburgh
83.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
80.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameSMU
75.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNotre Dame
75.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DamePittsburgh
75.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DameSMU
75.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUVirginia
73.7%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghSMU
73.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonNotre Dame
72.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburgh
71.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre Dame
71.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNotre Dame
71.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
71.4%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DamePittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNorth Carolina
66.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNC StateNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameSMU
61.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
60.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameSMU
60.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghVirginia
56.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameSMU
54.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNotre Dame
52.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameVirginia
51.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaPittsburgh
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNorth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburghSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaUConnVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvillePittsburghSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameVirginia
42.9%
<0.1%
NC StateSMUVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaPittsburgh
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaSMU
33.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
28.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaPittsburgh
25.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNorth Carolina
16.7%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaSMU
16.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegePittsburghVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
15.8%
1.8%
Boston CollegeNew HampshireNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaPittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DamePittsburghUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNew HampshireNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNew HampshireNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireNotre DameUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNew HampshireNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegePittsburghUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNew HampshireNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNew HampshireNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth CarolinaNotre DameUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNew HampshireNotre DameVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNew HampshireNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew HampshireNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNew HampshireNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNew HampshireNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaUConnVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNew HampshireNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNew HampshireSMUUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNew HampshireUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNew HampshireNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre DameUConn
81.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameSMUUConn
80.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameUConnVirginia
77.8%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameSMUUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonNotre DameUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameSMUUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameUConnVirginia
75.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburghUConn
70.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghUConnVirginia
69.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNotre DameUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNew HampshireNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonNew HampshireNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameUConnVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
New HampshireNotre DamePittsburghSMU
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNotre DameUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DameSMUUConn
63.6%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DameSMUUConn
62.5%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DamePittsburghUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNew HampshireNotre DameVirginia
60.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNotre DameUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DameUConnVirginia
57.1%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghSMUUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNew HampshireNotre DameVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNC StateNotre DameUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DamePittsburghUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNew HampshireNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameSMUUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburghUConnVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNotre DameUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DamePittsburghUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNotre DameUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaUConnVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUUConnVirginia
42.9%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaNotre DameUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
New HampshireNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonNorth CarolinaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaLouisvilleNotre Dame
25.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNC StateNotre DamePittsburgh
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNorth CarolinaUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
25.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonLouisvilleNotre Dame
23.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
23.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DamePittsburghSMU
23.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaNotre DamePittsburgh
22.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
21.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNC StateNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
20.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
19.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNotre DameVirginia
17.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaClemsonNotre Dame
16.7%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DamePittsburghSMU
16.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DamePittsburghSMU
15.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNC StateNotre Dame
15.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNC StateNotre DameVirginia
15.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
14.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
14.3%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DameSMUVirginia
12.9%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
12.1%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
12.0%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
12.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNotre DamePittsburgh
11.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNotre DameSMU
11.8%
<0.1%
NC StateNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
11.4%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNotre DamePittsburgh
11.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
11.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
11.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
11.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNotre DamePittsburgh
11.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonNC StateNotre Dame
10.5%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaNotre DameSMU
10.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
10.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
9.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaNotre DameVirginia
8.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNotre DameSMU
7.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
7.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
7.1%
<0.1%
NC StateNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
7.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
6.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNotre DameVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
6.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth CarolinaNotre DameSMU
6.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNotre DameSMU
6.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
6.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
6.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia
6.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
6.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNotre DameSMUVirginia
5.9%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNotre DamePittsburghSMU
5.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNotre DamePittsburgh
5.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonLouisvilleNotre Dame
5.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DamePittsburgh
5.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNC StateNotre Dame
5.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DameVirginia
5.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateNotre DamePittsburgh
5.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNotre DameVirginia
5.0%
<0.1%
North CarolinaNotre DameSMUVirginia
4.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburghSMU
4.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
4.2%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghSMUVirginia
3.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre DameSMU
3.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonNC StateNotre DameSMU
2.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameSMUVirginia
1.4%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com