Boston CollegeEagles
1-1 T5th (0-0) in ACC
Data from 2026-09-17
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Boston College's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
Boston College has a - chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Boston College's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | L15-34 | |
| 2 | 9/11 | W28-21 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | Win prob:90% | |
| 4 | 9/26 | Win prob:17% | |
| 5 | 10/03 | Win prob:5% | |
| 7 | 10/17 | Win prob:14% | |
| 8 | 10/24 | Win prob:25% | |
| 9 | 10/31 | Win prob:14% | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:22% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:1% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:42% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:1% |
Data from 2026-09-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 5.1% |
| 5-3 | 0.3% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 2.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 10.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 28.4% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 38.1% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 19.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-09-17
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 17Thursday, September 17 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Fri, Sep 18Friday, September 18 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Sep 19Saturday, September 19 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-09-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Any 3 losses
4.4%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%4.4%
<0.1%Data from 2026-09-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-09-17