Wake Forest

Wake ForestDemon Deacons

7-1 2nd (5-1) in ACC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

82.4%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Wake Forest's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Wake Forest has a 82.4% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Wake Forest's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Wake Forest need to do to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Wake Forest's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds at 100%; even one more loss drops that to 80.9%.

What is the biggest game this week for Wake Forest's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds?

The biggest swing game for Wake Forest's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds this week isn't even its own: a Virginia Tech win would boost them to 93.3%, while a SMU win would leave them at 78.2%.

Wake ForestSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/03
vsAkronAKR
W38-16
29/12
@PurduePUR
W38-36
39/18
vsMiami FLMIA
L20-33
49/26
@LouisvilleLOU
W30-27
510/03
vsStanfordSTAN
W57-3
610/10
@NC StateNCSU
W38-14
710/17
@CaliforniaCAL
W41-7
910/31
vsVirginiaUVA
W51-7
1011/07
vsMerrimackMRMK
Win prob:90%
1111/14
@SMUSMU
Win prob:64%
1211/21
@Georgia TechGT
Win prob:94%
1311/28
vsDukeDUKE
Win prob:79%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-1
48.0%
100.0%
7-2
42.1%
78.1%
6-3
9.4%
16.1%
5-4
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Wake Forest CCG Opponents

if Wake Forest makes the CCG

MIAMiami FL
99.9%
VTVirginia Tech
<0.1%
SMUSMU
<0.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestThis Week's Impact

Game
Wake ForestCCG OddsAway Wins
Wake ForestCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6
Virginia TechVT@SMUSMU
93.3%
(+10.9%)		78.2%
(-4.3%)
Sat, Nov 7
ClemsonCLEM@SyracuseSYR
83.5%
(+1.1%)		81.0%
(-1.5%)
Florida StFSU@Boston CollegeBC
82.5%
(+0.0%)		82.3%
(-0.1%)
North CarolinaUNC@UConnCONN
82.4%
(+0.0%)		82.4%
(-0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NC StateNCSU
82.3%
(-0.1%)		82.7%
(+0.3%)
MerrimackMRMK@Wake ForestWAKE
79.8%
(-2.6%)		82.7%
(+0.3%)
LouisvilleLOU@Georgia TechGT
83.0%
(+0.6%)		77.1%
(-5.3%)
Miami FLMIA@Notre DameND
82.5%
(+0.1%)		82.4%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Wake Forest

SyracuseSyracuseGeorgia TechGeorgia TechVirginia TechVirginia TechNC StateNC StateFlorida StFlorida State

CCG: 96.8% • Scenario: 0.3%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Wake Forest

Virginia TechVirginia Tech

CCG: 93.3% • Scenario: 28.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Wake Forest CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
43.2%
Any 1 loss
80.9%
42.7%
Merrimack
100.0%
4.8%
Georgia Tech
99.9%
2.7%
Duke
98.2%
11.5%
SMU
66.6%
23.7%
Any 2 losses
36.5%
12.8%
Georgia TechMerrimack
97.4%
0.3%
DukeMerrimack
94.4%
1.3%
MerrimackSMU
62.6%
2.6%
DukeGeorgia Tech
48.0%
0.7%
DukeSMU
14.9%
6.3%
Georgia TechSMU
14.2%
1.5%
Any 3 losses
3.0%
0.9%
DukeGeorgia TechMerrimack
10.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackSMU
3.6%
0.2%
DukeMerrimackSMU
2.1%
0.7%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com