Wake ForestDemon Deacons
0-0 T1st (0-0) in ACC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
2.6%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Wake Forest's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?
Wake Forest has a 2.6% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Wake Forest's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/03 | Win prob:91% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:54% | ||
| 9/18 | Win prob:17% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:31% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:71% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:43% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:50% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:45% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:27% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:42% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:55% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 0.4% | 99.2% |
| 7-2 | 2.4% | 65.7% |
| 6-3 | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| 5-4 | 19.4% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 27.3% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 24.2% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 12.9% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 4.0% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 0.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% (+0.1%) | 2.6% (-0.0%) | |
| 2.6% (-0.1%) | 2.6% (+0.0%) | |
| 2.6% (+0.0%) | 2.6% (+0.0%) | |
| 2.6% (-0.0%) | 2.7% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
100.0%
0.2%Any 2 losses
72.2%
1.2%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%92.6%
<0.1%91.7%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%84.2%
<0.1%83.9%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.6%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%76.9%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.4%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%72.4%
<0.1%71.8%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%69.0%
<0.1%68.8%
<0.1%67.9%
<0.1%64.7%
<0.1%64.0%
<0.1%61.5%
0.1%60.6%
<0.1%60.3%
<0.1%58.8%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%53.6%
0.1%51.1%
<0.1%46.2%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
20.6%
4.8%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%84.0%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.3%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%76.9%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%69.0%
<0.1%68.8%
<0.1%68.7%
<0.1%68.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%64.7%
<0.1%63.6%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%58.8%
<0.1%56.3%
<0.1%55.0%
<0.1%52.6%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%47.4%
0.1%44.4%
<0.1%43.0%
0.1%42.9%
<0.1%35.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%27.8%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%21.1%
<0.1%21.1%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%15.7%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.9%
<0.1%13.8%
0.1%13.6%
<0.1%13.5%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.0%
<0.1%12.8%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.9%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.5%
<0.1%11.4%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.3%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.2%
0.2%9.1%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%8.6%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.1%
0.1%8.0%
0.2%7.9%
<0.1%7.6%
<0.1%7.6%
<0.1%7.4%
<0.1%7.2%
0.1%6.6%
<0.1%6.5%
0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.1%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.6%
<0.1%5.5%
<0.1%5.5%
<0.1%5.3%
<0.1%5.3%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%4.9%
0.1%4.7%
<0.1%4.3%
0.3%4.2%
0.1%4.2%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%2.9%
<0.1%2.6%
<0.1%2.4%
0.2%Any 4 losses
11.5%
3.6%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%21.4%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.4%
<0.1%18.8%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.4%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.8%
<0.1%15.2%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.6%
0.1%13.3%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.8%
<0.1%10.6%
<0.1%10.3%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.5%
<0.1%9.5%
0.1%9.4%
<0.1%9.4%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.9%
<0.1%8.9%
<0.1%8.8%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%7.9%
<0.1%7.8%
0.1%7.7%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%7.4%
0.2%7.4%
<0.1%7.2%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%6.7%
0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%5.5%
<0.1%5.2%
0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.7%
0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.3%
<0.1%4.3%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.6%
0.1%3.5%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%2.8%
<0.1%2.2%
0.2%Data from 2026-08-26