Wake Forest

Wake ForestDemon Deacons

2-0 T5th (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Wake Forest's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Wake Forest has a 0.6% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Wake Forest's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Wake ForestSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/03
vsAkronAKR
W38-16
29/12
@PurduePUR
W38-36
39/18
vsMiami FLMIA
Win prob:5%
49/26
@LouisvilleLOU
Win prob:19%
510/03
vsStanfordSTAN
Win prob:83%
610/10
@NC StateNCSU
Win prob:47%
710/17
@CaliforniaCAL
Win prob:60%
910/31
vsVirginiaUVA
Win prob:31%
1011/07
vsMerrimackMRMK
Win prob:90%
1111/14
@SMUSMU
Win prob:15%
1211/21
@Georgia TechGT
Win prob:50%
1311/28
vsDukeDUKE
Win prob:50%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
98.2%
7-2
1.1%
38.0%
6-3
6.0%
1.6%
5-4
17.3%
0%
4-5
28.6%
0%
3-6
27.5%
0%
2-7
15.0%
0%
1-8
4.0%
0%
0-9
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Wake Forest CCG Opponents

if Wake Forest makes the CCG

MIAMiami FL
83.6%
SMUSMU
6.6%
LOULouisville
3.3%
UVAVirginia
3.3%
PITTPittsburgh
1.6%
VTVirginia Tech
1.6%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestThis Week's Impact

Game
Wake ForestCCG OddsAway Wins
Wake ForestCCG OddsHome Wins
Thu, Sep 17
SyracuseSYR@PittsburghPITT
0.7%
(+0.1%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
Fri, Sep 18
Miami FLMIA@Wake ForestWAKE
0.5%
(-0.2%)		3.3%
(+2.7%)
Sat, Sep 19
MercerMER@Georgia TechGT
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@ClemsonCLEM
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@VanderbiltVAN
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
MaineME@Boston CollegeBC
0.7%
(+0.1%)		0.6%
(-0.0%)
Florida StFSU@AlabamaALA
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
SMUSMU@LouisvilleLOU
0.5%
(-0.1%)		0.7%
(+0.1%)
WagnerWAG@CaliforniaCAL
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@DukeDUKE
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
0.6%
(-0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@VirginiaUVA
0.6%
(+0.0%)		0.6%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Wake Forest CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
98.4%
<0.1%
NC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Duke
100.0%
<0.1%
California
100.0%
<0.1%
Merrimack
100.0%
<0.1%
Stanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FL
98.9%
<0.1%
Louisville
98.4%
<0.1%
SMU
94.2%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
38.0%
1.0%
DukeMerrimack
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimack
100.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimack
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimack
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FL
97.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechStanford
88.9%
<0.1%
MerrimackSMU
86.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia Tech
84.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDuke
69.6%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia Tech
69.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC State
67.9%
<0.1%
DukeNC State
67.7%
<0.1%
NC StateStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC State
62.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNC State
61.9%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FL
59.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FL
56.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechVirginia
55.1%
<0.1%
NC StateVirginia
54.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC State
53.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLStanford
50.8%
<0.1%
DukeStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FL
48.8%
<0.1%
DukeLouisville
48.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisville
47.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisville
45.4%
<0.1%
LouisvilleVirginia
44.6%
<0.1%
NC StateSMU
44.2%
<0.1%
StanfordVirginia
43.8%
<0.1%
DukeSMU
41.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechSMU
39.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaSMU
38.6%
<0.1%
DukeVirginia
38.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleStanford
37.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLVirginia
36.6%
0.1%
SMUStanford
36.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FL
35.9%
0.2%
LouisvilleSMU
33.8%
<0.1%
CaliforniaVirginia
31.7%
<0.1%
SMUVirginia
26.4%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMU
23.2%
0.3%
Any 3 losses
2.1%
5.2%
Georgia TechMerrimackNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimackNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackNC StateStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeMerrimack
83.3%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackNC State
75.0%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechMerrimack
75.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackNC StateVirginia
75.0%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackMiami FL
68.8%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLNC State
68.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackMiami FL
62.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechMerrimack
57.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackVirginia
55.6%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackVirginia
54.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMerrimack
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimackMiami FL
44.4%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleMerrimack
44.4%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackSMU
43.8%
<0.1%
MerrimackNC StateSMU
42.9%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackVirginia
42.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMerrimack
40.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackMiami FL
35.5%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLVirginia
34.6%
<0.1%
MerrimackSMUStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimackSMU
30.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackSMU
23.4%
<0.1%
MerrimackSMUVirginia
21.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimackVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLSMU
19.6%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNC StateStanford
14.3%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLStanford
12.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeGeorgia Tech
10.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateStanford
8.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLNC State
7.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeLouisville
6.6%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateStanford
6.5%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLStanford
6.4%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLNC State
6.1%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLNC State
5.3%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechMiami FL
5.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechSMU
4.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaSMUStanford
4.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechNC State
3.9%
<0.1%
DukeNC StateVirginia
3.9%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechVirginia
3.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechMiami FL
3.5%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechSMU
3.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeMiami FL
3.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechLouisville
3.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLStanford
3.0%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleMiami FL
2.9%
0.2%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMiami FL
2.7%
0.2%
LouisvilleMiami FLNC State
2.7%
0.2%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMiami FL
2.7%
0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechVirginia
2.7%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleNC State
2.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLStanfordVirginia
2.5%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLVirginia
2.4%
0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateVirginia
2.3%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLVirginia
2.1%
0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateVirginia
2.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLStanford
1.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLVirginia
1.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleNC State
1.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLSMU
1.9%
0.3%
Georgia TechMiami FLStanford
1.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateVirginia
1.8%
0.1%
DukeLouisvilleVirginia
1.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNC StateSMU
1.6%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLSMU
1.6%
0.3%
Miami FLNC StateSMU
1.6%
0.3%
CaliforniaLouisvilleNC State
1.5%
<0.1%
SMUStanfordVirginia
1.4%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNC StateSMU
1.2%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleVirginia
1.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeSMU
1.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNC StateSMU
1.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleSMU
1.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMUStanford
1.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLVirginia
0.9%
0.4%
Georgia TechSMUVirginia
0.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLSMU
0.9%
0.2%
LouisvilleSMUStanford
0.9%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleSMU
0.8%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechLouisville
0.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleSMU
0.8%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMiami FLSMU
0.7%
1.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleVirginia
0.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMUVirginia
0.6%
0.6%
NC StateSMUVirginia
0.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaSMUVirginia
0.5%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
2.0%
0.4%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMerrimackStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechMerrimackNC State
25.0%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackNC StateVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMerrimackNC State
9.1%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLNC StateStanford
9.1%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackMiami FLNC State
7.5%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackMiami FLStanford
7.1%
<0.1%
MerrimackNC StateSMUVirginia
6.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackMiami FLNC State
6.7%
<0.1%
DukeGeorgia TechMerrimackMiami FL
5.5%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLNC StateVirginia
5.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimackMiami FLNC State
4.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaDukeMerrimackMiami FL
3.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackMiami FLVirginia
3.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechMerrimackMiami FL
3.5%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackNC StateVirginia
3.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMerrimackVirginia
3.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMerrimackSMUVirginia
3.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMerrimackMiami FL
3.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMerrimackMiami FLSMU
2.9%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackMiami FLVirginia
2.8%
<0.1%
DukeMerrimackMiami FLSMU
2.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMerrimackSMU
2.4%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLSMUStanford
2.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMerrimackMiami FL
1.9%
<0.1%
MerrimackMiami FLNC StateSMU
1.9%
<0.1%
DukeLouisvilleMerrimackMiami FL
1.9%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackMiami FLNC State
1.6%
<0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMerrimackSMU
1.3%
<0.1%
DukeMiami FLNC StateStanford
1.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackMiami FLSMU
0.8%
0.1%
LouisvilleMerrimackMiami FLVirginia
0.8%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Wake ForestCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com