Minnesota

MinnesotaGolden Gophers

1-1 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Minnesota's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Minnesota has a - chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Minnesota's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

MinnesotaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/03
vsEastern IllinoisEIU
W59-7
29/12
vsMississippi StMSST
L13-38
39/19
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:92%
49/26
@WashingtonWASH
Win prob:21%
510/03
vsMichiganMICH
Win prob:13%
610/10
@PurduePUR
Win prob:39%
810/24
vsIowaIOWA
Win prob:23%
910/31
@IndianaIU
Win prob:1%
1011/07
vsUCLAUCLA
Win prob:31%
1111/14
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:4%
1211/21
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:46%
1311/27
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:30%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0%
71.4%
7-2
0.0%
4.9%
6-3
0.3%
0.1%
5-4
2.3%
0%
4-5
9.3%
0%
3-6
22.7%
0%
2-7
32.4%
0%
1-8
25.0%
0%
0-9
8.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaThis Week's Impact

Game
MinnesotaCCG OddsAway Wins
MinnesotaCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Sep 18
Portland StatePRST@OregonORE
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@IllinoisILL
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
USCUSC@RutgersRUTG
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@MichiganMICH
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@IowaIOWA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@WashingtonWASH
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
North DakotaUND@NebraskaNEB
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NorthwesternNU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@Notre DameND
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
PurduePUR@UCLAUCLA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Minnesota CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Indiana
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
3.5%
<0.1%
AkronIndiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowa
10.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan
8.6%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington
6.3%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn St
3.5%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
1.7%
<0.1%
AkronPenn StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaIowa
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganPurdue
2.1%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganWisconsin
1.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com