Minnesota

MinnesotaGolden Gophers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Minnesota's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Minnesota has a 0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Minnesota's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

MinnesotaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/03
vsEastern IllinoisEIU
Win prob:90%
9/12
vsMississippi StMSST
Win prob:48%
9/19
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:88%
9/26
@WashingtonWASH
Win prob:24%
10/03
vsMichiganMICH
Win prob:23%
10/10
@PurduePUR
Win prob:48%
10/24
vsIowaIOWA
Win prob:33%
10/31
@IndianaIU
Win prob:7%
11/07
vsUCLAUCLA
Win prob:56%
11/14
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:18%
11/21
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:54%
11/27
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:35%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0.0%
79.5%
7-2
0.4%
22.4%
6-3
2.6%
0.3%
5-4
9.3%
0%
4-5
21.2%
0%
3-6
29.2%
0%
2-7
24.2%
0%
1-8
10.9%
0%
0-9
2.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Minnesota CCG Opponents

if Minnesota makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
42.9%
OregonOregon
28.6%
IndianaIndiana
21.4%
Penn StatePenn St
7.1%
NebraskaNebraska
0.0%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaThis Week's Impact

Game
MinnesotaCCG OddsAway
MinnesotaCCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MinnesotaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Minnesota CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
66.7%
<0.1%
Washington
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Purdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Indiana
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
19.2%
0.2%
Mississippi StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronNorthwestern
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi St
80.0%
<0.1%
Penn StWashington
66.7%
<0.1%
MichiganWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
UCLAWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNorthwestern
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternPenn St
50.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
IowaWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
MichiganPurdue
25.0%
<0.1%
IowaPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington
20.7%
<0.1%
IndianaNorthwestern
20.0%
<0.1%
Penn StWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn St
18.5%
<0.1%
IndianaWisconsin
12.5%
<0.1%
IndianaPurdue
12.5%
<0.1%
MichiganPenn St
12.5%
<0.1%
IndianaIowa
11.1%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan
5.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
10.8%
0.3%
MichiganMississippi StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StPenn StPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaMississippi StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIowaMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMississippi StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisPenn StPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisWashingtonWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StPenn StUCLA
75.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaMichigan
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaMississippi StPenn St
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronPenn StWashington
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaMississippi StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNorthwesternWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMississippi StPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StWashingtonWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StPenn StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
IowaMississippi StWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaPenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StNorthwestern
25.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMississippi StPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StWisconsin
22.2%
<0.1%
Mississippi StPenn StWashington
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaMississippi St
18.2%
<0.1%
MichiganMississippi StWashington
16.7%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaMichigan
14.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StPurdue
10.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StPenn St
9.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganMississippi St
4.2%
<0.1%
IndianaMichiganWisconsin
2.0%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn StWashington
1.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
6.9%
0.1%
AkronIndianaMississippi StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaMississippi StPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisMississippi StNorthwesternWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaMississippi StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMississippi StPurdueWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaMississippi StNorthwestern
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronEastern IllinoisIowaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaMichiganMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisMississippi StPenn StPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIowaMississippi StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaPenn StUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
Eastern IllinoisIndianaMississippi StPenn St
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronIndianaMichiganMississippi St
16.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StPurdueUCLA
10.0%
<0.1%
IowaMississippi StPenn StWashington
5.3%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaMississippi StWashington
3.2%
<0.1%
IndianaMississippi StPenn StPurdue
3.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com