MinnesotaGolden Gophers

5-3 T5th (3-2) in B1G

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Minnesota's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Minnesota has a 0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Minnesota's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Minnesota need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Minnesota's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 27.8%; even one more loss drops that to 1.0%.

What is the biggest game this week for Minnesota's Big Ten Championship Game odds?

Minnesota's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating UCLA would put its Big Ten Championship Game odds at 0.4%, while a loss would drop them to -.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/03	vsEastern IllinoisEIU	W59-7
2	9/12	vsMississippi StateMSST	L13-38
3	9/19	vsAkronAKR	W41-7
4	9/26	@WashingtonWASH	W27-24
5	10/03	vsMichiganMICH	W20-14
6	10/10	@PurduePUR	L13-41
8	10/24	vsIowaIOWA	W13-10
9	10/31	@IndianaIU	L16-23
10	11/07	vsUCLAUCLA	Win prob:28%
11	11/14	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:16%
12	11/21	vsNorthwesternNU	Win prob:24%
13	11/27	@WisconsinWIS	Win prob:24%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	0.3%	27.8%
6-3	3.7%	0.8%
5-4	19.0%	0%
4-5	42.4%	0%
3-6	34.7%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

IndianaIU

70.0%

Ohio StateOSU

20.0%

UCLAUCLA

10.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	NebraskaNEB@IllinoisILL	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	UCLAUCLA@MinnesotaMINN	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.4% (+0.3%)
	MarylandMD@PurduePUR	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	OregonORE@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
	Penn StatePSU@WashingtonWASH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
	RutgersRUTG@WisconsinWIS	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	IowaIOWA@NorthwesternNU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	Michigan StateMSU@MichiganMICH	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)