Kent StateGolden Flashes
0-0 T1st (0-0) in MAC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
2.3%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Kent State's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?
Kent State has a 2.3% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Kent State's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:3% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:1% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:54% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:33% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:17% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:13% | ||
| 10/24 | Win prob:53% | ||
| 10/30 | Win prob:28% | ||
| 11/10 | Win prob:35% | ||
| 11/17 | Win prob:31% | ||
| 11/24 | Win prob:41% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 0.3% | 98.2% |
| 6-2 | 2.4% | 60.9% |
| 5-3 | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| 4-4 | 20.6% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 29.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 24.6% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 11.7% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 2.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2.2% (-0.1%) | 2.5% (+0.1%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 4.0% • Scenario: 42.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 4.0% • Scenario: 42.1%
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
100.0%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
72.8%
0.5%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%97.5%
<0.1%96.3%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%76.9%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%53.3%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%25.8%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%21.7%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26