Kent StateGolden Flashes
1-1 T2nd (0-0) in MAC
Data from 2026-09-17
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.3%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Kent State's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?
Kent State has a 0.3% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Kent State's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | L0-57 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W36-15 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | Win prob:1% | |
| 4 | 9/26 | Win prob:47% | |
| 5 | 10/03 | Win prob:22% | |
| 6 | 10/10 | Win prob:2% | |
| 7 | 10/17 | Win prob:2% | |
| 8 | 10/24 | Win prob:40% | |
| 9 | 10/30 | Win prob:54% | |
| 11 | 11/10 | Win prob:35% | |
| 12 | 11/17 | Win prob:25% | |
| 13 | 11/24 | Win prob:31% |
Data from 2026-09-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 0.1% | 72.8% |
| 6-2 | 1.0% | 17.6% |
| 5-3 | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| 4-4 | 16.1% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 28.4% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 29.3% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 16.1% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 3.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-09-17
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-09-17
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 19Saturday, September 19 | |||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.4% (+0.1%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.3% (+0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-09-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
80.0%
<0.1%68.8%
<0.1%
50.0%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
59.1%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%95.8%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%84.4%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%67.7%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%30.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%17.0%
<0.1%15.6%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%9.7%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%7.8%
<0.1%Data from 2026-09-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-09-17