Iowa StateCyclones

Q: What is Iowa State's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?

Iowa State has a <0.1% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Iowa State's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

4-4 T8th (2-3) in B12

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Iowa State's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?

Iowa State has a <0.1% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Iowa State's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Iowa State need to do to reach the Big XII Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Iowa State's Big XII Championship Game odds at 2.4%.

What is the biggest game this week for Iowa State's Big XII Championship Game odds?

Iowa State's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Baylor would put its Big XII Championship Game odds at 0.2%, while a loss would drop them to -.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/05	vsSoutheast Missouri StateSEMO	W38-10
2	9/12	@IowaIOWA	L13-16
3	9/19	vsBowling GreenBGSU	W55-7
4	9/26	vsUtahUTAH	L17-31
5	10/03	vsWest VirginiaWVU	W45-42
6	10/09	@BYUBYU	L10-24
8	10/24	@ArizonaARIZ	L3-39
9	10/31	vsOklahoma StateOKST	W51-49
10	11/07	@BaylorBAY	Win prob:17%
11	11/14	vsCincinnatiCIN	Win prob:50%
12	11/20	@UCFUCF	Win prob:39%
13	11/28	vsKansas StateKSU	Win prob:50%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-3	1.6%	2.4%
5-4	13.9%	0%
4-5	35.7%	0%
3-6	36.1%	0%
2-7	12.7%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

UtahUTAH

100%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	TCUTCU@ArizonaARIZ	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	BYUBYU@UtahUTAH	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	Iowa StateISU@BaylorBAY	0.2% (+0.2%)	0.0% (-0.0%)
	Oklahoma StateOKST@Kansas StateKSU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
	CincinnatiCIN@HoustonHOU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	UCFUCF@KansasKU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	ColoradoCOLO@Arizona StateASU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	West VirginiaWVU@Texas TechTTU	0.1% (+0.1%)	0.0% (-0.0%)