Nebraska

NebraskaCornhuskers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Nebraska's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Nebraska has a 1.3% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Nebraska's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

NebraskaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsOhioOHIO
Win prob:87%
9/12
vsBowling GreenBGSU
Win prob:93%
9/19
vsNorth DakotaUND
Win prob:90%
9/26
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:64%
10/03
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:73%
10/10
vsIndianaIU
Win prob:24%
10/17
@OregonORE
Win prob:13%
10/31
vsWashingtonWASH
Win prob:53%
11/06
@IllinoisILL
Win prob:50%
11/14
@RutgersRUTG
Win prob:65%
11/21
vsOhio StOSU
Win prob:15%
11/27
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:40%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

NebraskaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.3%
96.2%
7-2
2.5%
37.3%
6-3
10.3%
0.9%
5-4
21.9%
0%
4-5
29.0%
0%
3-6
22.7%
0%
2-7
10.5%
0%
1-8
2.5%
0%
0-9
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Nebraska CCG Opponents

if Nebraska makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
46.0%
OregonOregon
25.4%
IndianaIndiana
17.5%
Penn StatePenn St
6.3%
MichiganMichigan
4.8%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

NebraskaThis Week's Impact

Game
NebraskaCCG OddsAway
NebraskaCCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
1.5%
(+0.2%)		1.3%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

NebraskaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Nebraska CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
96.7%
0.2%
Iowa
100.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Maryland
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
98.3%
<0.1%
Oregon
96.8%
<0.1%
Indiana
95.2%
<0.1%
Rutgers
90.9%
<0.1%
Washington
85.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
39.2%
1.9%
OhioRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndiana
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaMaryland
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinois
100.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioOregon
91.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan St
87.5%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan St
87.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhio St
83.3%
<0.1%
IndianaOhio
81.8%
<0.1%
RutgersWashington
80.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisWashington
80.0%
<0.1%
IowaWashington
78.6%
<0.1%
MarylandWashington
75.0%
<0.1%
IowaRutgers
64.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndiana
63.9%
<0.1%
MarylandOregon
61.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMaryland
60.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan St
57.1%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowa
55.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregon
51.4%
<0.1%
IowaOregon
51.4%
0.1%
IndianaIowa
50.9%
<0.1%
IndianaRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMaryland
50.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregon
49.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio St
47.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhio St
46.9%
<0.1%
OregonRutgers
46.2%
<0.1%
IowaOhio St
46.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio St
45.5%
<0.1%
Ohio StWashington
43.5%
<0.1%
OregonWashington
40.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StWashington
37.5%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington
26.7%
<0.1%
IndianaOregon
24.6%
0.3%
Ohio StOregon
24.0%
0.4%
IndianaOhio St
21.7%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
7.8%
3.3%
Bowling GreenMichigan StOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhioRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowaWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMarylandRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan StNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth DakotaWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMichigan StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNorth DakotaRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhioOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaRutgersWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMarylandOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhioOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMichigan StNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMarylandNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenNorth DakotaOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaOhioWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhioWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaMarylandOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhioRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMarylandOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMarylandOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaOhio
80.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowaOregon
76.9%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth DakotaOhio St
75.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisOhio St
75.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOregon
73.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioOregon
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowaOhio St
66.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StOhio
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandOhioOhio St
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaIowa
66.7%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth DakotaWashington
66.7%
<0.1%
North DakotaOregonRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandNorth DakotaOregon
66.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhioOhio St
66.7%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaOhio
62.5%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth DakotaOregon
62.5%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhioOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOhio St
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNorth DakotaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhio StWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMichigan StOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaOhioWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth DakotaRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaMarylandRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhio StRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhioOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhioOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StNorth Dakota
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaMichigan St
50.0%
<0.1%
IowaOhioOhio St
41.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaMaryland
40.0%
<0.1%
OhioOhio StWashington
37.5%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhioOhio St
36.4%
<0.1%
IowaOhioOregon
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhio StRutgers
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaOhioRutgers
33.3%
<0.1%
OhioOhio StRutgers
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandOhio
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaNorth Dakota
33.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StNorth DakotaOhio St
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaOregon
30.8%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth DakotaOhio St
30.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth DakotaOregon
27.6%
<0.1%
IndianaOhioOhio St
25.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOregonWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaOhio
25.0%
<0.1%
OhioOhio StOregon
22.2%
<0.1%
OhioOregonWashington
21.4%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOregonRutgers
20.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNorth DakotaOhio St
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaOhioOregon
17.9%
<0.1%
North DakotaOregonWashington
16.7%
<0.1%
MarylandOregonRutgers
16.7%
<0.1%
OhioOregonRutgers
16.7%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonRutgers
13.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaOhio St
13.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhio StOregon
12.5%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhio StOregon
12.2%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan StOhio St
10.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan StOregon
10.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandMichigan St
9.1%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StRutgers
8.3%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StOregon
7.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan StOregon
6.3%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio StRutgers
5.3%
<0.1%
MarylandOregonWashington
5.3%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan StOhio St
4.8%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhio StRutgers
4.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaRutgers
4.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio StWashington
3.7%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaMichigan St
3.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhio StWashington
3.3%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaRutgers
3.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaWashington
3.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregonWashington
2.6%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregonRutgers
2.4%
<0.1%
IowaMarylandOregon
2.2%
<0.1%
OregonRutgersWashington
2.1%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaOhio St
2.1%
0.3%
IllinoisOhio StWashington
1.6%
<0.1%
IowaOhio StRutgers
1.6%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandOregon
1.3%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio StOregon
1.3%
0.2%
IowaOregonRutgers
1.2%
<0.1%
Ohio StOregonRutgers
1.2%
0.3%
IowaOhio StWashington
1.1%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaOhio St
0.9%
0.1%
IndianaOregonRutgers
0.8%
0.1%
Michigan StOhio StOregon
0.8%
0.3%
IllinoisIowaOregon
0.8%
0.1%
IndianaMichigan StOregon
0.7%
0.1%
IndianaOregonWashington
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
4.7%
0.6%
Bowling GreenMarylandNorth DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisOhioOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan StNorth DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth DakotaOhioOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOhioOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhioOhio StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaMichigan StOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisIowaNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMichigan StNorth DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenNorth DakotaOhio StRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisOhioOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOhioOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMarylandMichigan StNorth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaMarylandOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhioOregonRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaNorth DakotaOhio
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNorth DakotaOhioOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMarylandNorth DakotaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaNorth DakotaOhio
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNorth DakotaOhioOhio St
40.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaNorth DakotaOregon
33.3%
<0.1%
North DakotaOhio StRutgersWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhioOregonWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan StOhioOregon
20.0%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOregonRutgers
16.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandNorth DakotaOregon
16.7%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan StOhioOhio St
14.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth DakotaOregonRutgers
11.1%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaIowaOhio
10.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaMarylandOhio St
9.1%
<0.1%
IllinoisNorth DakotaOregonWashington
8.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisIndianaOhio St
6.3%
<0.1%
IowaOhioOregonWashington
5.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaOhioOregon
5.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhio StOregonWashington
3.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaIowaOregon
3.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIllinoisOhio StOregon
3.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaOhioOhio St
2.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowaOhio StOregon
2.1%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaOhioOregon
1.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIndianaOhio StOregon
1.2%
<0.1%
IowaNorth DakotaOhio StOregon
1.2%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com