Wisconsin

WisconsinBadgers

1-1 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Wisconsin's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Wisconsin has a 0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Wisconsin's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

WisconsinSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/06
vsNotre DameND(N)
L13-41
29/12
vsWestern IllinoisWIU
W36-9
39/19
vsE MichiganEMU
Win prob:97%
49/26
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:9%
510/03
vsMichigan StMSU
Win prob:55%
710/17
@UCLAUCLA
Win prob:28%
810/24
vsUSCUSC
Win prob:13%
910/31
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:20%
1011/07
vsRutgersRUTG
Win prob:85%
1111/14
@MarylandMD
Win prob:32%
1211/21
@PurduePUR
Win prob:52%
1311/27
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:70%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
51.4%
7-2
1.1%
4.2%
6-3
5.8%
0%
5-4
17.4%
0%
4-5
29.5%
0%
3-6
28.0%
0%
2-7
14.2%
0%
1-8
3.5%
0%
0-9
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Wisconsin CCG Opponents

if Wisconsin makes the CCG

OSUOhio St
60.0%
IUIndiana
30.0%
PSUPenn St
10.0%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinThis Week's Impact

Game
WisconsinCCG OddsAway Wins
WisconsinCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Sep 18
Portland StatePRST@OregonORE
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@IllinoisILL
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
USCUSC@RutgersRUTG
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@MichiganMICH
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@IowaIOWA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
0.1%
(+0.1%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@WashingtonWASH
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
North DakotaUND@NebraskaNEB
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NorthwesternNU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@Notre DameND
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
PurduePUR@UCLAUCLA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Wisconsin CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
51.1%
<0.1%
E Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Purdue
68.2%
<0.1%
UCLA
67.1%
<0.1%
Iowa
60.3%
<0.1%
Maryland
60.2%
<0.1%
Michigan St
52.9%
<0.1%
Penn St
48.4%
<0.1%
Minnesota
47.1%
<0.1%
USC
42.5%
<0.1%
Rutgers
20.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
4.2%
1.0%
E MichiganUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowa
83.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganMaryland
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandRutgers
25.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdue
21.4%
<0.1%
PurdueRutgers
20.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesota
17.9%
<0.1%
MarylandPurdue
16.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn St
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan St
16.5%
<0.1%
Michigan StUCLA
13.9%
<0.1%
MarylandUCLA
12.8%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan St
10.9%
<0.1%
IowaMinnesota
10.7%
<0.1%
IowaMaryland
10.4%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgers
9.8%
<0.1%
PurdueUCLA
9.8%
<0.1%
IowaUCLA
9.7%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUCLA
8.8%
<0.1%
IowaPurdue
7.1%
<0.1%
RutgersUCLA
6.7%
<0.1%
MarylandPenn St
5.9%
<0.1%
Michigan StPenn St
5.2%
<0.1%
Penn StUCLA
5.1%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdue
5.0%
<0.1%
IowaRutgers
5.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
4.3%
<0.1%
IowaPenn St
4.2%
0.1%
Michigan StUSC
3.6%
<0.1%
PurdueUSC
2.9%
<0.1%
UCLAUSC
2.8%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSC
2.4%
<0.1%
MarylandUSC
1.8%
<0.1%
IowaUSC
1.3%
<0.1%
Penn StUSC
0.7%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaUCLA
57.1%
<0.1%
E MichiganPurdueUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StPurdue
14.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganIowaPenn St
9.8%
<0.1%
E MichiganPenn StUCLA
4.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com