WisconsinBadgers

5-3 T5th (3-2) in B1G

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

4.2%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Wisconsin's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Wisconsin has a 4.2% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Wisconsin's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Wisconsin need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Wisconsin's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 12.3%.

What is the biggest game this week for Wisconsin's Big Ten Championship Game odds?

Wisconsin's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Rutgers would put its Big Ten Championship Game odds at 4.6%, while a loss would drop them to -.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/06	vsNotre DameND(N)	L13-41
2	9/12	vsWestern IllinoisWIU	W36-9
3	9/19	vsEastern MichiganEMU	W54-10
4	9/26	@Penn StatePSU	W24-20
5	10/03	vsMichigan StateMSU	W31-3
7	10/17	@UCLAUCLA	L7-17
8	10/24	vsUSCUSC	W24-7
9	10/31	@IowaIOWA	L0-30
10	11/07	vsRutgersRUTG	Win prob:90%
11	11/14	@MarylandMD	Win prob:80%
12	11/21	@PurduePUR	Win prob:62%
13	11/27	vsMinnesotaMINN	Win prob:76%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	33.9%	12.3%
6-3	43.8%	0%
5-4	18.9%	0%
4-5	3.2%	0%
3-6	0.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

57.5%

25.4%

16.2%

0.7%

0.2%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	NebraskaNEB@IllinoisILL	4.2% (+0.0%)	4.1% (-0.1%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	UCLAUCLA@MinnesotaMINN	3.4% (-0.8%)	6.2% (+2.0%)
	MarylandMD@PurduePUR	4.1% (-0.1%)	4.2% (+0.0%)
	OregonORE@Ohio StateOSU	4.4% (+0.2%)	4.1% (-0.1%)
	Penn StatePSU@WashingtonWASH	4.1% (-0.0%)	4.2% (+0.0%)
	RutgersRUTG@WisconsinWIS	0.0% (-4.2%)	4.6% (+0.5%)
	IowaIOWA@NorthwesternNU	3.5% (-0.6%)	4.6% (+0.4%)
	Michigan StateMSU@MichiganMICH	4.2% (+0.0%)	4.1% (-0.0%)