Michigan StateSpartans
2-6 T17th (0-5) in B1G
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Michigan State's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?
Michigan State has a - chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Michigan State has been eliminated from Big Ten Championship Game contention.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/04 | W30-20 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W35-7 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | L10-27 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L13-31 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L3-31 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L37-38 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L21-24 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | L10-28 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:15% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:37% | |
| 12 | 11/20 | Win prob:12% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:59% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | 0.4% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 6.0% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 28.8% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 45.3% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 19.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02