South Carolina

South CarolinaGamecocks

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is South Carolina's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

South Carolina has a 2.9% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. South Carolina's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

South CarolinaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
Win prob:97%
9/12
Win prob:90%
9/19
Win prob:72%
9/26
Win prob:26%
10/03
Win prob:70%
10/10
Win prob:40%
10/24
Win prob:48%
10/31
Win prob:31%
11/07
Win prob:37%
11/14
Win prob:61%
11/21
Win prob:27%
11/28
Win prob:40%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

South CarolinaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.6%
95.8%
7-2
3.6%
53.5%
6-3
11.5%
3.3%
5-4
22.9%
0%
4-5
27.7%
0%
3-6
21.3%
0%
2-7
9.8%
0%
1-8
2.4%
0%
0-9
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely South Carolina CCG Opponents

if South Carolina makes the CCG

39.3%
29.1%
11.5%
10.7%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

South CarolinaThis Week's Impact

Game
South CarolinaCCG OddsAway
South CarolinaCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

South CarolinaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
South Carolina CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
96.7%
0.2%
Clemson
100.0%
<0.1%
Tennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas
100.0%
<0.1%
Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia
97.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma
96.9%
<0.1%
Texas A&M
96.2%
<0.1%
Alabama
91.3%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
62.0%
1.6%
ClemsonTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
KentKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKent
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&MTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
KentOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKent
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia
98.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonFlorida
97.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonTexas A&M
97.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemson
94.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahoma
93.4%
<0.1%
FloridaKentucky
90.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemson
82.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaTowson
80.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi St
80.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFlorida
77.8%
<0.1%
FloridaTexas A&M
75.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaKent
75.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi St
71.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi St
70.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahoma
67.3%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas A&M
64.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasTennessee
63.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas A&M
62.5%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahoma
61.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahoma
60.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
58.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansas
58.6%
<0.1%
FloridaTennessee
58.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaFlorida
54.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentucky
52.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentucky
52.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennessee
52.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahoma
52.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennessee
51.1%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
50.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentucky
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia
48.2%
0.1%
ArkansasTexas A&M
46.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia
46.6%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennessee
46.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahoma
46.2%
0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&M
44.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
44.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi St
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia
30.8%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
22.8%
5.5%
ClemsonTexas A&MTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKent
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas A&MTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMississippi StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKent
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaKent
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonTennesseeTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennesseeTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
KentOklahomaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentMississippi StTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTowson
85.7%
<0.1%
FloridaTexas A&MTowson
83.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaMississippi St
81.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentTexas A&M
80.0%
<0.1%
FloridaTennesseeTowson
80.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaTowson
77.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyTennessee
75.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentOklahoma
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTexas A&M
72.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFlorida
69.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyOklahoma
68.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFlorida
68.0%
0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentucky
67.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentucky
67.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaMississippi St
67.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonKentucky
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTowson
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasTowson
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKent
66.7%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTowson
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTennessee
65.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaTowson
63.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaTexas A&M
63.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StTexas A&M
62.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTennessee
60.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonTennesseeTexas A&M
58.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennesseeTowson
57.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaOklahoma
57.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemson
55.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTennessee
55.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgia
54.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahoma
53.5%
0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyTexas A&M
52.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgia
51.4%
0.1%
ClemsonFloridaTennessee
51.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTexas A&M
51.2%
0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaKent
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&MTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennesseeTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
KentTennesseeTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasTennesseeTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasKent
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaKent
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaOklahoma
48.7%
0.1%
AlabamaClemsonMississippi St
47.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTexas A&M
47.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentucky
46.7%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&MTowson
42.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StOklahoma
41.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StTennessee
41.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaTexas A&M
41.0%
0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaTennessee
39.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgia
39.2%
0.2%
FloridaKentTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&MTowson
28.6%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTexas A&MTowson
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyMississippi St
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaKentucky
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyOklahoma
13.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaKentucky
13.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi St
13.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyTexas A&M
10.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyOklahoma
9.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasOklahoma
8.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StOklahoma
7.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaKentucky
7.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMississippi St
7.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTennessee
6.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaTennessee
5.5%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTennessee
5.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StOklahoma
4.9%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTexas A&M
4.7%
0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOklahoma
4.6%
0.1%
AlabamaFloridaMississippi St
4.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaTexas A&M
4.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasFlorida
4.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTennessee
4.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaTennessee
4.1%
0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaKentucky
4.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaTennessee
4.0%
0.1%
AlabamaFloridaTexas A&M
3.7%
0.1%
FloridaKentuckyTexas A&M
3.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennesseeTexas A&M
3.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTennessee
3.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaOklahoma
3.4%
0.2%
GeorgiaKentuckyTexas A&M
3.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaGeorgia
3.1%
0.2%
ArkansasFloridaTexas A&M
3.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaOklahoma
3.1%
0.3%
AlabamaArkansasTennessee
2.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeTexas A&M
2.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaTexas A&M
2.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyOklahoma
2.6%
<0.1%
FloridaTennesseeTexas A&M
2.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTexas A&M
2.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StOklahoma
2.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaMississippi St
2.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaTexas A&M
2.3%
0.2%
GeorgiaOklahomaTennessee
1.8%
0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaOklahoma
1.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTennessee
1.6%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTexas A&M
1.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaTexas A&M
1.4%
0.2%
AlabamaArkansasGeorgia
1.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaTexas A&M
1.1%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
5.8%
6.3%
ClemsonFloridaMississippi StTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StTennesseeTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonKentTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgiaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentOklahomaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentuckyTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StTexas A&MTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTennesseeTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTexas A&MTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyOklahomaTowson
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentOklahoma
83.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaOklahomaTowson
80.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonTowson
80.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaKent
75.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentTexas A&M
71.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentKentuckyOklahoma
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentuckyTowson
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaKent
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentuckyTowson
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyTexas A&MTowson
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaOklahomaTowson
65.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaTowson
60.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaTowson
60.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaTowson
60.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentTexas A&M
60.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTexas A&MTowson
57.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaTexas A&MTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTennesseeTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonKentOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTennesseeTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTennesseeTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyTennesseeTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentOklahomaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentOklahomaTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StOklahomaTowson
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentMississippi StTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaKent
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahomaTowson
45.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaTennesseeTowson
44.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonTennesseeTexas A&MTowson
44.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTexas A&MTowson
43.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentTennessee
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaGeorgiaKent
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaTennesseeTowson
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaMississippi StTowson
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaTexas A&MTowson
30.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahomaTowson
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentOklahoma
25.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonKentuckyTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTennesseeTowson
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonKentucky
23.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaMississippi StTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaKentuckyTowson
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTexas A&MTowson
16.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaMississippi St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgiaKentucky
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonMississippi StTennessee
14.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeTexas A&MTowson
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahomaTennessee
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaMississippi St
11.5%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTennesseeTowson
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonFlorida
10.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaTexas A&M
9.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonMississippi StOklahoma
9.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyOklahomaTexas A&M
8.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonOklahomaTexas A&M
8.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgiaMississippi St
7.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonKentuckyTexas A&M
7.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonTennessee
6.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaMississippi StOklahoma
6.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaTexas A&MTowson
6.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentuckyTennessee
6.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaKentucky
5.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaKentucky
5.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonGeorgia
5.6%
0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyOklahomaTennessee
5.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonMississippi StTennessee
5.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentuckyTexas A&M
5.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaMississippi St
5.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaMississippi StTennessee
5.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonTennesseeTexas A&M
5.1%
0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StTennesseeTexas A&M
5.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaGeorgiaTowson
5.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaOklahomaTennessee
4.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaMississippi St
4.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentuckyOklahoma
4.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaTennesseeTexas A&M
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaTennessee
4.5%
0.1%
ClemsonFloridaKentuckyTexas A&M
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaKentucky
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonTexas A&M
4.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StOklahomaTennessee
4.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonTennesseeTexas A&M
4.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonMississippi StOklahomaTexas A&M
4.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaTexas A&MTowson
3.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaOklahoma
3.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaOklahoma
3.7%
0.2%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaTennessee
3.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentuckyTennessee
3.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonOklahomaTennesseeTexas A&M
3.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonKentuckyOklahoma
3.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasClemsonOklahoma
3.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaOklahomaTowson
3.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaTexas A&M
3.0%
0.2%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaOklahoma
2.9%
0.2%
ClemsonFloridaMississippi StOklahoma
2.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaOklahoma
2.8%
0.4%
ArkansasClemsonFloridaGeorgia
2.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaMississippi StTexas A&M
2.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaTennessee
2.5%
0.2%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentuckyTennessee
2.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaOklahomaTexas A&M
2.2%
0.1%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgiaOklahoma
2.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgiaTennessee
2.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonOklahomaTexas A&M
2.0%
0.3%
AlabamaClemsonGeorgiaTexas A&M
2.0%
0.4%
AlabamaClemsonKentuckyTexas A&M
1.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonMississippi StOklahoma
1.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaOklahomaTennessee
1.7%
0.2%
ClemsonGeorgiaKentuckyOklahoma
1.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaGeorgia
1.5%
0.3%
AlabamaClemsonFloridaTexas A&M
1.5%
0.2%
ArkansasClemsonGeorgiaTexas A&M
1.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonFloridaGeorgiaTennessee
1.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaTennesseeTexas A&M
0.9%
0.1%
ClemsonGeorgiaOklahomaTexas A&M
0.8%
0.3%
AlabamaClemsonOklahomaTennessee
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com