South CarolinaGamecocks
5-3 T9th (3-3) in SEC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.5%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is South Carolina's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?
South Carolina has a 0.5% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. South Carolina's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What does South Carolina need to do to reach the SEC Championship Game?
A perfect run to the end of the season puts South Carolina's SEC Championship Game odds at 4.8%; even one more loss drops that to 5.1%.
What is the biggest game this week for South Carolina's SEC Championship Game odds?
South Carolina's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Texas A&M would put its SEC Championship Game odds at 0.9%, while a loss would drop them to -.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | W57-0 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W45-9 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | L34-41 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L18-49 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L34-35 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W38-19 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | W27-24 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W42-25 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:57% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:81% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:22% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:63% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| 5-4 | 46.1% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 37.5% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 6.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.5% (-0.0%) | 0.6% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.9% (+0.4%) | 0.4% (-0.1%) | ||
| 0.0% (-0.5%) | 0.9% (+0.4%) | ||
| 0.4% (-0.1%) | 0.6% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.2% (-0.3%) | 0.6% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.3% (-0.2%) | 0.6% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.4% (-0.1%) | 0.6% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.5% (+0.0%) | 0.5% (-0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
Mississippi State
Georgia
Tennessee
Florida
Arkansas
LSU
MissouriSouth CarolinaCCG: 4.0% • Scenario: 0.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Mississippi StateSouth CarolinaCCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 45.7%
Data from 2026-11-02
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
CCG Probability
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02