Arkansas

ArkansasRazorbacks

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Arkansas's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Arkansas has a 0.2% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Arkansas's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

ArkansasSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsNorth AlabamaUNA
Win prob:90%
9/12
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:35%
9/19
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:15%
9/26
vsTulsaTLSA
Win prob:82%
10/03
@Texas A&MTA&M
Win prob:14%
10/10
vsTennesseeTENN
Win prob:32%
10/17
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:34%
10/31
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:38%
11/07
@AuburnAUB
Win prob:28%
11/14
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:39%
11/21
@TexasTEX
Win prob:7%
11/28
vsLSULSU
Win prob:22%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0.0%
100.0%
7-2
0.1%
66.7%
6-3
0.7%
11.6%
5-4
3.7%
0%
4-5
11.9%
0%
3-6
24.4%
0%
2-7
30.6%
0%
1-8
21.9%
0%
0-9
6.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Arkansas CCG Opponents

if Arkansas makes the CCG

TexasTexas
53.8%
GeorgiaGeorgia
23.1%
Texas A&MTexas A&M
7.7%
OklahomaOklahoma
7.7%
LSULSU
7.7%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasThis Week's Impact

Game
ArkansasCCG OddsAway
ArkansasCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Arkansas CCG Probability
Likelihood
Vanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&MVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
TexasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&MUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
TexasVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
UtahVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas
66.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
TexasTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
38.5%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaUtahVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&MUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas A&MUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriUtahVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriNorth AlabamaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUTulsaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUUtahVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas A&MUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennesseeUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTexasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas A&MVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
TexasTexas A&MUtah
83.3%
<0.1%
LSUTexasUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexasUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexasUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasUtah
60.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
TexasUtahVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTexasVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
TexasTexas A&MVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
AuburnTexasTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexasTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
19.6%
0.2%
LSUSouth CarolinaTennesseeUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaLSUUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNorth AlabamaTexasTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexasTulsaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
North AlabamaSouth CarolinaTexasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNorth AlabamaTexas A&MUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaUtahVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasTulsaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
North AlabamaTennesseeTexas A&MVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTulsaUtahVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas A&MTulsaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexas A&MTulsaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexasTulsaUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&MUtahVanderbilt
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriTexasUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUTexasTexas A&MTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennesseeTexasUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUUtahVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaTexasUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTexasUtahVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNorth AlabamaTexasVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriTexas A&MTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeTexas A&MUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeTexas A&MUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexasTexas A&MUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaTexasUtah
40.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasTexas A&MTulsa
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&MTulsaUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeTexasUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriTennesseeUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
TexasTexas A&MUtahVanderbilt
28.6%
<0.1%
LSUTexasUtahVanderbilt
27.3%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasUtahVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeTexasUtah
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMissouriUtah
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexasUtahVanderbilt
22.2%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaTexas A&MUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUTexasUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaTexasUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexasUtahVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaTexasUtah
15.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTexas A&MUtah
14.3%
<0.1%
LSUTennesseeTexasUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaTexasUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&MUtahVanderbilt
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexasTexas A&MUtah
6.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com