Pittsburgh

PittsburghPanthers

2-0 T5th (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

10.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Pittsburgh's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Pittsburgh has a 10.0% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Pittsburgh's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

PittsburghSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsMiami OHM-OH
W59-14
29/12
vsUCFUCF
W12-7
39/17
vsSyracuseSYR
Win prob:86%
49/26
vsBucknellBUCK
Win prob:90%
510/02
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:46%
610/10
vsNorth CarolinaUNC
Win prob:74%
710/17
@Boston CollegeBC
Win prob:86%
810/24
@Miami FLMIA
Win prob:8%
910/31
vsGeorgia TechGT
Win prob:85%
1111/13
vsFlorida StFSU
Win prob:71%
1211/21
@LouisvilleLOU
Win prob:41%
1311/28
@CaliforniaCAL
Win prob:81%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PittsburghRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.4%
100.0%
8-1
6.4%
82.0%
7-2
21.8%
19.4%
6-3
32.3%
0.6%
5-4
24.9%
0%
4-5
10.9%
0%
3-6
2.9%
0%
2-7
0.4%
0%
1-8
0.0%
0%
0-9
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Pittsburgh CCG Opponents

if Pittsburgh makes the CCG

MIAMiami FL
82.1%
SMUSMU
8.8%
UVAVirginia
3.9%
LOULouisville
3.5%
VTVirginia Tech
1.2%
DUKEDuke
0.3%
WAKEWake Forest
<0.1%
CLEMClemson
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PittsburghThis Week's Impact

Game
PittsburghCCG OddsAway Wins
PittsburghCCG OddsHome Wins
Thu, Sep 17
SyracuseSYR@PittsburghPITT
2.3%
(-7.7%)		11.3%
(+1.3%)
Fri, Sep 18
Miami FLMIA@Wake ForestWAKE
10.0%
(-0.1%)		10.8%
(+0.8%)
Sat, Sep 19
MercerMER@Georgia TechGT
10.2%
(+0.1%)		10.0%
(-0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@ClemsonCLEM
10.2%
(+0.2%)		9.9%
(-0.1%)
NC StateNCSU@VanderbiltVAN
10.1%
(+0.1%)		10.0%
(-0.0%)
MaineME@Boston CollegeBC
9.9%
(-0.1%)		10.0%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@AlabamaALA
9.8%
(-0.2%)		10.0%
(+0.0%)
SMUSMU@LouisvilleLOU
7.9%
(-2.1%)		11.9%
(+1.9%)
WagnerWAG@CaliforniaCAL
10.1%
(+0.1%)		10.0%
(-0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@DukeDUKE
10.1%
(+0.1%)		10.0%
(-0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
10.0%
(-0.0%)		10.1%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@VirginiaUVA
10.0%
(-0.0%)		10.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PittsburghLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Pittsburgh CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.4%
Any 1 loss
82.1%
5.8%
Bucknell
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia Tech
97.5%
<0.1%
California
93.6%
<0.1%
Syracuse
93.1%
<0.1%
Louisville
90.2%
0.5%
North Carolina
89.8%
0.1%
Boston College
81.9%
<0.1%
Miami FL
81.4%
4.2%
Virginia Tech
72.4%
0.4%
Florida St
70.7%
0.2%
Any 2 losses
21.4%
20.2%
BucknellSyracuse
95.5%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia Tech
93.5%
<0.1%
BucknellCalifornia
93.4%
<0.1%
BucknellLouisville
90.5%
<0.1%
BucknellNorth Carolina
86.6%
<0.1%
BucknellMiami FL
81.2%
0.5%
BucknellVirginia Tech
76.2%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida St
75.1%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknell
73.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia Tech
43.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia Tech
40.2%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNorth Carolina
38.2%
<0.1%
Georgia TechSyracuse
35.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCalifornia
34.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth Carolina
33.5%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth Carolina
32.4%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgia Tech
32.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FL
31.1%
0.7%
Boston CollegeMiami FL
29.8%
0.7%
Georgia TechLouisville
29.8%
<0.1%
North CarolinaSyracuse
28.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSyracuse
28.6%
<0.1%
Miami FLNorth Carolina
28.5%
1.5%
CaliforniaSyracuse
26.7%
<0.1%
Florida StSyracuse
26.1%
<0.1%
Florida StNorth Carolina
25.5%
<0.1%
Georgia TechVirginia Tech
24.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FL
24.7%
1.0%
LouisvilleSyracuse
24.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaLouisville
24.4%
0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisville
23.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLSyracuse
22.7%
0.7%
North CarolinaVirginia Tech
22.7%
0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida St
21.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleNorth Carolina
21.3%
0.2%
SyracuseVirginia Tech
20.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeFlorida St
20.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeVirginia Tech
20.3%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FL
19.4%
1.7%
CaliforniaVirginia Tech
18.1%
0.1%
Florida StVirginia Tech
17.2%
0.2%
Miami FLVirginia Tech
16.0%
4.9%
LouisvilleMiami FL
15.8%
6.1%
LouisvilleVirginia Tech
14.4%
0.6%
Florida StLouisville
14.1%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
3.1%
17.3%
BucknellGeorgia TechNorth Carolina
45.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellCalifornia
42.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellNorth Carolina
37.0%
<0.1%
BucknellNorth CarolinaSyracuse
35.7%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StGeorgia Tech
35.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellMiami FL
32.5%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaGeorgia Tech
30.8%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechMiami FL
30.7%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechVirginia Tech
29.3%
<0.1%
BucknellMiami FLNorth Carolina
29.1%
0.2%
BucknellGeorgia TechLouisville
28.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellLouisville
26.1%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechSyracuse
25.0%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaMiami FL
24.8%
0.1%
BucknellNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
24.1%
<0.1%
BucknellMiami FLSyracuse
24.0%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaNorth Carolina
23.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellVirginia Tech
22.8%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaFlorida St
22.7%
<0.1%
BucknellSyracuseVirginia Tech
21.3%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StMiami FL
20.9%
0.2%
BucknellCaliforniaVirginia Tech
20.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellFlorida St
20.8%
<0.1%
BucknellLouisvilleSyracuse
20.7%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaLouisville
20.6%
<0.1%
BucknellLouisvilleNorth Carolina
19.8%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaSyracuse
18.8%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StNorth Carolina
17.6%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StSyracuse
16.7%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StVirginia Tech
16.4%
<0.1%
BucknellLouisvilleMiami FL
15.7%
0.7%
BucknellMiami FLVirginia Tech
15.3%
0.5%
BucknellLouisvilleVirginia Tech
14.1%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StLouisville
13.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellGeorgia Tech
10.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechSyracuse
3.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaNorth Carolina
3.4%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StSyracuse
3.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNorth CarolinaSyracuse
2.6%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgia TechSyracuse
2.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeFlorida StNorth Carolina
2.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechMiami FL
1.9%
0.1%
Georgia TechNorth CarolinaSyracuse
1.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaFlorida St
1.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeSyracuseVirginia Tech
1.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FLSyracuse
1.5%
0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaLouisville
1.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleSyracuse
1.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLNorth CarolinaSyracuse
1.3%
0.2%
Boston CollegeFlorida StMiami FL
1.2%
0.3%
Georgia TechLouisvilleNorth Carolina
1.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StGeorgia Tech
1.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMiami FLNorth Carolina
1.2%
0.3%
North CarolinaSyracuseVirginia Tech
1.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
1.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLSyracuse
1.1%
0.1%
Boston CollegeCaliforniaMiami FL
1.1%
0.1%
Florida StNorth CarolinaSyracuse
1.1%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSyracuse
1.1%
0.3%
Florida StMiami FLNorth Carolina
1.0%
0.6%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechMiami FL
1.0%
0.2%
Boston CollegeMiami FLNorth Carolina
0.9%
0.2%
Georgia TechMiami FLNorth Carolina
0.9%
0.2%
CaliforniaFlorida StNorth Carolina
0.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StMiami FL
0.9%
0.4%
Boston CollegeFlorida StLouisville
0.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechSyracuseVirginia Tech
0.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleMiami FL
0.8%
1.0%
Georgia TechLouisvilleSyracuse
0.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
0.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
0.7%
1.7%
Florida StGeorgia TechMiami FL
0.7%
0.3%
Boston CollegeLouisvilleVirginia Tech
0.7%
0.1%
Georgia TechLouisvilleMiami FL
0.6%
1.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.6%
0.8%
Georgia TechMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.6%
0.9%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechLouisville
0.6%
<0.1%
Florida StLouisvilleVirginia Tech
0.6%
0.3%
CaliforniaMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.6%
1.1%
CaliforniaLouisvilleMiami FL
0.6%
1.4%
Miami FLSyracuseVirginia Tech
0.6%
0.8%
CaliforniaLouisvilleSyracuse
0.6%
<0.1%
CaliforniaFlorida StLouisville
0.6%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.5%
2.0%
CaliforniaGeorgia TechVirginia Tech
0.5%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
0.7%
1.8%
BucknellCaliforniaFlorida StNorth Carolina
7.7%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
4.5%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
3.7%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechLouisvilleNorth Carolina
2.7%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaLouisvilleNorth Carolina
2.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellFlorida StLouisville
2.3%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaFlorida StVirginia Tech
2.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellMiami FLNorth Carolina
1.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellFlorida StMiami FL
1.6%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
1.6%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellMiami FLSyracuse
1.5%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StMiami FLNorth Carolina
1.2%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StGeorgia TechMiami FL
1.1%
<0.1%
BucknellMiami FLSyracuseVirginia Tech
1.1%
<0.1%
BucknellFlorida StMiami FLSyracuse
1.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellMiami FLVirginia Tech
1.0%
<0.1%
BucknellLouisvilleNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
0.9%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.9%
0.1%
BucknellMiami FLNorth CarolinaSyracuse
0.8%
<0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaMiami FLNorth Carolina
0.8%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechMiami FLSyracuse
0.8%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechLouisvilleVirginia Tech
0.7%
<0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechMiami FLVirginia Tech
0.7%
0.1%
BucknellCaliforniaFlorida StMiami FL
0.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeBucknellCaliforniaMiami FL
0.7%
<0.1%
BucknellLouisvilleMiami FLNorth Carolina
0.6%
0.2%
BucknellMiami FLNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
0.5%
0.2%
BucknellFlorida StLouisvilleMiami FL
0.5%
0.3%
BucknellCaliforniaLouisvilleMiami FL
0.5%
0.1%
BucknellGeorgia TechLouisvilleMiami FL
0.5%
0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PittsburghCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com