UCFKnights
4-4 T8th (2-3) in B12
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is UCF's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?
UCF has a <0.1% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UCF's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/03 | W73-6 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | L7-12 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W44-30 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | W21-13 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L17-27 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L28-42 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | W39-31 | |
| 9 | 10/30 | L9-41 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:36% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:63% | |
| 12 | 11/20 | Win prob:61% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:54% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 7.6% | 0.2% |
| 5-4 | 29.2% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 38.1% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 20.9% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 4.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
TCUUCF
Cincinnati
West Virginia
Iowa State
Kansas StateCCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
UCFCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 36.4%
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02