West Virginia

West VirginiaMountaineers

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is West Virginia's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?

West Virginia has a 0.3% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. West Virginia's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

West VirginiaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsCoastal CarCCU
W31-24
29/12
vsUT MartinUTM
W52-7
39/19
vsVirginiaUVA(N)
Win prob:17%
49/26
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:52%
510/03
@Iowa StISU
Win prob:43%
610/10
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:42%
710/17
vsCincinnatiCIN
Win prob:34%
810/24
@TCUTCU
Win prob:26%
1011/07
@Texas TechTTU
Win prob:7%
1111/14
vsKansasKU
Win prob:59%
1211/21
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:32%
1311/27
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:8%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
92.4%
7-2
0.4%
41.5%
6-3
2.8%
2.2%
5-4
10.1%
0%
4-5
22.0%
0%
3-6
29.3%
0%
2-7
23.4%
0%
1-8
10.1%
0%
0-9
1.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible West Virginia CCG Opponents

if West Virginia makes the CCG

BYUBYU
33.3%
TTUTexas Tech
29.6%
UTAHUtah
18.5%
KSUKansas St
7.4%
HOUHouston
3.7%
BAYBaylor
3.7%
CINCincinnati
3.7%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaThis Week's Impact

Game
West VirginiaCCG OddsAway Wins
West VirginiaCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Sep 18
HoustonHOU@Texas TechTTU
0.3%
(+0.1%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Sat, Sep 19
Arizona StASU@KansasKU
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Iowa StISU
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@Kansas StKSU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Miami OHM-OH@CincinnatiCIN
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@UtahUTAH
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@BaylorBAY
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@UCFUCF
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Murray StateMUR@Oklahoma StOKST
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@Colorado StCSU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NorthwesternNU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@VirginiaUVA
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@TCUTCU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@ArizonaARIZ
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
West Virginia CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Cincinnati
100.0%
<0.1%
Houston
100.0%
<0.1%
TCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas Tech
92.3%
<0.1%
Utah
80.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
66.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
60.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUVirginia
96.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaVirginia
92.3%
<0.1%
Texas TechVirginia
90.7%
<0.1%
UtahVirginia
90.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StVirginia
87.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma St
66.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
66.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiUtah
52.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHouston
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas Tech
48.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtah
48.0%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
44.2%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
42.9%
<0.1%
KansasTexas Tech
41.7%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
41.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah
40.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas Tech
40.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas Tech
39.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas Tech
39.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechUtah
38.3%
<0.1%
TCUUtah
36.6%
<0.1%
HoustonTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonUtah
28.1%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHouston
16.7%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
19.4%
0.7%
ArizonaKansasVirginia
80.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StVirginia
78.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonVirginia
76.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUVirginia
76.2%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasVirginia
71.4%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StVirginia
63.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StVirginia
62.5%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StVirginia
60.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasVirginia
60.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtahVirginia
57.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUVirginia
55.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUVirginia
53.8%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUVirginia
53.2%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechVirginia
50.3%
<0.1%
KansasUtahVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtahVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechVirginia
47.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
47.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StVirginia
46.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtahVirginia
46.6%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechVirginia
44.8%
<0.1%
HoustonUtahVirginia
40.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTCU
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUVirginia
39.3%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechVirginia
38.2%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StVirginia
38.1%
<0.1%
Texas TechUtahVirginia
37.3%
0.1%
TCUUtahVirginia
36.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechVirginia
36.5%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StVirginia
36.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StVirginia
35.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechVirginia
34.6%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiUtahVirginia
33.1%
<0.1%
KansasTCUVirginia
31.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansas
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah
18.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiIowa St
16.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTCU
16.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUtah
10.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTexas Tech
9.5%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtah
9.1%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTexas Tech
9.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtah
8.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTCU
7.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTCU
7.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTexas Tech
6.9%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTCU
6.9%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTexas Tech
5.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTexas Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTexas Tech
4.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StUtah
4.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah
4.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUTexas Tech
4.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTexas Tech
3.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtah
3.5%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUtah
3.5%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas Tech
3.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StUtah
3.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtah
3.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTexas Tech
3.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtah
2.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUTexas Tech
2.8%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasUtah
2.8%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUTexas Tech
2.7%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTexas Tech
2.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUUtah
2.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUtah
2.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiUtah
2.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUtah
2.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTexas Tech
1.9%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUUtah
1.8%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUtah
1.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTexas Tech
1.8%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTexas Tech
1.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechUtah
1.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUtah
1.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUtah
1.2%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtah
0.9%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUTexas Tech
0.8%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUtah
0.6%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
2.2%
2.2%
ArizonaKansasOklahoma StVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTCUVirginia
12.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonKansasVirginia
11.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCUVirginia
11.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansasVirginia
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StKansasVirginia
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTCUVirginia
9.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTCUVirginia
8.7%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTCUVirginia
8.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonIowa StVirginia
7.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUtahVirginia
6.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonOklahoma StVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StKansasVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StOklahoma StVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTexas TechVirginia
5.9%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StOklahoma StVirginia
5.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
5.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCUVirginia
4.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTexas TechVirginia
4.8%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUtahVirginia
4.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtahVirginia
4.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTexas TechVirginia
4.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasUtahVirginia
4.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
4.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StUtahVirginia
4.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiOklahoma StVirginia
4.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtahVirginia
4.2%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtahVirginia
4.1%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas TechVirginia
4.1%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtahVirginia
4.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUTexas TechVirginia
4.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUTexas TechVirginia
3.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtahVirginia
3.5%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
3.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTexas TechVirginia
3.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTCUVirginia
3.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiIowa StVirginia
3.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiUtahVirginia
3.1%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StUtahVirginia
3.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtahVirginia
3.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTCUVirginia
2.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUtahVirginia
2.9%
0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtahVirginia
2.8%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUtahVirginia
2.8%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtahVirginia
2.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTCUVirginia
2.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUtahVirginia
2.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTexas TechVirginia
2.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiHoustonVirginia
2.4%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUtahVirginia
2.4%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
2.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonIowa StVirginia
2.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTCUVirginia
2.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUTexas TechVirginia
2.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtahVirginia
2.2%
<0.1%
KansasTCUTexas TechVirginia
2.2%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUtahVirginia
2.1%
0.1%
HoustonKansasTexas TechVirginia
2.1%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUTexas TechVirginia
2.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTexas TechVirginia
2.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtahVirginia
1.9%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUtahVirginia
1.9%
0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTCUVirginia
1.8%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTexas TechVirginia
1.6%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechUtahVirginia
1.6%
0.2%
HoustonTCUUtahVirginia
1.6%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTexas TechVirginia
1.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUTexas TechVirginia
1.4%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtahVirginia
1.3%
0.3%
ArizonaHoustonTCUVirginia
1.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUUtahVirginia
1.3%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUtahVirginia
1.2%
0.2%
CincinnatiHoustonUtahVirginia
1.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com