West VirginiaMountaineers
5-3 T8th (2-3) in B12
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is West Virginia's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?
West Virginia has a - chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. West Virginia's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What does West Virginia need to do to reach the Big XII Championship Game?
A perfect run to the end of the season puts West Virginia's Big XII Championship Game odds at 12.1%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | W31-24 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W52-7 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W38-27 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L24-41 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L42-45 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L31-52 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | W45-42 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | W24-20 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:7% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:48% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:20% | |
| 13 | 11/27 | Win prob:5% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 0.0% | 12.1% |
| 5-4 | 1.3% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 14.3% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 47.8% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 36.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 6.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 6.9%
Data from 2026-11-02
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02