West Virginia

West VirginiaMountaineers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is West Virginia's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?

West Virginia has a 1.5% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. West Virginia's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

West VirginiaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
Win prob:81%
9/12
Win prob:90%
9/19
Win prob:33%
9/26
Win prob:48%
10/03
Win prob:47%
10/10
Win prob:40%
10/17
Win prob:46%
10/24
Win prob:31%
11/07
Win prob:9%
11/14
Win prob:50%
11/21
Win prob:40%
11/27
Win prob:26%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
96.4%
7-2
1.2%
68.4%
6-3
5.2%
10.7%
5-4
14.2%
0.1%
4-5
24.6%
0%
3-6
27.2%
0%
2-7
18.7%
0%
1-8
7.4%
0%
0-9
1.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely West Virginia CCG Opponents

if West Virginia makes the CCG

18.9%
5.5%
3.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaThis Week's Impact

Game
West VirginiaCCG OddsAway
West VirginiaCCG OddsHome
1.5%
(-0.0%)
1.5%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

West VirginiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
West Virginia CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
97.5%
<0.1%
Texas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas
100.0%
<0.1%
TCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Cincinnati
100.0%
<0.1%
Houston
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal Car
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
87.5%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
71.1%
0.3%
Coastal CarTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal Car
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
UtahVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechVirginia
92.6%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
85.7%
<0.1%
HoustonUtah
76.9%
<0.1%
KansasTCU
75.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
74.2%
<0.1%
HoustonTCU
66.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
66.7%
<0.1%
Texas TechUtah
64.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas Tech
61.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah
57.1%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas Tech
54.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
TCUUtah
44.4%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
31.7%
1.7%
CincinnatiCoastal CarVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTexas TechVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechUT MartinUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKansasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
UT MartinUtahVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUT MartinUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTCUVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKansasTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUT MartinUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUT MartinUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUtahVirginia
92.3%
<0.1%
KansasUtahVirginia
90.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StTexas Tech
87.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtahVirginia
84.6%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechVirginia
84.2%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtahVirginia
81.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTCUUtah
80.0%
<0.1%
KansasTCUVirginia
77.8%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUVirginia
77.8%
<0.1%
TCUUtahVirginia
76.9%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTexas Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUVirginia
75.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonVirginia
75.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTCUTexas Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechVirginia
74.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUVirginia
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechVirginia
60.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiUtahVirginia
60.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechVirginia
59.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechUtahVirginia
58.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUVirginia
57.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTexas TechUtah
57.1%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtahVirginia
53.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechVirginia
52.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarHouston
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUT Martin
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarIowa St
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonTexas Tech
42.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasVirginia
40.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTCU
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonIowa St
40.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTCU
37.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKansasTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTCU
25.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StUtah
25.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonIowa St
25.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtah
22.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTCU
22.2%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTexas Tech
20.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTCU
16.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTexas Tech
15.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUTexas Tech
14.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUtah
14.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTexas Tech
13.6%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUUtah
13.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUtah
12.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTCU
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiUtah
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTexas Tech
10.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtah
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUTexas Tech
8.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUTexas Tech
8.9%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechUtah
8.7%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUtah
8.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTexas Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUtah
8.2%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUtah
7.7%
<0.1%
KansasTCUTexas Tech
7.7%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtah
7.4%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtah
7.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTexas Tech
7.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUtah
7.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTexas Tech
6.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTexas Tech
6.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTexas Tech
5.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTexas Tech
5.3%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasTexas Tech
5.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUTexas Tech
4.1%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas Tech
3.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUTexas Tech
3.6%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
14.8%
2.8%
CincinnatiCoastal CarKansasVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarIowa StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarHoustonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTCUUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonKansasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUUT MartinUtahVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StKansasVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiCoastal CarVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StTCUVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTCUTexas TechUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StTexas TechUT Martin
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKansasTCUVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUT MartinUtahVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StTCUVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarHoustonVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarOklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonTCUVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StUtahVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonOklahoma StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUT MartinVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonIowa StVirginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTCUTexas TechVirginia
85.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StUtahVirginia
83.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKansasTexas TechVirginia
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
75.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonTexas TechVirginia
71.4%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarTexas TechVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarTCUVirginia
66.7%
<0.1%
Texas TechUT MartinUtahVirginia
63.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiOklahoma StVirginia
60.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarUtahVirginia
57.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTexas TechUtahVirginia
54.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarHoustonUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTexas TechVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiUT MartinUtahVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StKansasTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarHoustonTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTCUUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCUUT Martin
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUT MartinVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUT MartinUtahVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKansasUtahVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarKansasUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTCUUtahVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarIowa StTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUT MartinVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTCUVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StOklahoma StTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarOklahoma StTexas Tech
42.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiKansasVirginia
42.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma StVirginia
40.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUtahVirginia
40.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StTexas TechVirginia
37.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOklahoma StTexas TechUtah
37.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonUtahVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonKansasTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StTCUUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechUT MartinVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUT MartinUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiHoustonVirginia
30.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiCoastal CarTexas Tech
28.6%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtahVirginia
28.6%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasTexas TechVirginia
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StKansasVirginia
25.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtahVirginia
25.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTCUVirginia
25.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTCUVirginia
25.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasUtahVirginia
25.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
23.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtahVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas TechVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTCUVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTCUVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StOklahoma StVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StOklahoma StVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonIowa StVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTexas TechUT Martin
20.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTexas TechUT Martin
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTexas TechVirginia
18.6%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTCUVirginia
18.2%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUtahVirginia
17.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTexas TechVirginia
17.2%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StUtahVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUUtahVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StTCUVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUTexas TechUT Martin
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarKansasTexas Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUT MartinUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarIowa StTexas TechUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUtahVirginia
16.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtahVirginia
16.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTexas TechVirginia
15.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCUVirginia
15.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTexas TechUtah
15.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiKansasTexas TechVirginia
14.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarOklahoma StTexas Tech
14.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonUtahVirginia
13.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
13.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
13.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUtahVirginia
13.0%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
12.8%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUT MartinUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonIowa StTexas Tech
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiKansasUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUTexas TechVirginia
11.8%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarHoustonTexas Tech
11.1%
<0.1%
CincinnatiCoastal CarTCUTexas Tech
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtahVirginia
11.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonTexas TechUtah
10.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaTexas TechUtahVirginia
10.2%
0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCUVirginia
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCoastal CarTCUTexas Tech
10.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtahVirginia
10.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StOklahoma StVirginia
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTCUVirginia
10.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUUtahVirginia
9.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonTCUVirginia
9.1%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUtahVirginia
9.1%
0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTCUVirginia
9.1%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasTCUVirginia
9.1%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTCUTexas TechVirginia
8.8%
<0.1%
KansasTCUTexas TechVirginia
8.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUTexas TechVirginia
8.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTexas TechVirginia
8.3%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUT MartinUtah
8.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtahVirginia
8.3%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTCUUtah
8.3%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtahVirginia
7.7%
0.2%
ArizonaCoastal CarTexas TechUtah
7.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StUtahVirginia
7.7%
<0.1%
CincinnatiOklahoma StTCUVirginia
7.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUTexas TechVirginia
7.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtahVirginia
7.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUTexas TechVirginia
7.1%
0.1%
HoustonIowa StUtahVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaCincinnatiTexas TechVirginia
5.5%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTexas TechVirginia
5.4%
<0.1%
CincinnatiTexas TechUtahVirginia
5.1%
0.1%
CincinnatiHoustonTexas TechVirginia
4.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTexas TechVirginia
4.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtahVirginia
3.9%
<0.1%
CincinnatiIowa StTCUTexas Tech
1.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com