Southern Miss

Southern MissGolden Eagles

3-5 T4th (2-2) in SBC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.8%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Southern Miss's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Southern Miss has a 1.8% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Southern Miss's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What is the biggest game this week for Southern Miss's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds?

The biggest swing game for Southern Miss's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds this week isn't even its own: a Troy win would boost them to 4.3%, while a Louisiana Tech win would leave them at 0.5%.

Southern MissSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsAlcorn StateALCN
W49-3
29/12
@AuburnAUB
L8-43
39/19
vsUConnCONN
L20-48
49/26
@TulaneTULN
L21-24
610/06
@TroyTROY
L34-55
710/17
vsArkansas StARST
L13-23
810/24
vsLouisianaUL
W35-31
910/31
@ULMULM
W35-21
1011/05
vsJames MadisonJMU
Win prob:12%
1111/14
@Louisiana TechLT
Win prob:12%
1211/21
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:47%
1311/28
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:53%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Southern MissRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
6-2
0.3%
31.6%
5-3
5.9%
15.6%
4-4
30.1%
2.5%
3-5
44.2%
0%
2-6
19.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Southern Miss CCG Opponents

if Southern Miss makes the CCG

JMUJames Madison
92.1%
GASOGa Southern
5.6%
CCUCoastal Car
1.7%
APPAppalachian St
0.6%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Southern MissThis Week's Impact

Game
Southern MissCCG OddsAway Wins
Southern MissCCG OddsHome Wins
Thu, Nov 5
James MadisonJMU@Southern MissUSM
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7
Old DominionODU@Coastal CarCCU
1.7%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@Appalachian StAPP
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
ULMULM@Arkansas StARST
2.4%
(+0.6%)		1.7%
(-0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ga SouthernGASO
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@TroyTROY
0.5%
(-1.3%)		4.3%
(+2.5%)
South AlabamaUSA@LouisianaUL
1.8%
(+0.1%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Southern Miss

TroyTroyGeorgia StGeorgia StateGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernULMUL MonroeSouth AlabamaSouth AlabamaOld DominionOld Dominion

CCG: 4.9% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Southern Miss

TroyTroy

CCG: 4.4% • Scenario: 33.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Southern MissCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com