Ga Southern

Georgia SouthernEagles

1-1 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

8.5%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Georgia Southern's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Georgia Southern has a 8.5% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia Southern's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Ga SouthernSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsCharleston SouthernCHSO
W31-0
29/12
@ClemsonCLEM
L7-22
39/19
@Jacksonville StJXST
Win prob:46%
49/26
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:11%
510/03
@Coastal CarCCU
Win prob:48%
610/10
vsJames MadisonJMU
Win prob:32%
710/15
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:39%
910/31
vsAppalachian StAPP
Win prob:45%
1011/07
vsMarshallMRSH
Win prob:76%
1111/14
@Georgia StGAST
Win prob:46%
1211/21
@TroyTROY
Win prob:45%
1311/28
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:54%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.2%
100.0%
7-1
2.1%
76.4%
6-2
9.0%
37.1%
5-3
20.4%
12.7%
4-4
28.1%
2.4%
3-5
24.0%
0.0%
2-6
12.3%
0%
1-7
3.4%
0%
0-8
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Ga Southern CCG Opponents

if Ga Southern makes the CCG

LTLouisiana Tech
23.5%
ULLouisiana
21.7%
USMSouthern Miss
19.6%
USASouth Alabama
13.1%
TROYTroy
12.0%
ARSTArkansas St
10.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernThis Week's Impact

Game
Ga SouthernCCG OddsAway Wins
Ga SouthernCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
Coastal CarCCU@DelawareDEL
8.6%
(+0.1%)		8.5%
(-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@BaylorBAY
8.4%
(-0.1%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@ULMULM
8.4%
(-0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@Appalachian StAPP
8.5%
(-0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU
8.5%
(-0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Missouri StMOST
8.4%
(-0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Jacksonville StJXST
8.5%
(+0.0%)		8.5%
(-0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@UCFUCF
8.4%
(-0.1%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
8.5%
(-0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@MissouriMIZ
8.4%
(-0.1%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
UConnCONN@Southern MissUSM
8.5%
(+0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@TCUTCU
8.6%
(+0.1%)		8.5%
(-0.0%)
UABUAB@LouisianaUL
8.5%
(+0.0%)		8.5%
(+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@San Diego StSDSU
8.5%
(+0.0%)		8.5%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Ga Southern CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
89.2%
0.2%
Houston
100.0%
<0.1%
Troy
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Marshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal Car
95.7%
<0.1%
Georgia St
91.3%
<0.1%
Old Dominion
85.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian St
65.3%
<0.1%
James Madison
36.4%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
66.6%
1.6%
Jacksonville StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTroy
100.0%
0.1%
HoustonJacksonville St
100.0%
0.1%
HoustonLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMarshall
98.1%
<0.1%
MarshallTroy
97.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarTroy
94.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHouston
94.0%
0.1%
Georgia StJacksonville St
92.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisiana Tech
91.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StHouston
90.4%
0.1%
Georgia StLouisiana Tech
89.6%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOld Dominion
89.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville St
88.9%
<0.1%
Georgia StTroy
88.6%
<0.1%
Old DominionTroy
88.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StOld Dominion
85.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOld Dominion
84.4%
0.1%
Appalachian StTroy
64.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJacksonville St
62.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StHouston
59.6%
0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana Tech
58.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisiana Tech
45.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StMarshall
43.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarshall
39.4%
<0.1%
HoustonJames Madison
35.4%
0.2%
James MadisonTroy
34.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StJames Madison
34.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia St
26.8%
<0.1%
MarshallOld Dominion
24.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StOld Dominion
24.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld Dominion
20.8%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshall
16.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal Car
11.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia St
10.8%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshall
10.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames Madison
8.8%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOld Dominion
8.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames Madison
6.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonOld Dominion
2.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames Madison
1.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
42.3%
5.9%
HoustonJacksonville StTroy
100.0%
0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisiana TechTroy
100.0%
0.1%
HoustonJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonJacksonville StMarshall
99.1%
<0.1%
HoustonMarshallTroy
98.3%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisiana TechMarshall
98.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallTroy
97.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechMarshall
97.2%
<0.1%
Georgia StJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
93.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonLouisiana Tech
93.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StHoustonTroy
92.3%
0.1%
Georgia StHoustonJacksonville St
92.2%
0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonTroy
92.1%
0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StTroy
92.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonJacksonville St
91.8%
0.1%
Georgia StHoustonLouisiana Tech
91.6%
0.1%
Georgia StLouisiana TechTroy
91.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StJacksonville StTroy
91.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMarshallTroy
89.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
89.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisiana TechTroy
87.6%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOld DominionTroy
85.3%
<0.1%
HoustonLouisiana TechOld Dominion
84.1%
0.1%
HoustonJacksonville StOld Dominion
84.0%
0.2%
HoustonOld DominionTroy
84.0%
0.2%
Jacksonville StOld DominionTroy
82.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLouisiana TechOld Dominion
81.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechTroy
68.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StHoustonLouisiana Tech
64.1%
0.1%
Appalachian StJacksonville StTroy
62.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StHoustonTroy
60.7%
0.1%
Appalachian StHoustonJacksonville St
60.0%
0.1%
Appalachian StJacksonville StLouisiana Tech
59.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StLouisiana TechMarshall
46.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StMarshall
46.5%
<0.1%
Georgia StJacksonville StMarshall
43.8%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisiana TechTroy
39.5%
<0.1%
HoustonJames MadisonTroy
38.9%
0.3%
Coastal CarHoustonMarshall
38.6%
<0.1%
HoustonJames MadisonLouisiana Tech
36.6%
0.2%
Georgia StHoustonMarshall
36.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StJames MadisonTroy
35.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StJames MadisonLouisiana Tech
35.7%
<0.1%
HoustonJacksonville StJames Madison
35.6%
0.2%
Coastal CarMarshallTroy
35.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StTroy
34.4%
<0.1%
Georgia StMarshallTroy
34.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StLouisiana Tech
31.2%
<0.1%
MarshallOld DominionTroy
30.2%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StHouston
28.6%
0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StJacksonville St
28.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMarshallOld Dominion
27.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisiana TechMarshall
27.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallTroy
26.2%
<0.1%
Georgia StOld DominionTroy
25.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMarshallOld Dominion
25.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisiana TechOld Dominion
24.6%
<0.1%
Georgia StJacksonville StOld Dominion
22.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonOld Dominion
22.1%
0.2%
Georgia StHoustonOld Dominion
21.6%
0.2%
Georgia StLouisiana TechOld Dominion
20.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StOld Dominion
20.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisiana TechMarshall
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StHoustonMarshall
17.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld DominionTroy
15.8%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMarshallOld Dominion
13.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StTroy
11.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarTroy
11.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StHouston
11.3%
0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarHouston
10.6%
0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StJacksonville St
10.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarLouisiana Tech
9.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshallTroy
9.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJacksonville StMarshall
9.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarJacksonville St
9.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOld DominionTroy
9.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StLouisiana Tech
7.6%
<0.1%
HoustonJames MadisonMarshall
7.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonLouisiana Tech
7.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonLouisiana Tech
6.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StJames MadisonMarshall
6.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarHoustonJames Madison
6.3%
0.2%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMarshall
6.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StHoustonJames Madison
5.9%
0.2%
Coastal CarJames MadisonTroy
5.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StHoustonOld Dominion
5.8%
0.2%
Appalachian StJacksonville StOld Dominion
5.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StJames Madison
5.2%
<0.1%
Georgia StJacksonville StJames Madison
5.2%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonTroy
4.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechOld Dominion
4.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisiana TechOld Dominion
4.0%
<0.1%
HoustonJames MadisonOld Dominion
3.2%
0.3%
James MadisonOld DominionTroy
2.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StJames MadisonOld Dominion
2.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonLouisiana Tech
1.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StHoustonJames Madison
1.2%
0.2%
Appalachian StJames MadisonTroy
1.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com