Ga Southern

Georgia SouthernEagles

4-4 2nd (3-1) in SBC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

6.3%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Georgia Southern's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Georgia Southern has a 6.3% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia Southern's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Georgia Southern need to do to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Georgia Southern's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds at 8.4%.

What is the biggest game this week for Georgia Southern's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds?

Georgia Southern's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Marshall would put its Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds at 6.9%, while a loss would drop them to 2.7%.

Ga SouthernSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsCharleston SouthernCHSO
W31-0
29/12
@ClemsonCLEM
L7-22
39/19
@Jacksonville StJXST
L27-31
49/26
vsHoustonHOU
L28-42
510/03
@Coastal CarCCU
W31-24
610/10
vsJames MadisonJMU
L24-27
710/15
@Old DominionODU
W23-15
910/31
vsAppalachian StAPP
W19-3
1011/07
vsMarshallMRSH
Win prob:86%
1111/14
@Georgia StGAST
Win prob:60%
1211/21
@TroyTROY
Win prob:60%
1311/28
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:51%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
15.8%
8.4%
6-2
38.8%
6.9%
5-3
33.0%
5.5%
4-4
11.2%
3.6%
3-5
1.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Ga Southern CCG Opponents

if Ga Southern makes the CCG

LTLouisiana Tech
93.4%
USMSouthern Miss
1.6%
ULLouisiana
1.4%
ARSTArkansas St
1.3%
TROYTroy
1.3%
USASouth Alabama
1.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernThis Week's Impact

Game
Ga SouthernCCG OddsAway Wins
Ga SouthernCCG OddsHome Wins
Thu, Nov 5
James MadisonJMU@Southern MissUSM
6.3%
(+0.0%)		6.2%
(-0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7
Old DominionODU@Coastal CarCCU
5.0%
(-1.3%)		6.6%
(+0.4%)
Georgia StGAST@Appalachian StAPP
5.0%
(-1.3%)		7.0%
(+0.8%)
ULMULM@Arkansas StARST
6.2%
(-0.0%)		6.3%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ga SouthernGASO
2.7%
(-3.5%)		6.9%
(+0.6%)
Louisiana TechLT@TroyTROY
6.3%
(+0.0%)		6.2%
(-0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@LouisianaUL
6.3%
(+0.0%)		6.2%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Ga Southern

Louisiana TechLouisiana TechJames MadisonJames MadisonAppalachian StApp StateGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernULMUL MonroeSouth AlabamaSouth AlabamaCoastal CarCoastal Carolina

CCG: 9.3% • Scenario: 0.3%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Ga Southern

Appalachian StApp StateGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernCoastal CarCoastal Carolina

CCG: 7.7% • Scenario: 40.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Ga Southern CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
8.4%
15.8%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Ga SouthernCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com