Georgia SouthernEagles
0-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
11.7%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Georgia Southern's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?
Georgia Southern has a 11.7% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia Southern's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:7% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:44% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:22% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:52% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:40% | ||
| 10/15 | Win prob:35% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:58% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:56% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:59% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:41% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:58% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.3% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 2.9% | 80.0% |
| 6-2 | 10.5% | 43.6% |
| 5-3 | 22.0% | 15.7% |
| 4-4 | 28.0% | 3.4% |
| 3-5 | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| 2-6 | 10.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 2.9% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game |
|---|
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
87.1%
0.5%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%94.6%
<0.1%90.5%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%81.8%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%73.3%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%64.3%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%61.1%
<0.1%58.3%
<0.1%52.9%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
65.6%
2.4%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%97.0%
<0.1%95.2%
<0.1%93.1%
<0.1%91.4%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%89.7%
<0.1%88.7%
<0.1%88.5%
<0.1%88.2%
<0.1%86.4%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%84.5%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%67.7%
0.2%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%65.4%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%58.1%
<0.1%57.5%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%46.7%
<0.1%45.5%
0.2%44.4%
<0.1%43.5%
<0.1%35.7%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%27.8%
<0.1%26.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.4%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.0%
<0.1%7.3%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.0%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
46.3%
7.0%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
0.2%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%97.4%
<0.1%97.4%
<0.1%97.2%
<0.1%97.0%
0.1%95.4%
<0.1%94.6%
0.1%92.9%
<0.1%91.5%
<0.1%90.5%
0.1%90.3%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%89.2%
<0.1%89.0%
<0.1%88.4%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%86.7%
<0.1%85.9%
0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.1%
<0.1%85.0%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.9%
<0.1%82.4%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%77.3%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%73.3%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%68.6%
0.1%67.4%
0.2%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%65.6%
0.1%62.5%
0.3%62.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%58.8%
<0.1%56.3%
0.1%55.6%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%54.3%
0.2%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%49.0%
0.2%46.2%
<0.1%45.5%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%41.2%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%38.9%
<0.1%38.5%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%36.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%31.4%
<0.1%30.6%
<0.1%30.4%
<0.1%30.3%
<0.1%30.0%
<0.1%26.9%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%26.3%
<0.1%25.5%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%23.8%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%21.9%
<0.1%21.4%
<0.1%21.4%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.6%
<0.1%19.4%
<0.1%18.5%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.4%
<0.1%17.3%
0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%14.5%
0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.7%
0.2%13.6%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.1%
<0.1%13.0%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.4%
0.1%12.2%
<0.1%11.8%
0.1%11.5%
<0.1%11.4%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.4%
<0.1%9.0%
0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%7.9%
0.1%7.9%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.0%
0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.3%
0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.4%
<0.1%4.1%
<0.1%3.9%
0.3%3.2%
<0.1%2.6%
<0.1%1.8%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26