ULM

UL MonroeWarhawks

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is UL Monroe's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

UL Monroe has a 1.3% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UL Monroe's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

ULMSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:6%
9/12
@UABUAB
Win prob:36%
9/19
vsSE LouisianaSELA
Win prob:90%
9/26
vsFL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:37%
10/03
@South AlabamaUSA
Win prob:25%
10/17
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:34%
10/24
@TroyTROY
Win prob:20%
10/31
vsSouthern MissUSM
Win prob:25%
11/07
@Arkansas StARST
Win prob:23%
11/12
vsLouisianaUL
Win prob:31%
11/21
@Appalachian StAPP
Win prob:24%
11/28
vsMarshallMRSH
Win prob:32%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.0%
86.7%
6-2
0.6%
47.9%
5-3
2.9%
19.6%
4-4
10.0%
4.1%
3-5
22.7%
0.0%
2-6
31.2%
0%
1-7
24.3%
0%
0-8
8.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely ULM CCG Opponents

if ULM makes the CCG

James MadisonJames Madison
36.8%
Old DominionOld Dominion
25.6%
MarshallMarshall
13.7%
Georgia SouthernGa Southern
13.7%
App StateAppalachian St
10.3%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMThis Week's Impact

Game
ULMCCG OddsAway
ULMCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
ULM CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
48.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth AlabamaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTroyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth AlabamaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechTroyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallSouth AlabamaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaLouisiana TechMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StTroy
80.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouthern MissUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StTroyUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi StTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi StSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouthern MissTroy
16.7%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
45.2%
0.4%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMarshallMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMarshallMississippi StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMississippi StSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMarshallSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMississippi StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMississippi StSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMarshallMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisianaMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMarshallMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StSouth AlabamaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMississippi StSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StTroyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMississippi StTroyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticSouthern MissTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisianaMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSE LouisianaSouthern MissUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMississippi StSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMarshallMississippi StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi StSE LouisianaSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMarshallUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaLouisiana TechMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMarshallUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallMississippi StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticMarshallMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern MissTroyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisianaSE Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMarshallUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticSouthern MissUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallSouth AlabamaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechMarshallUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallMississippi StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StSE LouisianaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StSE LouisianaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticSouth AlabamaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StFL AtlanticMississippi St
85.7%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouth AlabamaUAB
80.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMississippi StUAB
75.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticMississippi StSouthern Miss
75.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisianaMississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi StSouth AlabamaUAB
75.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallMississippi StTroy
71.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippi StSouthern MissUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallMississippi StTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMississippi StSouth Alabama
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticMississippi StUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMississippi StUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMississippi StSouthern MissUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallTroyUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouthern MissUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallMississippi StUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMarshallMississippi StTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisianaMississippi StTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMarshallUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallMississippi StSouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StSouth AlabamaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisiana TechMarshall
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallSouth AlabamaTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMarshallSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StSouthern MissUAB
42.9%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechMississippi StTroy
40.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StSouth AlabamaTroy
40.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana TechMississippi StSouthern Miss
40.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMississippi StSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticMississippi StSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouthern MissTroyUAB
30.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth AlabamaTroyUAB
29.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMississippi StSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
28.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippi StTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMississippi StTroyUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StFL AtlanticSouth Alabama
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticMississippi StTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMississippi StSouth AlabamaTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMississippi StSouthern Miss
25.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMississippi StSouthern MissUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisiana TechMississippi St
20.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouthern MissTroy
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StTroyUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallMississippi StSouth Alabama
20.0%
<0.1%
MarshallMississippi StSouth AlabamaTroy
16.7%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechMarshallMississippi StTroy
16.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallMississippi StTroy
16.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallMississippi StSouthern Miss
16.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMississippi StTroy
15.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisianaMississippi St
14.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMississippi StSouthern Miss
14.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallMississippi StSouthern Miss
14.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com