ULM

UL MonroeWarhawks

0-2 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is UL Monroe's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

UL Monroe has a <0.1% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UL Monroe's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

ULMSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
@Mississippi StMSST
L13-62
29/12
@UABUAB
L20-26
39/19
vsSE LouisianaSELA
Win prob:90%
49/26
vsFL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:21%
510/03
@South AlabamaUSA
Win prob:7%
710/17
vsLouisiana TechLT
Win prob:13%
810/24
@TroyTROY
Win prob:8%
910/31
vsSouthern MissUSM
Win prob:13%
1011/07
@Arkansas StARST
Win prob:8%
1111/12
vsLouisianaUL
Win prob:12%
1211/21
@Appalachian StAPP
Win prob:4%
1311/28
vsMarshallMRSH
Win prob:30%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
0%
7-1
0%
0%
6-2
0%
66.7%
5-3
0.1%
23.1%
4-4
0.7%
3.1%
3-5
4.7%
0.0%
2-6
19.0%
0%
1-7
40.6%
0%
0-8
34.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible ULM CCG Opponents

if ULM makes the CCG

JMUJames Madison
66.7%
APPAppalachian St
33.3%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMThis Week's Impact

Game
ULMCCG OddsAway Wins
ULMCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
Coastal CarCCU@DelawareDEL
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@BaylorBAY
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@ULMULM
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@Appalachian StAPP
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Missouri StMOST
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Jacksonville StJXST
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@UCFUCF
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@MissouriMIZ
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
UConnCONN@Southern MissUSM
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@TCUTCU
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
UABUAB@LouisianaUL
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@San Diego StSDSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
ULM CCG Probability
Likelihood
Appalachian StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

ULMCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com