Louisiana Tech

Louisiana TechBulldogs

6-2 1st (4-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

93.3%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Louisiana Tech's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Louisiana Tech has a 93.3% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Louisiana Tech's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Louisiana Tech need to do to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Louisiana Tech's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds at 100%; even one more loss drops that to 100%.

What is the biggest game this week for Louisiana Tech's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds?

Louisiana Tech's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Troy would put its Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds at 98.5%, while a loss would drop them to 82.8%.

Louisiana TechSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsNorthwestern StateNWST
W80-6
29/12
@LSULSU
L14-45
39/19
@BaylorBAY
L19-36
510/03
vsArmyARMY
W31-29
610/10
vsLouisianaUL
W32-31
710/17
@ULMULM
W24-0
810/24
vsOld DominionODU
W26-0
910/31
@South AlabamaUSA
W35-20
1011/07
@TroyTROY
Win prob:67%
1111/14
vsSouthern MissUSM
Win prob:88%
1211/21
vsArkansas StARST
Win prob:79%
1311/28
@Ga SouthernGASO
Win prob:49%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
22.7%
100.0%
7-1
44.2%
100.0%
6-2
26.7%
89.1%
5-3
6.0%
43.3%
4-4
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Louisiana Tech CCG Opponents

if Louisiana Tech makes the CCG

JMUJames Madison
92.1%
GASOGa Southern
6.3%
CCUCoastal Car
1.3%
APPAppalachian St
0.3%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechThis Week's Impact

Game
Louisiana TechCCG OddsAway Wins
Louisiana TechCCG OddsHome Wins
Thu, Nov 5
James MadisonJMU@Southern MissUSM
93.3%
(+0.0%)		93.2%
(-0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7
Old DominionODU@Coastal CarCCU
93.5%
(+0.2%)		93.2%
(-0.1%)
Georgia StGAST@Appalachian StAPP
93.2%
(-0.0%)		93.3%
(+0.0%)
ULMULM@Arkansas StARST
95.0%
(+1.7%)		93.2%
(-0.1%)
MarshallMRSH@Ga SouthernGASO
93.2%
(-0.0%)		93.3%
(+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@TroyTROY
98.5%
(+5.2%)		82.8%
(-10.5%)
South AlabamaUSA@LouisianaUL
90.7%
(-2.6%)		93.9%
(+0.7%)

Best Winner Combination for Louisiana Tech

Louisiana TechLouisiana TechSouthern MissSouthern MissGeorgia StGeorgia StateMarshallMarshallULMUL MonroeLouisianaLouisianaOld DominionOld Dominion

CCG: 99.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Louisiana Tech

Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech

CCG: 98.5% • Scenario: 66.9%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Louisiana Tech CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
22.7%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
44.2%
Any 2 losses
89.1%
26.7%
Ga SouthernTroy
100.0%
11.8%
Arkansas StGa Southern
100.0%
6.3%
Ga SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
3.2%
Arkansas StTroy
51.4%
3.0%
Southern MissTroy
37.8%
1.5%
Arkansas StSouthern Miss
36.5%
0.8%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com