Louisiana Tech

Louisiana TechBulldogs

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

13.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Louisiana Tech's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Louisiana Tech has a 13.1% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Louisiana Tech's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Louisiana TechSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
Win prob:90%
9/12
Win prob:3%
9/19
Win prob:14%
10/03
Win prob:47%
10/10
Win prob:53%
10/17
Win prob:66%
10/24
Win prob:44%
10/31
Win prob:46%
11/07
Win prob:39%
11/14
Win prob:45%
11/19
Win prob:55%
11/28
Win prob:42%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.3%
100.0%
7-1
2.6%
83.3%
6-2
9.9%
49.5%
5-3
20.9%
20.9%
4-4
27.7%
5.0%
3-5
22.9%
0.1%
2-6
11.9%
0%
1-7
3.4%
0%
0-8
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Louisiana Tech CCG Opponents

if Louisiana Tech makes the CCG

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechThis Week's Impact

Game
Louisiana TechCCG OddsAway
Louisiana TechCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Louisiana Tech CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
91.1%
0.3%
LSUOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSU
100.0%
0.1%
BaylorLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
South AlabamaSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Alabama
94.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSU
87.5%
<0.1%
BaylorSouth Alabama
75.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouthern Miss
69.6%
<0.1%
LSUTroy
69.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylor
50.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisiana
50.0%
<0.1%
South AlabamaTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
73.4%
1.9%
BaylorGa SouthernLSU
100.0%
0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSU
100.0%
0.1%
BaylorLSUOld Dominion
100.0%
0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOld DominionSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOld DominionTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernTroyULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUULM
98.1%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionSouth Alabama
86.5%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUULM
85.7%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouth Alabama
85.5%
0.1%
ArmyLSUTroy
84.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUTroy
83.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUULM
83.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSU
83.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSU
82.3%
0.1%
ArmyBaylorSouthern Miss
80.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSULouisiana
78.2%
0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernTroy
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLouisiana
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouth Alabama
75.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUTroy
73.1%
0.2%
LSULouisianaOld Dominion
72.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSULouisiana
69.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUOld Dominion
68.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorOld Dominion
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaOld Dominion
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUSouthern Miss
63.6%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionTroy
61.1%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisiana
60.9%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionSouthern Miss
60.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorGa Southern
60.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouthern Miss
58.2%
0.1%
BaylorOld DominionTroy
55.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSU
54.5%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouth AlabamaTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLouisiana
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth AlabamaTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTroyULM
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth AlabamaULM
42.9%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionSouthern Miss
38.9%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaULM
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUULM
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmySouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld DominionSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisiana
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUSouth Alabama
30.8%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouthern Miss
30.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouthern MissULM
30.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorTroy
28.6%
<0.1%
LSUSouth AlabamaTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUSouthern Miss
22.2%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaSouth Alabama
19.2%
<0.1%
LSUSouthern MissTroy
15.8%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaTroy
13.3%
<0.1%
BaylorSouth AlabamaTroy
12.5%
<0.1%
LSUSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
9.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSULouisiana
9.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUTroy
5.9%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
53.6%
6.4%
BaylorGa SouthernLSUOld Dominion
100.0%
0.2%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernLSU
100.0%
0.2%
BaylorLSUOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSUOld Dominion
100.0%
0.2%
ArmyBaylorLSUULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSUOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUNorthwestern StateULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorNorthwestern StateULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernSouthern MissTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisianaULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyGa SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUNorthwestern StateULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernSouth AlabamaULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLouisianaULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOld DominionSouth AlabamaTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNorthwestern StateTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUNorthwestern StateULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSUNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateOld DominionSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLSUULM
97.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUOld DominionULM
94.4%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSUULM
90.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUOld DominionSouth Alabama
89.7%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLSUSouth Alabama
87.5%
0.2%
ArmyLSUOld DominionSouth Alabama
87.5%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUOld DominionSouth Alabama
87.2%
0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSUSouth Alabama
86.7%
0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernLouisiana
83.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisianaOld Dominion
83.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernOld DominionTroy
83.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylorLSU
82.3%
0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorGa SouthernLSU
82.0%
0.1%
BaylorLSUNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
81.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylorOld Dominion
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSUOld Dominion
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorGa SouthernOld Dominion
80.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUOld DominionTroy
79.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisianaOld Dominion
78.6%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernTroy
78.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSUOld Dominion
77.8%
<0.1%
BaylorLSULouisianaOld Dominion
77.6%
0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUOld DominionTroy
77.5%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSUTroy
77.1%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLSULouisiana
75.6%
0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSUTroy
75.4%
0.2%
BaylorLSUOld DominionTroy
75.1%
0.2%
ArmyGa SouthernLSUSouth Alabama
75.0%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateOld DominionSouthern Miss
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorGa SouthernSouthern Miss
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorOld DominionSouthern Miss
72.7%
<0.1%
BaylorLSULouisianaNorthwestern State
72.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSUOld Dominion
71.7%
0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSULouisiana
71.4%
0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLSUTroy
71.4%
0.2%
Ga SouthernLSULouisianaOld Dominion
69.7%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUNorthwestern StateSouthern Miss
69.2%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernOld DominionSouthern Miss
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUSouth AlabamaULM
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUNorthwestern StateTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouth AlabamaULM
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUNorthwestern StateOld DominionTroy
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNorthwestern StateSouth Alabama
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSULouisiana
64.7%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLSUSouthern Miss
61.2%
0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLSUSouthern Miss
60.1%
0.2%
Arkansas StArmyGa SouthernLSU
59.1%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernLSUSouthern Miss
58.6%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaOld DominionULM
57.1%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUOld DominionSouthern Miss
56.0%
0.2%
BaylorLSUNorthwestern StateTroy
55.6%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionSouth AlabamaULM
54.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUOld DominionSouthern Miss
53.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylorULM
50.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaNorthwestern StateOld Dominion
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylorGa Southern
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSUNorthwestern State
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUOld DominionULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUNorthwestern StateSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouthern MissULM
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisianaNorthwestern State
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUNorthwestern StateULM
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUNorthwestern StateSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouth AlabamaTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyOld DominionSouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorTroyULM
42.9%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUTroyULM
41.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSUULM
40.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouth AlabamaULM
37.7%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorOld DominionTroy
37.5%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouth AlabamaULM
36.4%
<0.1%
BaylorLSULouisianaULM
35.5%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUTroyULM
35.3%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaOld DominionTroy
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylorSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisianaSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaOld DominionSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorOld DominionSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUTroyULM
31.6%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouthern MissULM
30.8%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouth AlabamaTroy
30.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisianaULM
28.6%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionSouthern MissULM
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionTroyULM
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSULouisiana
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUOld DominionSouthern Miss
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorGa SouthernSouth Alabama
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorGa SouthernTroy
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLouisianaOld Dominion
25.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouthern MissULM
24.6%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisianaSouth Alabama
23.8%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouth AlabamaTroy
23.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
22.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSUULM
22.2%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaOld DominionSouth Alabama
21.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorOld DominionTroy
20.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSULouisianaSouth Alabama
20.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSULouisianaULM
20.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyBaylorTroy
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisianaTroy
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouth AlabamaTroy
18.9%
0.2%
Ga SouthernLSUSouthern MissULM
18.8%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSULouisianaSouthern Miss
17.9%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLouisianaSouth Alabama
16.7%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionSouthern MissULM
16.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSUSouth Alabama
15.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSUTroy
14.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisianaSouth Alabama
14.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUSouthern MissTroy
13.6%
<0.1%
BaylorLSULouisianaTroy
13.6%
0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSUSouthern Miss
13.6%
<0.1%
BaylorLSULouisianaSouth Alabama
13.3%
0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUSouth AlabamaTroy
13.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorSouth AlabamaTroy
12.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLSUSouth Alabama
12.5%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaOld DominionSouthern Miss
12.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
11.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSUTroy
11.1%
0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSULouisiana
11.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSULouisianaTroy
10.7%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisianaSouthern Miss
10.5%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
10.5%
0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSUSouthern Miss
10.4%
0.1%
BaylorLSULouisianaSouthern Miss
10.2%
0.1%
Arkansas StLSULouisianaOld Dominion
10.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUOld DominionSouth Alabama
10.0%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionSouthern MissTroy
9.4%
<0.1%
LSULouisianaOld DominionTroy
8.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLSUSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
8.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSUTroy
8.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLSUOld DominionTroy
7.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSUSouthern Miss
7.1%
<0.1%
BaylorLSUSouthern MissTroy
6.3%
0.2%
LSUOld DominionSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
6.1%
<0.1%
LSUOld DominionSouth AlabamaTroy
5.4%
<0.1%
ArmyLSUSouthern MissTroy
5.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLSUSouth Alabama
4.5%
<0.1%
ArmyLSULouisianaTroy
4.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorLSULouisiana
2.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com