Louisiana Tech

Louisiana TechBulldogs

1-1 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

22.8%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Louisiana Tech's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Louisiana Tech has a 22.8% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Louisiana Tech's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Louisiana TechSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsNorthwestern StateNWST
W80-6
29/12
@LSULSU
L14-45
39/19
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:7%
510/03
vsArmyARMY
Win prob:46%
610/10
vsLouisianaUL
Win prob:58%
710/17
@ULMULM
Win prob:87%
810/24
vsOld DominionODU
Win prob:59%
910/31
@South AlabamaUSA
Win prob:47%
1011/07
@TroyTROY
Win prob:49%
1111/14
vsSouthern MissUSM
Win prob:60%
1211/21
vsArkansas StARST
Win prob:65%
1311/28
@Ga SouthernGASO
Win prob:46%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
1.2%
100.0%
7-1
7.5%
81.5%
6-2
19.7%
47.3%
5-3
28.5%
18.1%
4-4
24.9%
3.7%
3-5
13.3%
0%
2-6
4.2%
0%
1-7
0.7%
0%
0-8
0.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Louisiana Tech CCG Opponents

if Louisiana Tech makes the CCG

JMUJames Madison
45.9%
APPAppalachian St
24.1%
ODUOld Dominion
10.9%
GASOGa Southern
8.7%
GASTGeorgia St
5.1%
CCUCoastal Car
4.5%
MRSHMarshall
0.8%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechThis Week's Impact

Game
Louisiana TechCCG OddsAway Wins
Louisiana TechCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
Coastal CarCCU@DelawareDEL
22.8%
(+0.1%)		22.8%
(-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@BaylorBAY
22.6%
(-0.2%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@ULMULM
22.9%
(+0.1%)		22.8%
(-0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@Appalachian StAPP
22.6%
(-0.1%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU
22.8%
(+0.0%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Missouri StMOST
22.8%
(+0.0%)		22.8%
(-0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Jacksonville StJXST
22.7%
(-0.1%)		22.8%
(+0.1%)
Georgia StGAST@UCFUCF
22.8%
(-0.0%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
22.7%
(-0.0%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@MissouriMIZ
23.0%
(+0.2%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
UConnCONN@Southern MissUSM
22.8%
(+0.0%)		22.8%
(-0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@TCUTCU
22.8%
(+0.1%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
UABUAB@LouisianaUL
22.8%
(+0.0%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@San Diego StSDSU
22.8%
(-0.0%)		22.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Louisiana Tech CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
94.2%
0.8%
Baylor
100.0%
0.5%
Old Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Army
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Troy
80.6%
<0.1%
South Alabama
78.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas St
73.8%
<0.1%
Southern Miss
59.9%
<0.1%
Louisiana
57.8%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
79.6%
4.7%
BaylorGa Southern
100.0%
0.6%
ArmyBaylor
100.0%
0.6%
BaylorOld Dominion
100.0%
0.4%
ArmyGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorULM
99.9%
<0.1%
Old DominionTroy
83.2%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernTroy
82.4%
<0.1%
BaylorTroy
80.7%
0.5%
Old DominionSouth Alabama
80.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa Southern
80.2%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Alabama
79.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouth Alabama
79.7%
<0.1%
ArmyTroy
79.3%
<0.1%
BaylorSouth Alabama
78.5%
0.6%
Arkansas StBaylor
77.5%
0.3%
Arkansas StArmy
73.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld Dominion
73.3%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern Miss
70.2%
<0.1%
ArmySouthern Miss
66.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld Dominion
61.7%
<0.1%
BaylorSouthern Miss
61.0%
0.4%
Ga SouthernSouthern Miss
60.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisiana
59.6%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisiana
58.6%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisiana
56.5%
0.4%
TroyULM
44.3%
<0.1%
South AlabamaULM
40.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StULM
34.6%
<0.1%
LouisianaULM
24.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissULM
17.9%
<0.1%
South AlabamaTroy
15.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StTroy
14.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth Alabama
13.5%
<0.1%
Southern MissTroy
10.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaTroy
9.9%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth Alabama
9.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana
8.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouthern Miss
7.0%
<0.1%
South AlabamaSouthern Miss
7.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouthern Miss
4.7%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
55.6%
13.6%
BaylorGa SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
0.4%
ArmyBaylorGa Southern
100.0%
0.7%
ArmyBaylorOld Dominion
100.0%
0.4%
BaylorGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorULM
99.9%
<0.1%
BaylorOld DominionTroy
82.4%
0.4%
Arkansas StArmyGa Southern
82.0%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernTroy
81.7%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernTroy
81.5%
0.7%
ArmyBaylorTroy
81.1%
0.7%
ArmyGa SouthernSouth Alabama
80.7%
<0.1%
ArmyOld DominionTroy
80.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouth Alabama
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernOld Dominion
79.3%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouth Alabama
79.0%
0.7%
Arkansas StBaylorGa Southern
78.6%
0.3%
BaylorOld DominionSouth Alabama
78.3%
0.4%
ArmyBaylorSouth Alabama
77.9%
0.7%
Ga SouthernOld DominionTroy
77.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorOld Dominion
76.8%
0.2%
Arkansas StArmyBaylor
76.7%
0.3%
ArmyOld DominionSouth Alabama
75.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyOld Dominion
74.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionSouthern Miss
63.8%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisianaOld Dominion
63.8%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernSouthern Miss
63.1%
0.4%
BaylorOld DominionSouthern Miss
62.4%
0.2%
ArmyBaylorSouthern Miss
62.0%
0.4%
ArmyGa SouthernLouisiana
60.5%
<0.1%
ArmyGa SouthernSouthern Miss
60.0%
<0.1%
BaylorGa SouthernLouisiana
58.7%
0.4%
BaylorLouisianaOld Dominion
58.5%
0.3%
ArmyOld DominionSouthern Miss
58.1%
<0.1%
ArmyBaylorLouisiana
57.9%
0.4%
Ga SouthernLouisianaOld Dominion
55.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTroyULM
43.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouth AlabamaULM
43.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernULM
40.0%
<0.1%
BaylorTroyULM
38.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorULM
38.6%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld DominionULM
38.5%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissULM
35.7%
<0.1%
BaylorSouth AlabamaULM
35.2%
0.1%
Old DominionSouth AlabamaULM
34.8%
<0.1%
ArmySouth AlabamaULM
32.9%
<0.1%
Old DominionTroyULM
32.4%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernTroyULM
30.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern MissULM
28.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyULM
27.5%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaULM
25.6%
<0.1%
BaylorSouthern MissULM
25.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaULM
23.7%
<0.1%
ArmySouthern MissULM
23.7%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisianaULM
19.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld DominionSouth Alabama
17.1%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouth AlabamaTroy
16.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld DominionTroy
16.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld DominionULM
15.8%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouth AlabamaTroy
14.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorTroy
14.4%
0.3%
Arkansas StArmyTroy
14.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernSouth Alabama
13.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernTroy
13.4%
<0.1%
BaylorSouth AlabamaTroy
13.4%
0.6%
ArmySouth AlabamaTroy
12.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmySouth Alabama
12.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorSouth Alabama
12.0%
0.3%
Arkansas StLouisianaOld Dominion
10.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld DominionSouth Alabama
10.3%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisianaTroy
10.1%
<0.1%
ArmySouthern MissTroy
9.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaTroy
9.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld DominionSouthern Miss
8.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmySouthern Miss
8.1%
<0.1%
BaylorSouthern MissTroy
8.0%
0.4%
Ga SouthernLouisianaSouth Alabama
8.0%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaTroy
7.9%
0.4%
BaylorSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
7.8%
0.4%
Arkansas StBaylorLouisiana
7.7%
0.2%
Ga SouthernSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
7.5%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisianaSouth Alabama
7.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLouisiana
7.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StBaylorSouthern Miss
7.0%
0.2%
BaylorLouisianaSouth Alabama
6.9%
0.4%
Arkansas StArmyLouisiana
6.5%
<0.1%
ArmySouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
6.4%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern MissTroy
6.3%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissTroy
6.3%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
6.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaSouthern Miss
6.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernSouthern Miss
5.8%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld DominionTroy
5.4%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisianaSouthern Miss
4.9%
<0.1%
BaylorLouisianaSouthern Miss
4.1%
0.3%
LouisianaOld DominionSouthern Miss
1.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Louisiana TechCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com