MarshallThundering Herd

5-3 T4th (2-2) in SBC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Marshall's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Marshall has a - chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Marshall has been eliminated from Sun Belt Conference Championship Game contention.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/05	@Penn StatePSU	L0-45
2	9/12	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	W28-26
3	9/19	@Missouri StateMOST	W30-24
4	9/26	vsGardner-WebbGWEB	W36-35
5	10/03	@James MadisonJMU	L17-45
6	10/10	vsCoastal CarolinaCCU	L21-27
8	10/20	vsSouth AlabamaUSA	W20-13
9	10/31	@Old DominionODU	W36-23
10	11/07	@Georgia SouthernGASO	Win prob:14%
11	11/14	vsApp StateAPP	Win prob:41%
12	11/21	vsGeorgia StateGAST	Win prob:43%
13	11/28	@UL MonroeULM	Win prob:78%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
6-2	2.0%	0%
5-3	17.8%	0%
4-4	41.3%	0%
3-5	32.7%	0%
2-6	6.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Thu, Nov 5Thursday, November 5
	James MadisonJMU@Southern MissUSM	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	Old DominionODU@Coastal CarolinaCCU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Georgia StateGAST@App StateAPP	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	UL MonroeULM@Arkansas StateARST	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	MarshallMRSH@Georgia SouthernGASO	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Louisiana TechLT@TroyTROY	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	South AlabamaUSA@LouisianaUL	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com