Mississippi St

Mississippi StateBulldogs

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Mississippi State's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Mississippi State has a 0.1% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Mississippi State's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Mississippi StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsULMULM
Win prob:94%
9/12
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:52%
9/19
@South CarolinaSC
Win prob:28%
9/26
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:37%
10/03
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:21%
10/17
@LSULSU
Win prob:14%
10/24
vsOklahomaOU
Win prob:26%
10/31
@TexasTEX
Win prob:7%
11/07
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:44%
11/14
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:37%
11/21
vsTennessee TechTNTC
Win prob:90%
11/27
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:20%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Mississippi StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0%
100.0%
7-2
0.1%
58.2%
6-3
0.8%
7.4%
5-4
4.0%
0.1%
4-5
12.8%
0%
3-6
25.0%
0%
2-7
30.6%
0%
1-8
20.8%
0%
0-9
5.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mississippi St CCG Opponents

if Mississippi St makes the CCG

TexasTexas
40.0%
GeorgiaGeorgia
30.0%
Ole MissMississippi
10.0%
Texas A&MTexas A&M
10.0%
LSULSU
10.0%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Mississippi StThis Week's Impact

Game
Mississippi StCCG OddsAway
Mississippi StCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Mississippi StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Mississippi St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Minnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
65.6%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi
80.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas
80.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas
75.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas
62.5%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas
40.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
16.5%
0.1%
AuburnMinnesotaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Tennessee TechTexasVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOklahomaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaTexasULM
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMissouriTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMinnesotaOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOklahomaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMinnesotaTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaTexasVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMissouriSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippiSouth Carolina
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennessee TechTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaSouth CarolinaTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnLSU
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUMinnesota
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaTexas
42.9%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexasVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiMissouri
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUOklahoma
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiSouth Carolina
25.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMississippiTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUTexas
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiSouth Carolina
16.7%
<0.1%
MississippiSouth CarolinaTexas
8.3%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaTexas
5.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth CarolinaTexas
5.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUTexas
4.2%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
8.9%
0.3%
AuburnLSUSouth CarolinaULM
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMinnesotaMissouriSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaMississippiSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouriTennessee TechTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaSouth CarolinaULMVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaMississippiVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnMinnesotaULM
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiTennessee TechTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaSouth CarolinaTexasVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnMinnesotaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiTexasULM
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOklahomaSouth CarolinaTennessee Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaOklahomaSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMissouriTexasVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMinnesotaMississippi
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaMissouriOklahoma
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaMissouriSouth Carolina
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMinnesotaMississippiTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaTexasVanderbilt
21.4%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMississippiTexasVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUMinnesotaSouth Carolina
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaMississippiTexas
16.7%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMissouriOklahomaTexas
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaMissouriTexas
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMinnesotaOklahomaTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaMississippiMissouriTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnMinnesotaTexas
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaOklahomaTexas
12.5%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaSouth CarolinaTexas
9.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUMinnesotaTexas
5.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouriSouth CarolinaTexas
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUMississippiTexas
1.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com