Texas A&MAggies
0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
17.1%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Texas A&M's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?
Texas A&M has a 17.1% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Texas A&M's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:97% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:85% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:84% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:44% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:86% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:62% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 10/24 | Win prob:44% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:63% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:67% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:49% | ||
| 11/27 | Win prob:40% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0.7% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 5.2% | 97.1% |
| 7-2 | 15.8% | 59.2% |
| 6-3 | 26.2% | 7.4% |
| 5-4 | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| 4-5 | 17.1% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 6.6% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 1.6% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 0.2% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 0.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game |
|---|
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.5%Any 1 loss
97.2%
4.1%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%99.4%
0.3%99.0%
0.1%98.3%
0.3%98.1%
0.7%96.9%
0.7%96.5%
<0.1%96.2%
0.8%95.9%
0.6%95.8%
0.3%Any 2 losses
62.7%
13.0%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%97.6%
<0.1%97.6%
<0.1%97.4%
<0.1%97.4%
<0.1%97.2%
<0.1%96.4%
0.1%96.2%
0.1%96.0%
<0.1%94.7%
<0.1%94.6%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%91.3%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%79.6%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%77.5%
<0.1%76.6%
0.1%75.5%
<0.1%75.4%
<0.1%75.0%
0.1%75.0%
<0.1%73.9%
0.1%72.5%
0.1%72.5%
0.1%72.3%
0.2%71.5%
0.2%71.5%
0.2%71.2%
0.4%68.8%
0.3%68.3%
0.3%68.1%
0.3%65.9%
<0.1%65.7%
0.4%64.5%
0.3%62.3%
0.1%62.2%
0.4%60.9%
0.4%60.9%
0.3%59.7%
0.7%59.2%
0.4%58.9%
0.7%58.3%
<0.1%57.7%
0.1%56.9%
0.5%56.3%
0.5%52.9%
0.9%50.6%
1.0%47.5%
0.8%44.4%
1.1%Any 3 losses
15.9%
23.4%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%94.1%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.6%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%86.7%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.3%
<0.1%79.0%
<0.1%78.6%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%76.9%
<0.1%76.2%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.7%
<0.1%73.3%
<0.1%73.1%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%72.2%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%69.8%
<0.1%69.8%
<0.1%69.8%
<0.1%69.6%
<0.1%67.9%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%65.6%
<0.1%65.1%
<0.1%64.4%
<0.1%64.0%
<0.1%63.2%
<0.1%63.1%
<0.1%63.0%
<0.1%63.0%
<0.1%62.3%
<0.1%61.9%
<0.1%61.9%
<0.1%61.5%
<0.1%61.1%
<0.1%60.8%
0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%59.8%
<0.1%59.3%
<0.1%59.1%
<0.1%58.3%
<0.1%57.5%
<0.1%57.3%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%56.3%
<0.1%55.7%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%54.4%
0.1%53.8%
<0.1%53.3%
0.1%51.1%
0.1%51.1%
0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%47.2%
<0.1%46.6%
0.2%46.5%
0.2%45.5%
<0.1%44.8%
0.1%43.2%
0.2%42.4%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%38.6%
<0.1%38.5%
<0.1%38.1%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%30.0%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%26.3%
<0.1%18.9%
<0.1%18.5%
<0.1%18.3%
<0.1%17.4%
0.1%16.9%
<0.1%16.4%
<0.1%15.9%
<0.1%15.8%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.8%
<0.1%14.5%
<0.1%13.9%
<0.1%13.9%
<0.1%13.6%
0.3%12.8%
0.2%12.5%
<0.1%12.3%
0.2%11.6%
<0.1%11.5%
0.2%11.4%
<0.1%11.2%
0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.8%
<0.1%10.5%
0.2%10.2%
0.1%10.1%
0.2%10.1%
0.3%10.0%
0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.7%
0.4%9.7%
0.2%9.7%
0.1%9.7%
0.2%9.4%
0.2%9.4%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.9%
0.2%8.8%
0.1%8.8%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%8.6%
0.1%8.4%
<0.1%8.2%
0.5%8.0%
0.4%7.8%
0.3%7.8%
<0.1%7.8%
0.5%7.6%
0.1%7.6%
<0.1%7.4%
0.4%7.3%
0.3%7.3%
0.6%7.1%
0.5%7.0%
<0.1%6.9%
0.5%6.7%
0.2%6.7%
0.6%6.7%
<0.1%6.6%
0.5%6.5%
0.5%6.5%
0.7%6.5%
0.5%6.3%
0.1%6.0%
0.1%5.9%
0.5%5.8%
1.0%5.7%
0.4%5.4%
0.6%5.3%
<0.1%5.2%
1.1%5.1%
0.2%5.0%
<0.1%4.5%
0.1%4.3%
0.5%4.2%
1.0%3.7%
1.4%1.9%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
10.2%
5.8%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%76.9%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%58.8%
<0.1%58.3%
<0.1%52.2%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%41.2%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%27.8%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.5%
<0.1%17.2%
<0.1%17.1%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.0%
<0.1%15.6%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.8%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.2%
<0.1%13.0%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.9%
<0.1%11.9%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.8%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.3%
<0.1%10.2%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.8%
<0.1%8.5%
<0.1%8.5%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.2%
<0.1%8.2%
<0.1%8.1%
<0.1%7.6%
<0.1%7.4%
<0.1%7.3%
<0.1%7.3%
0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.0%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.1%
0.1%6.1%
<0.1%6.1%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.8%
<0.1%5.7%
0.1%5.4%
<0.1%5.4%
<0.1%5.4%
0.2%5.3%
<0.1%5.1%
<0.1%5.0%
0.1%5.0%
<0.1%4.9%
<0.1%4.9%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.6%
0.2%4.5%
<0.1%4.4%
<0.1%4.2%
0.2%4.1%
0.1%4.1%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.6%
<0.1%3.5%
<0.1%3.5%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%3.2%
<0.1%3.1%
0.1%3.1%
0.1%3.0%
<0.1%3.0%
0.1%2.9%
<0.1%2.3%
<0.1%2.1%
0.2%Data from 2026-08-26