Purdue

PurdueBoilermakers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Purdue's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Purdue has a 0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Purdue's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

PurdueSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/04
vsIndiana StateINST
Win prob:90%
9/12
vsWake ForestWAKE
Win prob:46%
9/19
@UCLAUCLA
Win prob:41%
9/26
vsNotre DameND
Win prob:8%
10/03
@IllinoisILL
Win prob:28%
10/10
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:52%
10/16
vsWashingtonWASH
Win prob:31%
10/31
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:16%
11/07
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:51%
11/14
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:21%
11/21
vsWisconsinWIS
Win prob:42%
11/28
@IndianaIU
Win prob:6%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0.0%
78.6%
7-2
0.4%
19.7%
6-3
2.3%
0.4%
5-4
8.5%
0%
4-5
20.1%
0%
3-6
29.1%
0%
2-7
25.2%
0%
1-8
11.9%
0%
0-9
2.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Purdue CCG Opponents

if Purdue makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
40.0%
IndianaIndiana
30.0%
OregonOregon
20.0%
Penn StatePenn St
10.0%
IllinoisIllinois
0.0%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueThis Week's Impact

Game
PurdueCCG OddsAway
PurdueCCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
0.0%
(-0.1%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Purdue CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn St
75.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
21.5%
0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DamePenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaWake ForestWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIndiana StateNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaPenn StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Indiana StateIowaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameWake Forest
83.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameUCLA
66.7%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
IowaNotre DameWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandNotre Dame
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DamePenn St
19.2%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameUCLA
14.3%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaNotre Dame
13.6%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameWashington
11.8%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaNotre Dame
10.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
17.8%
0.2%
IowaNotre DameWake ForestWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Indiana StateIowaNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIndiana StateNotre DameUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndiana StatePenn StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameUCLAWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAWake ForestWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameUCLAWake Forest
75.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StWake ForestWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePenn StWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StUCLAWake Forest
42.9%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaNotre DameWake Forest
37.5%
<0.1%
IowaNotre DameUCLAWake Forest
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameWake ForestWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaIndiana StateNotre DamePenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DamePenn StWake Forest
30.8%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaNotre DameWake Forest
30.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameWake ForestWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaNotre DameWake Forest
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaNotre DameWake Forest
19.2%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameUCLAWake Forest
18.2%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameWake ForestWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StWake ForestWashington
16.7%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandNotre DameWake Forest
14.3%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaNotre DameWashington
9.1%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaNotre DameWisconsin
4.3%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DamePenn StWake Forest
3.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com