Purdue

PurdueBoilermakers

1-1 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Purdue's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Purdue has a - chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Purdue's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

PurdueSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/04
vsIndiana StateINST
W44-19
29/12
vsWake ForestWAKE
L36-38
39/19
@UCLAUCLA
Win prob:20%
49/26
vsNotre DameND
Win prob:2%
510/03
@IllinoisILL
Win prob:27%
610/10
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:61%
710/16
vsWashingtonWASH
Win prob:38%
910/31
@Penn StPSU
Win prob:5%
1011/07
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:39%
1111/14
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:14%
1211/21
vsWisconsinWIS
Win prob:48%
1311/28
@IndianaIU
Win prob:1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0%
69.6%
7-2
0.1%
3.5%
6-3
0.8%
0%
5-4
4.7%
0%
4-5
15.2%
0%
3-6
28.7%
0%
2-7
30.3%
0%
1-8
16.6%
0%
0-9
3.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueThis Week's Impact

Game
PurdueCCG OddsAway Wins
PurdueCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Sep 18
Portland StatePRST@OregonORE
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@IllinoisILL
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
USCUSC@RutgersRUTG
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@MichiganMICH
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@IowaIOWA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Eastern WashingtonEWU@WashingtonWASH
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
North DakotaUND@NebraskaNEB
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NorthwesternNU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@Notre DameND
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@MarylandMD
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
PurduePUR@UCLAUCLA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Purdue CCG Probability
Likelihood
Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
IowaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn St
60.0%
<0.1%
IndianaUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
2.3%
<0.1%
IowaMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DamePenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisIowaNotre Dame
20.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMarylandNotre Dame
9.1%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StUCLA
8.3%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameWisconsin
5.6%
<0.1%
IowaNotre DamePenn St
4.8%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameWashington
4.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaNotre Dame
3.9%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaNotre Dame
3.1%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameUCLA
2.5%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DamePenn St
1.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com