Maryland

MarylandTerrapins

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Maryland's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Maryland has a 0.2% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Maryland's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

MarylandSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsHamptonHAMP
Win prob:90%
9/12
@UConnCONN
Win prob:72%
9/19
vsVirginia TechVT
Win prob:41%
9/26
vsUCLAUCLA
Win prob:57%
10/03
@NebraskaNEB
Win prob:27%
10/10
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:4%
10/17
vsRutgersRUTG
Win prob:59%
10/31
vsIllinoisILL
Win prob:43%
11/07
@PurduePUR
Win prob:49%
11/14
vsWisconsinWIS
Win prob:47%
11/21
@USCUSC
Win prob:14%
11/28
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:27%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MarylandRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
90.6%
7-2
0.7%
21.5%
6-3
4.1%
0.4%
5-4
12.7%
0%
4-5
24.9%
0%
3-6
28.8%
0%
2-7
20.0%
0%
1-8
7.7%
0%
0-9
1.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Maryland CCG Opponents

if Maryland makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
45.0%
OregonOregon
25.0%
IndianaIndiana
20.0%
MichiganMichigan
5.0%
Penn StatePenn St
5.0%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MarylandThis Week's Impact

Game
MarylandCCG OddsAway
MarylandCCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
0.3%
(+0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MarylandLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Maryland CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
85.7%
<0.1%
Nebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
USC
100.0%
<0.1%
UConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
85.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
29.0%
0.2%
NebraskaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
USCVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonNebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLAUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
UConnVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
UConnUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia TechWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisUSC
57.1%
<0.1%
Penn StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
PurdueUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
USCWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSC
37.5%
<0.1%
RutgersUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StRutgers
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisNebraska
33.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StPenn St
31.6%
<0.1%
Penn StUSC
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPurdue
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StUCLA
20.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio St
15.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio St
9.1%
<0.1%
Ohio StUSC
8.8%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
18.0%
0.4%
IllinoisNebraskaVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisUCLAVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdueVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StVirginia TechWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonUSCWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
PurdueUCLAVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUConnVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StUConnWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisUSCVirginia Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
UConnUSCVirginia Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgersVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StUConnVirginia Tech
60.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaVirginia TechWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUConnUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUCLAVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StUCLAUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUConnWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisPurdueVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio StUConn
42.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StRutgersVirginia Tech
42.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StPenn StUConn
37.5%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio StUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
HamptonOhio StPenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
PurdueUSCWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StUCLAVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPenn StVirginia Tech
20.8%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSCVirginia Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio StVirginia Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StVirginia TechWisconsin
18.2%
<0.1%
Ohio StPurdueVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio StVirginia Tech
15.4%
<0.1%
Ohio StUSCVirginia Tech
11.6%
<0.1%
Ohio StUConnUSC
9.5%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio StUCLA
5.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StPurdueUSC
1.6%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
9.1%
0.2%
HamptonIllinoisPenn StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUConnVirginia TechWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdueUConnVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNebraskaUConnVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonOhio StUCLAUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonNebraskaUSCVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonOhio StUConnWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNebraskaRutgersVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaRutgersUCLAUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HamptonIllinoisOhio StUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPurdueUConnVirginia Tech
57.1%
<0.1%
UConnUSCVirginia TechWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaRutgersUSCVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgersUConnVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisPenn StUConnVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
UCLAUConnUSCVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisPenn StUCLAVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StUConnVirginia TechWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaUConnUSCVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
HamptonOhio StPenn StVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StRutgersUConnVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio StUConnVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPenn StUConnVirginia Tech
16.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StUConnUSCVirginia Tech
6.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio StUConnVirginia Tech
4.2%
<0.1%
Ohio StPurdueUSCVirginia Tech
1.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com