NorthwesternWildcats

6-2 T5th (3-2) in B1G

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Northwestern's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Northwestern has a 0.8% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Northwestern's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Northwestern need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Northwestern's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 23.1%.

What is the biggest game this week for Northwestern's Big Ten Championship Game odds?

Northwestern's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Iowa would put its Big Ten Championship Game odds at 1.4%, while a loss would drop them to <0.1%.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
1	9/05	vsSouth Dakota StateSDST	W34-18
3	9/19	vsColoradoCOLO	W41-7
4	9/25	@IndianaIU	L23-29
5	10/02	vsPenn StatePSU	W34-13
6	10/10	vsBall StateBALL	W45-14
7	10/17	@Michigan StateMSU	W24-21
8	10/24	vsRutgersRUTG	W42-14
9	10/31	@OregonORE	L26-34
10	11/07	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:57%
11	11/14	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:10%
12	11/21	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:76%
13	11/28	vsIllinoisILL	Win prob:80%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-2	3.5%	23.1%
6-3	35.9%	0.0%
5-4	42.7%	0%
4-5	16.0%	0%
3-6	1.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

70.4%

11.1%

11.1%

4.9%

2.5%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	NebraskaNEB@IllinoisILL	0.8% (-0.1%)	1.0% (+0.1%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	UCLAUCLA@MinnesotaMINN	0.5% (-0.3%)	1.6% (+0.8%)
	MarylandMD@PurduePUR	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.8% (-0.0%)
	OregonORE@Ohio StateOSU	0.8% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
	Penn StatePSU@WashingtonWASH	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.7% (-0.1%)
	RutgersRUTG@WisconsinWIS	0.8% (-0.1%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
	IowaIOWA@NorthwesternNU	0.0% (-0.8%)	1.4% (+0.6%)
	Michigan StateMSU@MichiganMICH	1.1% (+0.2%)	0.8% (-0.0%)