Northwestern

NorthwesternWildcats

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Northwestern's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

Northwestern has a <0.1% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Northwestern has been eliminated from Big Ten Championship Game contention.

NorthwesternSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsSouth Dakota StateSDST
Win prob:90%
9/19
vsColoradoCOLO
Win prob:49%
9/25
@IndianaIU
Win prob:8%
10/02
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:28%
10/10
vsBall StBALL
Win prob:89%
10/17
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:47%
10/24
vsRutgersRUTG
Win prob:59%
10/31
@OregonORE
Win prob:6%
11/07
vsIowaIOWA
Win prob:35%
11/14
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:4%
11/21
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:46%
11/28
vsIllinoisILL
Win prob:44%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0%
100.0%
7-2
0.1%
36.0%
6-3
1.4%
1.7%
5-4
7.0%
0%
4-5
19.0%
0%
3-6
29.9%
0%
2-7
27.0%
0%
1-8
13.0%
0%
0-9
2.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Northwestern CCG Opponents

if Northwestern makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
42.9%
OregonOregon
28.6%
IndianaIndiana
28.6%
Penn StatePenn St
0.0%
USCUSC
0.0%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternThis Week's Impact

Game
NorthwesternCCG OddsAway
NorthwesternCCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
0.0%
(-0.1%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Northwestern CCG Probability
Likelihood
Indiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
24.8%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaPenn St
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaOhio St
27.3%
<0.1%
IndianaOregon
25.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOregon
23.5%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
13.1%
0.1%
ColoradoMinnesotaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIllinoisOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoMinnesotaRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoMinnesotaPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregonRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StIndianaOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan StOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIllinoisIndiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPenn StSouth Dakota State
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StIndianaSouth Dakota State
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregonSouth Dakota State
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoMichigan StOhio St
66.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoMinnesotaOhio St
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StIndianaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StPenn StRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaOregon
36.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaOhio St
30.8%
<0.1%
ColoradoOhio StOregon
30.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOhio StOregon
10.5%
<0.1%
IndianaMinnesotaOhio St
6.7%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOhio StOregon
5.3%
<0.1%
IowaOhio StOregon
2.9%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
7.3%
0.2%
ColoradoIllinoisIndianaSouth Dakota State
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaMinnesotaSouth Dakota State
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIllinoisIowaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoMinnesotaOregonRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StColoradoIndianaRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIllinoisMinnesotaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StColoradoMinnesotaOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowaMinnesotaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoMichigan StMinnesotaOhio St
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StColoradoOhio StOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaMichigan StPenn St
20.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoOhio StOregonSouth Dakota State
20.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaMinnesotaOhio St
14.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoIllinoisIndianaOregon
11.1%
<0.1%
Ball StIndianaOhio StOregon
5.9%
<0.1%
ColoradoMinnesotaOhio StOregon
5.6%
<0.1%
ColoradoIllinoisOhio StOregon
4.8%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaIowaOhio St
4.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoIndianaOhio StPenn St
2.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com