Penn StateNittany Lions
4-4 T15th (1-4) in B1G
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Penn State's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?
Penn State has a - chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Penn State has been eliminated from Big Ten Championship Game contention.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | W45-0 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W27-9 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W55-13 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L20-24 | |
| 5 | 10/02 | L13-34 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L23-31 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L18-21 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W31-17 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:58% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:84% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:94% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:88% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | 40.7% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 44.8% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 13.1% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 1.4% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 0.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02