UCLA

UCLABruins

8-0 1st (5-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

49.3%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is UCLA's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

UCLA has a 49.3% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UCLA's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does UCLA need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts UCLA's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 100%; even one more loss drops that to 84.4%.

What is the biggest game this week for UCLA's Big Ten Championship Game odds?

UCLA's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Minnesota would put its Big Ten Championship Game odds at 57.6%, while a loss would drop them to 27.9%.

UCLASchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
@CaliforniaCAL
W45-24
29/12
vsSan Diego StSDSU
W28-10
39/19
vsPurduePUR
W52-38
49/26
@MarylandMD
W54-3
610/10
@OregonORE
W17-15
710/17
vsWisconsinWIS
W17-7
810/24
vsMichigan StMSU
W28-10
910/31
vsNevadaNEV
W27-0
1011/07
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:72%
1111/13
vsIllinoisILL
Win prob:77%
1211/21
@MichiganMICH
Win prob:47%
1311/28
vsUSCUSC
Win prob:49%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLARecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
12.8%
100.0%
8-1
36.4%
84.4%
7-2
35.6%
16.1%
6-3
13.5%
0.0%
5-4
1.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible UCLA CCG Opponents

if UCLA makes the CCG

IUIndiana
54.2%
OSUOhio St
37.5%
OREOregon
3.5%
USCUSC
2.4%
WISWisconsin
2.1%
IOWAIowa
0.2%
NUNorthwestern
0.2%
MINNMinnesota
<0.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLAThis Week's Impact

Game
UCLACCG OddsAway Wins
UCLACCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6
NebraskaNEB@IllinoisILL
49.3%
(+0.0%)		49.2%
(-0.1%)
Sat, Nov 7
UCLAUCLA@MinnesotaMINN
57.6%
(+8.3%)		27.9%
(-21.4%)
MarylandMD@PurduePUR
49.2%
(-0.0%)		49.3%
(+0.0%)
OregonORE@Ohio StOSU
63.3%
(+14.0%)		46.4%
(-2.9%)
Penn StPSU@WashingtonWASH
49.2%
(-0.0%)		49.3%
(+0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@WisconsinWIS
49.5%
(+0.2%)		49.2%
(-0.0%)
IowaIOWA@NorthwesternNU
48.3%
(-0.9%)		50.0%
(+0.7%)
Michigan StMSU@MichiganMICH
50.3%
(+1.0%)		49.1%
(-0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for UCLA

Penn StPenn StateMichigan StMichigan StateRutgersRutgersPurduePurdueNorthwesternNorthwesternUCLAUCLANebraskaNebraskaOregonOregon

CCG: 77.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for UCLA

UCLAUCLA

CCG: 58.0% • Scenario: 72.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLALoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UCLA CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
12.8%
Any 1 loss
84.4%
36.4%
Minnesota
100.0%
5.0%
Illinois
100.0%
3.8%
Michigan
92.5%
14.6%
USC
65.2%
13.1%
Any 2 losses
16.1%
35.5%
MichiganMinnesota
32.9%
5.7%
IllinoisMichigan
32.7%
4.3%
IllinoisMinnesota
32.2%
1.5%
MinnesotaUSC
9.8%
5.1%
IllinoisUSC
8.1%
3.9%
MichiganUSC
7.7%
15.0%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLACCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com