UCLA

UCLABruins

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is UCLA's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?

UCLA has a 0.2% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. UCLA's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

UCLASchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
@CaliforniaCAL
Win prob:43%
9/12
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:54%
9/19
vsPurduePUR
Win prob:59%
9/26
@MarylandMD
Win prob:43%
10/10
@OregonORE
Win prob:5%
10/17
vsWisconsinWIS
Win prob:46%
10/24
vsMichigan StMSU
Win prob:56%
10/31
vsNevadaNEV
Win prob:81%
11/07
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:44%
11/13
vsIllinoisILL
Win prob:42%
11/21
@MichiganMICH
Win prob:15%
11/28
vsUSCUSC
Win prob:20%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLARecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
80.8%
7-2
0.8%
18.4%
6-3
4.3%
0.2%
5-4
13.3%
0%
4-5
25.0%
0%
3-6
28.6%
0%
2-7
19.4%
0%
1-8
7.4%
0%
0-9
1.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UCLA CCG Opponents

if UCLA makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
38.1%
OregonOregon
28.6%
IndianaIndiana
23.8%
Penn StatePenn St
4.8%
MichiganMichigan
4.8%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLAThis Week's Impact

Game
UCLACCG OddsAway
UCLACCG OddsHome
San Jose StSJSU@USCUSC
0.1%
(-0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

UCLALoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UCLA CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
71.4%
<0.1%
USC
100.0%
<0.1%
California
100.0%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Minnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon
71.4%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
36.5%
0.1%
NevadaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinois
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
OregonSan Diego St
90.0%
<0.1%
MichiganSan Diego St
83.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregon
80.0%
<0.1%
MichiganWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichigan
60.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
OregonWisconsin
42.9%
<0.1%
USCWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan
25.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMinnesota
20.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregon
15.4%
<0.1%
MichiganOregon
12.9%
<0.1%
OregonUSC
11.1%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
14.9%
0.4%
CaliforniaSan Diego StUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaPurdueSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StMinnesotaSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNevadaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichigan StMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregonSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNevadaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregonWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdueSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNevadaUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
NevadaSan Diego StUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesotaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonSan Diego St
63.6%
<0.1%
OregonSan Diego StWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandSan Diego StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StUSCWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNevadaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNevadaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan StSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaSan Diego StUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisOregon
46.2%
<0.1%
MichiganSan Diego StWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichiganSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNevadaOregon
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisMichigan St
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganMichigan St
33.3%
<0.1%
OregonPurdueSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandOregon
28.6%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregonSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaUSCWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
MichiganSan Diego StUSC
22.2%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaOregon
20.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMinnesotaSan Diego St
20.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichigan StOregon
16.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaOregon
15.4%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregonPurdue
14.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonWisconsin
14.3%
<0.1%
MarylandOregonSan Diego St
14.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonPurdue
14.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganOregon
10.9%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganUSC
10.0%
<0.1%
OregonSan Diego StUSC
8.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonUSC
5.3%
<0.1%
MichiganMichigan StOregon
2.8%
<0.1%
MarylandOregonUSC
2.2%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
19.3%
0.2%
CaliforniaMarylandMichigan StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaNevadaOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganMichigan StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganNevadaSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNevadaOregonSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichigan StMinnesotaSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaNevadaSan Diego StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaSan Diego StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganMinnesotaNevada
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandMinnesotaSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisPurdueSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNevadaSan Diego StUSC
100.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichigan StOregonSan Diego St
75.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisMinnesotaSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandOregonSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganPurdueSan Diego St
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaSan Diego StUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregonSan Diego StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandNevadaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
NevadaOregonSan Diego StUSC
40.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNevadaOregonSan Diego St
40.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisMichiganSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganMichigan StPurdue
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganNevadaUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganMinnesotaSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMinnesotaOregonSan Diego St
30.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonSan Diego StWisconsin
22.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonSan Diego StUSC
20.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaOregonPurdueSan Diego St
20.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StOregonSan Diego StWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNevadaOregonSan Diego St
18.2%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMarylandMichiganSan Diego St
16.7%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganSan Diego StUSC
11.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisMichigan StOregon
10.0%
<0.1%
CaliforniaIllinoisOregonSan Diego St
7.1%
<0.1%
CaliforniaMichiganOregonSan Diego St
5.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com