IndianaHoosiers
8-1 2nd (5-1) in B1G
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
68.9%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Indiana's probability of making the Big Ten Championship Game?
Indiana has a 68.9% chance to reach the Big Ten Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Indiana's Big Ten Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What does Indiana need to do to reach the Big Ten Championship Game?
A perfect run to the end of the season puts Indiana's Big Ten Championship Game odds at 93.1%; even one more loss drops that to 28.4%.
What is the biggest game this week for Indiana's Big Ten Championship Game odds?
The biggest swing game for Indiana's Big Ten Championship Game odds this week isn't even its own: a Minnesota win would boost them to 78.8%, while a UCLA win would leave them at 65.1%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | W52-16 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W55-0 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W38-0 | |
| 4 | 9/25 | W29-23 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | W47-15 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W20-17 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L15-19 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | W13-6 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W23-16 | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:79% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:85% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:97% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 64.4% | 93.1% |
| 7-2 | 31.3% | 28.4% |
| 6-3 | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| 5-4 | 0.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 69.0% (+0.1%) | 68.7% (-0.3%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 65.1% (-3.8%) | 78.8% (+9.9%) | ||
| 68.7% (-0.2%) | 69.0% (+0.1%) | ||
| 73.8% (+4.9%) | 67.9% (-1.0%) | ||
| 68.8% (-0.1%) | 69.0% (+0.1%) | ||
| 69.5% (+0.6%) | 68.8% (-0.1%) | ||
| 68.3% (-0.6%) | 69.4% (+0.5%) | ||
| 68.6% (-0.3%) | 69.0% (+0.1%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
Washington
Michigan
Rutgers
Purdue
Northwestern
Minnesota
Nebraska
Ohio StateCCG: 82.1% • Scenario: 0.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
MinnesotaCCG: 78.8% • Scenario: 27.9%
Data from 2026-11-02
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
CCG Probability
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02