KansasJayhawks
1-1 T2nd (0-0) in B12
Data from 2026-09-17
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.1%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Kansas's probability of making the Big XII Championship Game?
Kansas has a 0.1% chance to reach the Big XII Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Kansas's Big XII Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/04 | W51-6 | |
| 2 | 9/11 | L21-38 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | Win prob:37% | |
| 5 | 10/03 | Win prob:94% | |
| 6 | 10/10 | Win prob:8% | |
| 7 | 10/17 | Win prob:15% | |
| 8 | 10/24 | Win prob:34% | |
| 9 | 10/31 | Win prob:25% | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:46% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:41% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:16% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:35% |
Data from 2026-09-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 0.0% | 97.1% |
| 7-2 | 0.2% | 49.2% |
| 6-3 | 1.3% | 3.8% |
| 5-4 | 5.7% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 15.7% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 27.0% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 28.7% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 17.1% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 4.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-09-17
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-09-17
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 18Friday, September 18 | |||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (-0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Sep 19Saturday, September 19 | |||
| 0.0% (-0.1%) | 0.4% (+0.2%) | ||
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (-0.1%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.1% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.2% (+0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-09-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
97.6%
<0.1%
94.4%
<0.1%
92.3%
<0.1%
88.9%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
46.4%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%88.2%
<0.1%78.6%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%64.7%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%61.5%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%58.7%
<0.1%58.5%
<0.1%58.3%
<0.1%57.5%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%56.5%
<0.1%56.3%
<0.1%55.3%
<0.1%52.2%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%47.8%
<0.1%46.8%
<0.1%45.4%
<0.1%44.4%
<0.1%44.3%
<0.1%43.6%
<0.1%43.5%
<0.1%32.6%
<0.1%30.9%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
3.7%
1.2%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%41.2%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.6%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.6%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%12.0%
<0.1%11.5%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.8%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.2%
<0.1%10.2%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.5%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.2%
<0.1%8.0%
<0.1%8.0%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%7.6%
<0.1%7.3%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.6%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%6.5%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.8%
<0.1%5.8%
<0.1%5.7%
<0.1%5.7%
<0.1%5.5%
<0.1%5.5%
<0.1%5.2%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.7%
<0.1%4.7%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.4%
<0.1%4.3%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.8%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.5%
<0.1%3.1%
<0.1%3.1%
<0.1%3.0%
<0.1%3.0%
<0.1%2.9%
<0.1%2.9%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.6%
<0.1%2.3%
<0.1%2.3%
<0.1%2.2%
<0.1%2.0%
<0.1%1.8%
<0.1%1.7%
0.1%1.6%
<0.1%1.6%
<0.1%1.6%
<0.1%1.5%
<0.1%1.2%
<0.1%0.9%
<0.1%Data from 2026-09-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-09-17